Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Cavaliers	57%	118	94	96.9	97	95.7
	16	Hornets	43%	116	87	90.6	96	97.3

Prediction updated: Jan 22, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+24

-20

101

CHA

+24

-12

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

0.94 47.0%

CHA

0.80 39.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'2" 215 · 29	37.5	24	52%	3	6	1	0	8	1	1	2	6-7	86%	6-12	50%	2-8	25%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	35.5	14	50%	14	0	1	3	2	4	1	13	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	0-4	0%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	34.6	13	59%	9	0	0	2	1	1	1	8	5-6	83%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	30.6	14	39%	7	4	1	0	2	3	2	5	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-9	11%
Dean Wade #32 · SF · 6'9" 228 · 29	27.1	4	50%	9	4	1	1	1	1	1	8	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	20.8	6	43%	9	2	0	0	0	1	7	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	18.2	7	58%	1	2	0	2	2	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	13.3	4	29%	4	1	1	0	4	3	2	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	12.6	5	83%	2	1	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	9.8	3	30%	2	0	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Sprain
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	47%	60	20	6	8	20	21	17	43	18-24	75%	26-47	55%	8-40	20%

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7 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'2" 215 · 29	37.5	24	52%	3	6	1	0	8	1	1	2	6-7	86%	6-12	50%	2-8	25%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	35.5	14	50%	14	0	1	3	2	4	1	13	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	0-4	0%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	34.6	13	59%	9	0	0	2	1	1	1	8	5-6	83%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	30.6	14	39%	7	4	1	0	2	3	2	5	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-9	11%
Dean Wade #32 · SF · 6'9" 228 · 29	27.1	4	50%	9	4	1	1	1	1	1	8	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	20.8	6	43%	9	2	0	0	0	1	7	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	18.2	7	58%	1	2	0	2	2	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	13.3	4	29%	4	1	1	0	4	3	2	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	12.6	5	83%	2	1	1	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	9.8	3	30%	2	0	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Sprain
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	47%	60	20	6	8	20	21	17	43	18-24	75%	26-47	55%	8-40	20%

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16 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	34.0	24	55%	4	2	2	0	3	1	0	4	5-5	100%	5-9	56%	3-11	27%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	31.4	21	48%	11	2	1	0	2	3	4	7	3-3	100%	6-11	55%	2-10	20%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	29.2	4	50%	5	0	1	3	2	4	3	2	2-6	33%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	26.0	11	42%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-1	0%	4-8	50%	1-5	20%
Sion James #4 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 23	21.7	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	25.4	0	0%	5	4	3	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-5	0%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	22.3	2	7%	5	7	2	1	2	4	1	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-10	0%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	19.3	7	88%	9	2	1	0	1	1	5	4	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Collin Sexton #8 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	15.4	11	46%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-4	25%
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	15.3	7	70%	4	1	0	0	1	4	3	1	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip Flexor; Strain
Mason Plumlee #22 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	87	40%	47	20	12	4	12	23	17	30	13-18	72%	25-51	49%	8-47	17%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	CHA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

0.94 47.0%

CHA

0.80 39.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

64%

CHA

59%

Midrange

CLE

45%

CHA

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

12.0

20%

30%

CHA

12.0

17%

26%

Free Throws

CLE

75%

CHA

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	24	52%	12.0 / 23
E. Mobley	14	50%	7.0 / 14
J. Tyson	14	39%	7.0 / 18
J. Allen	13	59%	6.5 / 11
C. Porter	7	58%	3.5 / 6
N. Tomlin	6	43%	3.0 / 7
L. Nance	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Wade	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Hunter	4	29%	2.0 / 7
T. Proctor	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Miller	24	55%	12.0 / 22
K. Knueppel	21	48%	10.5 / 22
M. Bridges	11	42%	5.5 / 13
C. Sexton	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. Green	7	88%	3.5 / 4
R. Kalkbrenner	7	70%	3.5 / 5
M. Diabaté	4	50%	2.0 / 4
L. Ball	2	7%	1.0 / 15
S. James	0	-	0.0 / 2
G. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 118.3 5 118.6	CLE 96.9 +6.3 CHA 90.6
Pace	12 100.6 27 97.5	CLE 95.7 CHA 97.3 +1.7
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.1 3 15.2	CLE 15.0 CHA 14.8 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.1% 12 55.2%	CLE 43.7% +5.9% CHA 37.8%
TO %	10 13.2% 27 14.8%	CLE 17.7% CHA 10.9% −6.8%
ORB %	9 26.9% 4 30.5%	CLE 36.2% +7.9% CHA 28.3%
FTrt	15 26.5 23 24.4	CLE 27.6 +9.2 CHA 18.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 65.3% 14 64.3%	CLE 58.8% CHA 60.6% +1.8%
STL %	15 8.4% 29 7.2%	CLE 6.2% CHA 12.5% +6.3%
BLK %	11 9.8% 20 8.6%	CLE 15.7% +7.2% CHA 8.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.2% 10 57.3%	CLE 47.0% +7.1% CHA 39.9%
Rim FG%	7 66.1% 23 63.1%	CLE 64.0% +4.6% CHA 59.4%
Mid FG%	3 46.8% 25 41.4%	CLE 45.5% +13.9% CHA 31.6%
3P %	13 36.0% 3 37.8%	CLE 20.0% +3.0% CHA 17.0%
FT %	19 77.6% 2 81.8%	CLE 75.0% +2.8% CHA 72.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.7% 25 29.3%	CLE 28.7% CHA 32.7% +3.9%
Mid Att. %	8 24.1% 6 22.0%	CLE 25.3% CHA 19.4% −5.9%
3P Att. %	9 44.2% 2 48.7%	CLE 46.0% CHA 48.0% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	CHA
Possessions	97	96
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	94	87
Rebounds	60	47
Assists	20	20
Steals	6	12
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	20 (1)	12 (1)
Fouls	21	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (7)	17 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	43 (2)	30 (4)
Field Goals	34-87	33-98
At-the-Rim FG	16-25	19-32
Midrange FG	10-22	6-19
2-Point FG	26-47	25-51
3-Point FG	8-40	8-47
Free Throws	18-24	13-18
Fast Break Pts	9	26
2nd Chance Pts	25	17
Points in Paint	46	50
Pts off Turnovers	20	21
Bench Points	25	27
Biggest Lead	27	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg