Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 26, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Warriors	37%	107	83	77.6	107	104.6
	9	Timberwolves	63%	111	108	100.9	107	108.9

Prediction updated: Jan 27, 2026 02:27 AM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+16

-18

105

MIN

+10

-22

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

0.80 39.9%

MIN

1.14 56.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pat Spencer #61 · SG · 6'2" 205 · 30	33.5	10	45%	5	6	1	0	4	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	2-4	50%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	27.8	12	40%	7	4	0	0	3	2	0	7	4-5	80%	4-11	36%	0-2	0%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	27.6	13	54%	5	0	0	1	0	2	3	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-7	43%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	26.3	10	42%	4	1	0	1	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	26.2	11	42%	10	2	1	1	4	1	1	9	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-6	17%

Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	28.9	5	23%	2	3	1	1	1	3	0	2	0-2	0%	1-6	17%	1-4	25%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	28.2	4	22%	2	3	6	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-6	0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	20.4	8	44%	4	1	2	0	2	3	2	2	2-4	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	11.9	4	50%	1	0	1	0	2	6	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	9.4	6	60%	5	1	1	0	0	0	1	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tightness
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Injury Management
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Inflammation
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Low Back; Soreness
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	40%	45	21	13	4	18	19	11	34	8-13	62%	24-56	43%	9-39	23%

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17 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pat Spencer #61 · SG · 6'2" 205 · 30	33.5	10	45%	5	6	1	0	4	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	2-4	50%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	27.8	12	40%	7	4	0	0	3	2	0	7	4-5	80%	4-11	36%	0-2	0%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	27.6	13	54%	5	0	0	1	0	2	3	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-7	43%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	26.3	10	42%	4	1	0	1	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	26.2	11	42%	10	2	1	1	4	1	1	9	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-6	17%

Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	28.9	5	23%	2	3	1	1	1	3	0	2	0-2	0%	1-6	17%	1-4	25%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	28.2	4	22%	2	3	6	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-6	0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	20.4	8	44%	4	1	2	0	2	3	2	2	2-4	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	11.9	4	50%	1	0	1	0	2	6	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	9.4	6	60%	5	1	1	0	0	0	1	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tightness
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Injury Management
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Inflammation
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Low Back; Soreness
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	40%	45	21	13	4	18	19	11	34	8-13	62%	24-56	43%	9-39	23%

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9 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	35.0	15	68%	17	2	1	2	3	1	3	14	5-7	71%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 29	31.4	15	75%	4	8	1	3	4	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	5-9	56%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	30.4	14	64%	3	3	0	3	3	1	0	3	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	22.8	18	56%	7	2	1	0	6	2	0	7	3-3	100%	6-9	67%	1-6	17%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	20.6	2	20%	2	2	0	1	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-4	0%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	25.2	15	63%	7	3	3	1	3	3	1	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-7	43%
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	24.7	17	77%	7	5	2	0	1	4	0	7	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	3-4	75%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	24.7	4	50%	3	2	2	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	9.5	6	38%	4	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	5.2	0	0%	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	5.2	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	5.2	2	33%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-4	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Abductor Hallucis Strain
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Maintenance
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	57%	56	29	12	10	22	15	9	47	20-26	77%	23-46	50%	14-35	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

GSW

0.80 39.9%

MIN

1.14 56.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

52%

MIN

52%

Midrange

GSW

33%

MIN

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

13.5

23%

35%

MIN

21.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

GSW

62%

MIN

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Q. Post	13	54%	6.5 / 12
B. Podziemski	12	40%	6.0 / 15
G. Santos	11	42%	5.5 / 13
P. Spencer	10	45%	5.0 / 11
M. Moody	10	42%	5.0 / 12
T. Jackson-Davis	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Leons	6	60%	3.0 / 5
B. Hield	5	23%	2.5 / 11
W. Richard	4	22%	2.0 / 9
G. Payton	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Randle	18	56%	9.0 / 16
B. Hyland	17	77%	8.5 / 11
R. Gobert	15	68%	7.5 / 11
D. DiVincenzo	15	75%	7.5 / 10
N. Reid	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. McDaniels	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Beringer	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Clark	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Conley	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Juzang	2	33%	1.0 / 3
R. Dillingham	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 13 115.7	GSW 77.6 MIN 100.9 +23.4
Pace	18 99.9 9 101.4	GSW 104.6 MIN 108.9 +4.3
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 15 14.4	GSW 13.8 MIN 13.2 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 6 55.9%	GSW 39.5% MIN 54.3% +14.8%
TO %	28 14.9% 18 13.9%	GSW 15.9% −3.3% MIN 19.2%
ORB %	14 25.8% 15 25.7%	GSW 19.0% MIN 20.9% +1.9%
FTrt	24 23.8 7 28.5	GSW 13.7 MIN 32.1 +18.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 21 61.2%	GSW 63.6% MIN 78.4% +14.8%
STL %	3 9.6% 13 8.6%	GSW 12.1% +0.9% MIN 11.2%
BLK %	27 8.0% 6 10.4%	GSW 8.7% MIN 17.9% +9.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 8 57.6%	GSW 39.9% MIN 56.8% +16.9%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 10 65.7%	GSW 51.7% +0.1% MIN 51.6%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 14 43.7%	GSW 33.3% MIN 46.7% +13.4%
3P %	20 35.6% 6 37.0%	GSW 23.1% MIN 40.0% +16.9%
FT %	6 80.7% 29 75.2%	GSW 61.5% MIN 76.9% +15.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 9 33.0%	GSW 30.5% MIN 38.3% +7.7%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 10 25.0%	GSW 28.4% MIN 18.5% −9.9%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 16 42.0%	GSW 41.1% MIN 43.2% +2.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	MIN
Possessions	107	107
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.6
Points	83	108
Rebounds	45	56
Assists	21	29
Steals	13	12
Blocks	4	10
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	22 (0)
Fouls	19	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (5)	9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (3)	47 (1)
Field Goals	33-95	37-81
At-the-Rim FG	15-29	16-31
Midrange FG	9-27	7-15
2-Point FG	24-56	23-46
3-Point FG	9-39	14-35
Free Throws	8-13	20-26
Fast Break Pts	17	29
2nd Chance Pts	17	14
Points in Paint	44	42
Pts off Turnovers	19	23
Bench Points	27	44
Biggest Lead	8	32

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg