Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, January 25, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Pelicans	21%	112	104	109.5	95	86.2
	6	Spurs	79%	122	95	101.1	94	104.5

Prediction updated: Jan 25, 2026 11:36 PM

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+27

-10

112

SAS

+13

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

0.93 46.4%

SAS

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26	37.9	17	39%	6	9	0	0	1	2	1	5	0-1	0%	4-11	36%	3-11	27%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	33.5	24	63%	10	4	1	0	0	0	4	6	7-9	78%	4-8	50%	3-7	43%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	33.3	24	60%	10	4	0	1	1	2	4	6	4-5	80%	10-18	56%	0-0	-
Herbert Jones #2 · PG · 6'7" 206 · 27	28.5	9	45%	3	2	0	2	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	17.2	4	29%	4	1	0	0	4	5	1	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%

Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	30.3	10	42%	14	2	1	2	1	5	6	8	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	18.3	0	0%	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	16.4	8	44%	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	13.3	6	60%	5	1	0	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	11.6	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	46%	58	23	3	5	10	23	19	39	13-17	76%	32-68	47%	9-34	26%

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23 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26	37.9	17	39%	6	9	0	0	1	2	1	5	0-1	0%	4-11	36%	3-11	27%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	33.5	24	63%	10	4	1	0	0	0	4	6	7-9	78%	4-8	50%	3-7	43%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	33.3	24	60%	10	4	0	1	1	2	4	6	4-5	80%	10-18	56%	0-0	-
Herbert Jones #2 · PG · 6'7" 206 · 27	28.5	9	45%	3	2	0	2	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	17.2	4	29%	4	1	0	0	4	5	1	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%

Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	30.3	10	42%	14	2	1	2	1	5	6	8	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	18.3	0	0%	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	16.4	8	44%	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	13.3	6	60%	5	1	0	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	11.6	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	4	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	46%	58	23	3	5	10	23	19	39	13-17	76%	32-68	47%	9-34	26%

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6 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	34.7	12	60%	2	7	0	0	4	3	0	2	1-4	25%	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	31.4	16	42%	16	0	0	4	3	3	1	15	2-6	33%	4-6	67%	2-10	20%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 25	29.2	13	59%	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	6-6	100%	2-2	100%	1-7	14%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	28.9	5	31%	4	5	1	0	2	2	1	3	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	19.0	5	125%	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-2	50%

Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	27.5	15	54%	2	1	0	0	0	5	0	2	2-4	50%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	25.3	13	50%	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	1-3	33%	3-4	75%	2-8	25%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	19.9	5	42%	8	1	0	1	0	0	6	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	16.8	5	42%	6	3	0	0	1	1	1	5	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	7.4	6	60%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Contusion
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	50%	46	22	2	5	11	16	10	36	19-32	59%	20-37	54%	12-44	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

0.93 46.4%

SAS

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

54%

SAS

52%

Midrange

NOP

37%

SAS

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

13.5

26%

40%

SAS

18.0

27%

41%

Free Throws

NOP

76%

SAS

59%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Bey	24	63%	12.0 / 19
Z. Williamson	24	60%	12.0 / 20
T. Murphy	17	39%	8.5 / 22
Y. Missi	10	42%	5.0 / 12
H. Jones	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Fears	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Alvarado	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Queen	4	29%	2.0 / 7
K. Matković	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Peavy	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	16	42%	8.0 / 19
K. Johnson	15	54%	7.5 / 14
J. Champagnie	13	59%	6.5 / 11
D. Vassell	13	50%	6.5 / 13
D. Fox	12	60%	6.0 / 10
C. Bryant	6	60%	3.0 / 5
S. Castle	5	31%	2.5 / 8
H. Barnes	5	125%	2.5 / 2
L. Kornet	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. Harper	5	42%	2.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.3 3 118.9	NOP 109.5 +8.4 SAS 101.1
Pace	11 101.3 13 100.5	NOP 86.2 SAS 104.5 +18.2
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.1 18 14.2	NOP 16.7 SAS 13.8 −2.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.7% 7 55.9%	NOP 44.6% SAS 46.9% +2.3%
TO %	11 13.2% 4 12.5%	NOP 8.4% −2.8% SAS 11.2%
ORB %	8 27.0% 10 26.2%	NOP 34.5% +14.1% SAS 20.4%
FTrt	8 28.4 12 27.3	NOP 16.7 SAS 39.5 +22.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 13 64.6%	NOP 56.1% SAS 68.8% +12.7%
STL %	10 8.7% 24 7.5%	NOP 3.2% +1.1% SAS 2.1%
BLK %	7 10.1% 10 10.0%	NOP 13.5% +6.1% SAS 7.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.4% 6 58.1%	NOP 46.4% SAS 49.5% +3.1%
Rim FG%	29 61.5% 9 65.8%	NOP 53.7% +1.8% SAS 51.9%
Mid FG%	30 36.6% 5 45.1%	NOP 37.0% SAS 60.0% +23.0%
3P %	24 34.7% 15 35.9%	NOP 26.5% SAS 27.3% +0.8%
FT %	14 78.4% 12 78.7%	NOP 76.5% +17.1% SAS 59.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 42.8% 7 34.4%	NOP 40.2% +6.9% SAS 33.3%
Mid Att. %	5 21.7% 7 23.4%	NOP 26.5% SAS 12.3% −14.1%
3P Att. %	27 35.5% 15 42.2%	NOP 33.3% SAS 54.3% +21.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	NOP	SAS
Possessions	95	94
Possession Minutes	26.4	21.6
Points	104	95
Rebounds	58	46
Assists	23	22
Steals	3	2
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	11 (1)
Fouls	23	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (8)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (4)	36 (0)
Field Goals	41-102	32-81
At-the-Rim FG	22-41	14-27
Midrange FG	10-27	6-10
2-Point FG	32-68	20-37
3-Point FG	9-34	12-44
Free Throws	13-17	19-32
Fast Break Pts	2	16
2nd Chance Pts	26	9
Points in Paint	56	32
Pts off Turnovers	12	14
Bench Points	26	44
Biggest Lead	20	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg