Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 30, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Grizzlies	52%	116	106	106.0	100	107.1
	22	Pelicans	48%	115	114	112.9	101	94.7

Prediction updated: Jan 31, 2026 12:26 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+20

-19

101

NOP

+19

-15

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.04 52.0%

NOP

1.10 54.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	33.7	16	40%	9	2	6	2	2	5	3	6	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	2-10	20%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	30.8	12	46%	8	0	1	0	1	2	6	2	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	0-1	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 22	26.0	10	56%	4	4	1	0	0	2	1	3	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Cam Spencer #24 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 26	23.9	16	114%	1	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-4	100%
Cedric Coward #23 · SF · 6'5" 206 · 22	23.5	13	50%	5	5	0	0	5	2	1	4	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%

Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	24.9	13	59%	3	3	2	0	5	4	3	0	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	2-7	29%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	24.6	11	79%	2	2	1	0	2	2	0	2	3-4	75%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	22.1	9	75%	4	2	0	0	2	0	0	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	18.4	4	20%	8	5	0	0	0	2	1	7	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-4	0%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	11.9	2	25%	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	NWT - Injury/Illness
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	NWT - Injury/Illness
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	52%	46	26	11	3	19	19	16	30	14-15	93%	28-52	54%	12-41	29%

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20 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	33.7	16	40%	9	2	6	2	2	5	3	6	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	2-10	20%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	30.8	12	46%	8	0	1	0	1	2	6	2	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	0-1	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 22	26.0	10	56%	4	4	1	0	0	2	1	3	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Cam Spencer #24 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 26	23.9	16	114%	1	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-4	100%
Cedric Coward #23 · SF · 6'5" 206 · 22	23.5	13	50%	5	5	0	0	5	2	1	4	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%

Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	24.9	13	59%	3	3	2	0	5	4	3	0	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	2-7	29%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	24.6	11	79%	2	2	1	0	2	2	0	2	3-4	75%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	22.1	9	75%	4	2	0	0	2	0	0	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	18.4	4	20%	8	5	0	0	0	2	1	7	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-4	0%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	11.9	2	25%	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	NWT - Injury/Illness
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	NWT - Injury/Illness
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	52%	46	26	11	3	19	19	16	30	14-15	93%	28-52	54%	12-41	29%

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22 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	34.2	22	55%	8	2	3	0	2	1	3	5	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	2-7	29%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	33.9	22	79%	9	7	0	2	5	1	4	5	6-7	86%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26	33.3	8	25%	1	2	2	1	1	2	0	1	4-5	80%	2-7	29%	0-7	0%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	33.0	21	75%	7	4	0	2	2	3	3	4	7-8	88%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Herbert Jones #2 · PG · 6'7" 206 · 27	30.0	16	80%	4	1	3	0	2	3	0	4	1-2	50%	6-6	100%	1-3	33%

Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	22.8	11	55%	1	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-8	38%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	16.9	6	38%	4	3	2	0	3	1	2	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	14.4	5	63%	4	1	2	1	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	14.1	0	0%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	7.3	3	75%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	55%	42	24	13	6	15	16	14	28	20-26	77%	35-55	64%	8-33	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	NOP
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	NOP

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.04 52.0%

NOP

1.10 54.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

52%

NOP

78%

Midrange

MEM

57%

NOP

21%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

18.0

29%

44%

NOP

12.0

24%

36%

Free Throws

MEM

93%

NOP

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	16	40%	8.0 / 20
C. Spencer	16	114%	8.0 / 7
C. Coward	13	50%	6.5 / 13
V. Williams	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Landale	12	46%	6.0 / 13
K. Caldwell-Pope	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Wells	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Konchar	9	75%	4.5 / 6
G. Jackson	4	20%	2.0 / 10
O. Prosper	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Bey	22	55%	11.0 / 20
D. Queen	22	79%	11.0 / 14
Z. Williamson	21	75%	10.5 / 14
H. Jones	16	80%	8.0 / 10
J. Alvarado	11	55%	5.5 / 10
T. Murphy	8	25%	4.0 / 16
J. Fears	6	38%	3.0 / 8
K. Matković	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Peavy	3	75%	1.5 / 2
Y. Missi	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 20 113.3	MEM 106.0 NOP 112.9 +6.9
Pace	7 101.8 11 101.3	MEM 107.1 +12.3 NOP 94.7
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 22 14.1	MEM 13.4 −1.8 NOP 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 27 52.7%	MEM 49.5% NOP 53.4% +3.9%
TO %	22 14.3% 11 13.2%	MEM 16.7% NOP 13.9% −2.8%
ORB %	19 24.7% 8 27.0%	MEM 36.4% +4.6% NOP 31.8%
FTrt	21 25.1 8 28.4	MEM 16.1 NOP 29.5 +13.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 26 59.6%	MEM 65.0% +9.2% NOP 55.8%
STL %	11 8.7% 10 8.7%	MEM 11.0% NOP 12.9% +1.9%
BLK %	14 9.1% 7 10.1%	MEM 5.5% NOP 11.5% +6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 25 55.4%	MEM 52.0% NOP 54.8% +2.8%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 29 61.5%	MEM 51.7% NOP 78.0% +26.3%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 30 36.6%	MEM 56.5% +35.1% NOP 21.4%
3P %	22 35.3% 24 34.7%	MEM 29.3% +5.1% NOP 24.2%
FT %	9 79.3% 14 78.4%	MEM 93.3% +16.4% NOP 76.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 1 42.8%	MEM 31.2% NOP 46.6% +15.4%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 5 21.7%	MEM 24.7% NOP 15.9% −8.8%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 27 35.5%	MEM 44.1% +6.6% NOP 37.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	MEM	NOP
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	22.4	25.6
Points	106	114
Rebounds	46	42
Assists	26	24
Steals	11	13
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	19 (1)	15 (1)
Fouls	19	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (4)	14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (0)	28 (5)
Field Goals	40-93	43-88
At-the-Rim FG	15-29	32-41
Midrange FG	13-23	3-14
2-Point FG	28-52	35-55
3-Point FG	12-41	8-33
Free Throws	14-15	20-26
Fast Break Pts	11	24
2nd Chance Pts	21	13
Points in Paint	48	68
Pts off Turnovers	23	18
Bench Points	39	25
Biggest Lead	10	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg