Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 23, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Pacers	12%	103	117	117.0	100	97.8
	1	Thunder	88%	118	114	112.9	101	103.4

Prediction updated: Jan 24, 2026 12:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+17

-10

107

OKC

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.09 54.7%

OKC

1.16 58.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · C · 6'8" 245 · 32	37.1	21	50%	6	6	0	0	1	1	1	5	1-3	33%	7-14	50%	2-6	33%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	36.4	27	75%	7	11	0	0	3	4	1	6	3-4	75%	6-9	67%	4-7	57%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	36.1	17	61%	5	5	0	0	2	5	2	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	3-5	60%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	33.3	4	22%	10	3	1	1	0	3	4	6	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	30.6	26	65%	4	3	2	0	2	5	0	4	7-11	64%	5-9	56%	3-6	50%

Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	25.0	10	56%	10	1	0	0	0	0	4	6	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-7	29%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	19.0	6	33%	2	3	2	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	14.1	6	75%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	6.2	0	0%	6	0	0	0	2	1	1	5	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	55%	51	34	5	1	10	24	14	37	11-20	55%	29-58	50%	16-38	42%

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24 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · C · 6'8" 245 · 32	37.1	21	50%	6	6	0	0	1	1	1	5	1-3	33%	7-14	50%	2-6	33%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	36.4	27	75%	7	11	0	0	3	4	1	6	3-4	75%	6-9	67%	4-7	57%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	36.1	17	61%	5	5	0	0	2	5	2	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	3-5	60%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	33.3	4	22%	10	3	1	1	0	3	4	6	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	30.6	26	65%	4	3	2	0	2	5	0	4	7-11	64%	5-9	56%	3-6	50%

Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	25.0	10	56%	10	1	0	0	0	0	4	6	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-7	29%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	19.0	6	33%	2	3	2	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	14.1	6	75%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	6.2	0	0%	6	0	0	0	2	1	1	5	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 28
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	55%	51	34	5	1	10	24	14	37	11-20	55%	29-58	50%	16-38	42%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luguentz Dort #5 · PF · 6'4" 220 · 27	35.0	2	11%	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-5	0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	34.7	47	71%	4	4	1	1	1	2	1	3	12-12	100%	16-24	67%	1-4	25%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 24	33.3	25	69%	13	3	0	3	0	3	0	13	7-8	88%	6-10	60%	2-4	50%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	30.3	10	63%	5	1	2	0	0	3	0	5	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	3-4	75%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SF · 6'4" 165 · 27	30.1	7	44%	2	1	0	0	1	4	0	2	3-3	100%	2-2	100%	0-5	0%

Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	28.3	12	67%	7	4	1	1	0	3	1	6	2-3	67%	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	21.7	2	50%	5	3	0	1	4	3	1	4	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 23	13.5	7	70%	2	1	0	2	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	7.2	2	33%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	5.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Soreness
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	58%	41	18	4	8	9	22	4	37	27-30	90%	33-56	59%	7-26	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	IND	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.09 54.7%

OKC

1.16 58.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

59%

OKC

68%

Midrange

IND

42%

OKC

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

24.0

42%

63%

OKC

10.5

27%

40%

Free Throws

IND

55%

OKC

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Nembhard	27	75%	13.5 / 18
J. Walker	26	65%	13.0 / 20
P. Siakam	21	50%	10.5 / 21
A. Nesmith	17	61%	8.5 / 14
M. Potter	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. McConnell	6	33%	3.0 / 9
B. Sheppard	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Furphy	4	22%	2.0 / 9
I. Jackson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	47	71%	23.5 / 33
C. Holmgren	25	69%	12.5 / 18
K. Williams	12	67%	6.0 / 9
C. Wallace	10	63%	5.0 / 8
I. Joe	7	44%	3.5 / 8
O. Dieng	7	70%	3.5 / 5
L. Dort	2	11%	1.0 / 9
J. Williams	2	50%	1.0 / 2
B. Carlson	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.1 7 117.6	IND 117.0 +4.1 OKC 112.9
Pace	10 101.4 15 100.3	IND 97.8 OKC 103.4 +5.6
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 20 14.1	IND 14.7 OKC 13.9 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.3% 4 56.1%	IND 55.2% +2.2% OKC 53.0%
TO %	14 13.6% 1 11.8%	IND 9.5% OKC 8.6% −0.9%
ORB %	29 21.7% 28 22.3%	IND 27.5% +17.7% OKC 9.8%
FTrt	20 25.2 17 26.1	IND 20.8 OKC 36.6 +15.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 67.8% 25 59.8%	IND 75.6% +30.6% OKC 45.0%
STL %	28 7.2% 4 9.6%	IND 5.0% +1.0% OKC 4.0%
BLK %	26 8.1% 2 11.0%	IND 1.8% OKC 13.8% +12.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.4% 4 58.5%	IND 54.7% OKC 58.2% +3.5%
Rim FG%	25 62.9% 11 65.2%	IND 59.3% OKC 68.2% +8.9%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 1 47.6%	IND 41.9% OKC 52.9% +11.0%
3P %	18 35.6% 9 36.5%	IND 42.1% +15.2% OKC 26.9%
FT %	17 77.6% 3 81.7%	IND 55.0% OKC 90.0% +35.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.3% 16 31.3%	IND 28.1% +1.3% OKC 26.8%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 15 26.1%	IND 32.3% −9.2% OKC 41.5%
3P Att. %	14 42.2% 13 42.6%	IND 39.6% +7.9% OKC 31.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	OKC
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	117	114
Rebounds	51	41
Assists	34	18
Steals	5	4
Blocks	1	8
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	24	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (3)	4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	37 (2)
Field Goals	45-96	40-82
At-the-Rim FG	16-27	15-22
Midrange FG	13-31	18-34
2-Point FG	29-58	33-56
3-Point FG	16-38	7-26
Free Throws	11-20	27-30
Fast Break Pts	6	3
2nd Chance Pts	14	8
Points in Paint	48	44
Pts off Turnovers	8	16
Bench Points	22	23
Biggest Lead	17	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg