Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, January 22, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Lakers	40%	110	104	105.1	99	95.8
	12	Clippers	60%	113	112	115.5	97	100.4

Prediction updated: Jan 23, 2026 03:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

LAL

+10

-10

LAC

+16

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.05 52.5%

LAC

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	39.2	32	50%	11	8	3	0	1	2	1	10	7-10	70%	8-14	57%	3-13	23%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	35.9	23	55%	5	6	2	0	4	1	0	5	4-5	80%	8-15	53%	1-4	25%
Marcus Smart #36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 32	29.9	10	50%	0	4	2	0	1	3	0	0	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Jake LaRavia #12 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 24	22.4	7	58%	5	1	3	4	1	1	2	3	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	2-2	100%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 28	20.5	4	40%	5	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	28.4	12	55%	3	2	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-7	29%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	21.9	7	70%	1	2	4	1	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	16.6	6	75%	2	0	0	1	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	15.6	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25	9.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kobe Bufkin #18 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right MCL; Sprain
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	34	24	14	8	10	17	6	28	13-18	72%	29-55	53%	11-33	33%

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16 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	39.2	32	50%	11	8	3	0	1	2	1	10	7-10	70%	8-14	57%	3-13	23%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	35.9	23	55%	5	6	2	0	4	1	0	5	4-5	80%	8-15	53%	1-4	25%
Marcus Smart #36 · SG · 6'3" 220 · 32	29.9	10	50%	0	4	2	0	1	3	0	0	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Jake LaRavia #12 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 24	22.4	7	58%	5	1	3	4	1	1	2	3	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	2-2	100%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 28	20.5	4	40%	5	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	28.4	12	55%	3	2	0	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-7	29%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	21.9	7	70%	1	2	4	1	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	16.6	6	75%	2	0	0	1	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	15.6	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25	9.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kobe Bufkin #18 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right MCL; Sprain
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	34	24	14	8	10	17	6	28	13-18	72%	29-55	53%	11-33	33%

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12 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	37.6	18	41%	7	10	2	0	7	0	1	6	4-4	100%	4-15	27%	2-6	33%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	33.4	13	81%	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	32.0	18	60%	19	0	1	0	1	3	10	9	4-4	100%	7-13	54%	0-0	-
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 32	29.5	4	50%	2	3	1	0	0	5	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	25.9	24	60%	5	4	1	0	2	2	1	4	3-3	100%	6-12	50%	3-7	43%

Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	24.9	14	78%	3	1	1	0	3	3	0	3	7-8	88%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	24.4	11	92%	4	1	1	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	16.7	0	0%	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	15.4	10	83%	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	58%	49	23	8	0	18	17	13	36	20-21	95%	28-53	53%	12-31	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	LAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.05 52.5%

LAC

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAL

56%

LAC

53%

Midrange

LAL

50%

LAC

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAL

16.5

33%

50%

LAC

18.0

39%

58%

Free Throws

LAL

72%

LAC

95%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	32	50%	16.0 / 32
L. James	23	55%	11.5 / 21
R. Hachimura	12	55%	6.0 / 11
M. Smart	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. LaRavia	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Vanderbilt	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Hayes	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Ayton	4	40%	2.0 / 5
G. Vincent	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	24	60%	12.0 / 20
J. Harden	18	41%	9.0 / 22
I. Zubac	18	60%	9.0 / 15
J. Miller	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. Collins	13	81%	6.5 / 8
K. Sanders	11	92%	5.5 / 6
B. Lopez	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Dunn	4	50%	2.0 / 4
N. Batum	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 117.1 11 116.4	LAL 105.1 LAC 115.5 +10.4
Pace	21 99.2 28 97.3	LAL 95.8 LAC 100.4 +4.6
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.8 5 15.0	LAL 15.0 LAC 14.3 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 8 55.9%	LAL 51.7% LAC 54.8% +3.1%
TO %	19 13.9% 17 13.9%	LAL 9.4% −8.3% LAC 17.7%
ORB %	22 23.9% 23 23.7%	LAL 14.3% LAC 31.7% +17.4%
FTrt	1 32.0 3 29.5	LAL 20.5 LAC 25.0 +4.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.5% 29 58.6%	LAL 60.0% +2.5% LAC 57.5%
STL %	12 8.6% 5 9.2%	LAL 14.1% +5.9% LAC 8.2%
BLK %	23 8.3% 13 9.5%	LAL 15.1% +15.1% LAC 0.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 59.4% 3 58.7%	LAL 52.5% LAC 58.3% +5.8%
Rim FG%	1 72.0% 3 67.1%	LAL 56.0% +2.9% LAC 53.1%
Mid FG%	4 46.8% 10 44.2%	LAL 50.0% LAC 52.4% +2.4%
3P %	14 35.9% 7 36.8%	LAL 33.3% LAC 38.7% +5.4%
FT %	26 76.3% 1 82.3%	LAL 72.2% LAC 95.2% +23.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.7% 15 31.6%	LAL 28.4% LAC 38.1% +9.7%
Mid Att. %	26 30.0% 20 27.9%	LAL 34.1% LAC 25.0% −9.1%
3P Att. %	22 39.4% 19 40.4%	LAL 37.5% +0.6% LAC 36.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	LAL	LAC
Possessions	99	97
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.2
Points	104	112
Rebounds	34	49
Assists	24	23
Steals	14	8
Blocks	8	0
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	18 (2)
Fouls	17	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (4)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	36 (3)
Field Goals	40-88	40-84
At-the-Rim FG	14-25	17-32
Midrange FG	15-30	11-21
2-Point FG	29-55	28-53
3-Point FG	11-33	12-31
Free Throws	13-18	20-21
Fast Break Pts	13	12
2nd Chance Pts	9	15
Points in Paint	52	42
Pts off Turnovers	17	8
Bench Points	28	35
Biggest Lead	4	26

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg