Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 29, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Bucks	52%	114	99	98.0	101	99.2
	28	Wizards	48%	113	109	107.9	101	102.7

Prediction updated: Jan 29, 2026 11:56 PM

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

+13

-9

105

WAS

+20

-13

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

0.95 47.6%

WAS

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	39.4	21	62%	14	1	0	6	2	4	3	11	3-3	100%	6-10	60%	2-6	33%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	37.0	2	17%	2	3	0	1	0	3	0	2	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	36.4	19	53%	7	3	0	1	0	1	1	6	1-2	50%	6-12	50%	2-5	40%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 31	34.6	19	50%	9	6	0	0	3	3	1	8	3-3	100%	8-15	53%	0-3	0%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 24	26.5	17	65%	3	8	4	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	3-5	60%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	24.8	3	25%	0	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	20.1	13	65%	6	1	1	0	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 26	17.6	5	23%	2	1	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-6	17%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	3.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amir Coffey #17 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique Muscle; Strain
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Surgery
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Soreness
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	48%	43	25	7	9	9	20	7	36	7-9	78%	31-60	52%	10-38	26%

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26 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	39.4	21	62%	14	1	0	6	2	4	3	11	3-3	100%	6-10	60%	2-6	33%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	37.0	2	17%	2	3	0	1	0	3	0	2	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	36.4	19	53%	7	3	0	1	0	1	1	6	1-2	50%	6-12	50%	2-5	40%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 31	34.6	19	50%	9	6	0	0	3	3	1	8	3-3	100%	8-15	53%	0-3	0%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 24	26.5	17	65%	3	8	4	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	3-5	60%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	24.8	3	25%	0	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	20.1	13	65%	6	1	1	0	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 26	17.6	5	23%	2	1	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-6	17%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	3.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amir Coffey #17 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique Muscle; Strain
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Surgery
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Soreness
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	48%	43	25	7	9	9	20	7	36	7-9	78%	31-60	52%	10-38	26%

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28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	35.5	23	48%	5	5	2	1	1	1	2	3	1-1	100%	8-16	50%	2-8	25%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	31.5	16	53%	17	2	1	2	2	2	7	10	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	1-3	33%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · PG · 6'7" 195 · 22	27.8	8	57%	10	1	2	2	1	3	3	7	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Khris Middleton #22 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 34	26.0	13	59%	6	4	0	0	5	0	0	6	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	11.5	8	50%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%

Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	28.5	13	65%	4	6	1	0	3	0	1	3	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	25.9	12	55%	6	1	1	1	0	2	1	5	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	20.7	4	25%	9	0	1	1	1	2	1	8	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	18.5	6	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 23	14.1	6	43%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Skal Labissière #17 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL Sprain; Quad Contusion
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Thoracic; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	51%	61	21	8	7	13	11	18	43	25-28	89%	30-61	49%	8-35	23%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIL

0.95 47.6%

WAS

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

61%

WAS

59%

Midrange

MIL

36%

WAS

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

15.0

26%

39%

WAS

12.0

23%

34%

Free Throws

MIL

78%

WAS

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Turner	21	62%	10.5 / 17
B. Portis	19	53%	9.5 / 18
K. Kuzma	19	50%	9.5 / 19
R. Rollins	17	65%	8.5 / 13
P. Nance	13	65%	6.5 / 10
C. Anthony	5	23%	2.5 / 11
G. Trent	3	25%	1.5 / 6
A. Green	2	17%	1.0 / 6
A. Jackson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. George	23	48%	11.5 / 24
A. Sarr	16	53%	8.0 / 15
K. Middleton	13	59%	6.5 / 11
B. Carrington	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Champagnie	12	55%	6.0 / 11
B. Coulibaly	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Johnson	8	50%	4.0 / 8
W. Riley	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Branham	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Watkins	4	25%	2.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 112.3 29 109.7	MIL 98.0 WAS 107.9 +9.9
Pace	24 98.1 5 102.5	MIL 99.2 WAS 102.7 +3.5
Avg. Poss. Time	7 14.8 23 14.0	MIL 14.5 WAS 14.0 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.5% 21 53.5%	MIL 46.9% +3.1% WAS 43.8%
TO %	24 14.7% 26 14.7%	MIL 8.1% −2.6% WAS 10.7%
ORB %	30 21.1% 21 24.0%	MIL 14.0% WAS 33.3% +19.3%
FTrt	29 22.3 26 23.5	MIL 9.2 WAS 29.2 +20.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 63.3% 24 59.9%	MIL 61.0% +5.7% WAS 55.3%
STL %	23 7.5% 22 7.8%	MIL 6.9% WAS 7.9% +1.0%
BLK %	25 8.2% 9 10.0%	MIL 14.8% +3.1% WAS 11.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 26 55.4%	MIL 47.6% WAS 50.5% +2.9%
Rim FG%	4 67.1% 15 64.7%	MIL 60.5% +1.7% WAS 58.8%
Mid FG%	20 42.6% 26 41.3%	MIL 36.4% WAS 37.0% +0.6%
3P %	2 38.7% 16 35.9%	MIL 26.3% +3.4% WAS 22.9%
FT %	30 73.0% 23 76.6%	MIL 77.8% WAS 89.3% +11.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 28.2% 22 30.6%	MIL 38.8% +3.4% WAS 35.4%
Mid Att. %	16 26.1% 25 29.1%	MIL 22.4% −5.7% WAS 28.1%
3P Att. %	5 45.7% 20 40.3%	MIL 38.8% +2.3% WAS 36.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Game Totals	MIL	WAS
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	99	109
Rebounds	43	61
Assists	25	21
Steals	7	8
Blocks	9	7
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	20	11
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (6)	18 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (4)	43 (2)
Field Goals	41-98	38-96
At-the-Rim FG	23-38	20-34
Midrange FG	8-22	10-27
2-Point FG	31-60	30-61
3-Point FG	10-38	8-35
Free Throws	7-9	25-28
Fast Break Pts	6	13
2nd Chance Pts	13	23
Points in Paint	52	50
Pts off Turnovers	14	6
Bench Points	21	41
Biggest Lead	2	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg