Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, January 31, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Hawks	53%	115	124	113.8	109	114.9
	22	Pacers	47%	114	129	118.3	109	103.7

Prediction updated: Feb 1, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+14

-10

113

IND

+13

-23

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.11 55.4%

IND

1.30 65.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	36.5	33	52%	12	10	3	0	4	1	4	8	6-8	75%	9-23	39%	3-6	50%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	35.1	21	53%	3	5	1	1	0	3	1	2	4-6	67%	4-10	40%	3-7	43%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · C · 6'11" 210 · 23	31.6	15	58%	4	0	3	1	0	3	1	3	7-9	78%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	29.1	8	57%	7	7	2	0	2	4	3	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	21.6	7	70%	3	0	1	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%

CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	29.2	18	56%	4	2	1	0	2	2	0	4	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	1-5	20%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	22.1	11	92%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Luke Kennard #4 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	18.3	11	79%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	16.4	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis #0 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Torn ACL
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Dental; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	55%	39	25	11	2	10	18	10	29	21-28	75%	35-69	51%	11-28	39%

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20 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	36.5	33	52%	12	10	3	0	4	1	4	8	6-8	75%	9-23	39%	3-6	50%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	35.1	21	53%	3	5	1	1	0	3	1	2	4-6	67%	4-10	40%	3-7	43%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · C · 6'11" 210 · 23	31.6	15	58%	4	0	3	1	0	3	1	3	7-9	78%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	29.1	8	57%	7	7	2	0	2	4	3	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	21.6	7	70%	3	0	1	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%

CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	29.2	18	56%	4	2	1	0	2	2	0	4	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	1-5	20%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	22.1	11	92%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Luke Kennard #4 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	18.3	11	79%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	16.4	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis #0 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendinitis
N'Faly Dante #12 · C · 6'11" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Torn ACL
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Dental; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	55%	39	25	11	2	10	18	10	29	21-28	75%	35-69	51%	11-28	39%

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22 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	33.5	23	96%	1	1	0	0	2	4	0	1	4-4	100%	5-6	83%	3-4	75%
Pascal Siakam #43 · C · 6'8" 245 · 32	32.5	25	78%	6	1	2	1	4	2	1	5	2-3	67%	10-14	71%	1-1	100%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	32.4	26	62%	6	10	1	0	3	6	1	5	3-5	60%	4-10	40%	5-9	56%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	26.3	11	46%	10	4	0	0	1	0	2	8	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	12.9	0	0%	2	1	0	0	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	31.9	14	70%	5	4	0	0	4	0	1	4	8-8	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	31.1	16	73%	6	0	0	2	2	2	0	6	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	3-8	38%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	17.7	8	67%	7	3	1	0	2	1	3	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	15.6	6	43%	3	4	2	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	6.0	0	0%	5	1	0	1	1	3	2	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	65%	51	29	6	4	23	21	11	40	18-21	86%	33-57	58%	15-32	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	IND
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.11 55.4%

IND

1.30 65.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

57%

IND

65%

Midrange

ATL

46%

IND

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

16.5

39%

59%

IND

22.5

47%

70%

Free Throws

ATL

75%

IND

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	33	52%	16.5 / 32
N. Alexander-Walker	21	53%	10.5 / 20
C. McCollum	18	56%	9.0 / 16
M. Gueye	15	58%	7.5 / 13
C. Kispert	11	92%	5.5 / 6
L. Kennard	11	79%	5.5 / 7
D. Daniels	8	57%	4.0 / 7
Z. Risacher	7	70%	3.5 / 5
C. Koloko	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Nembhard	26	62%	13.0 / 21
P. Siakam	25	78%	12.5 / 16
A. Nesmith	23	96%	11.5 / 12
J. Huff	16	73%	8.0 / 11
B. Mathurin	14	70%	7.0 / 10
J. Walker	11	46%	5.5 / 12
B. Sheppard	8	67%	4.0 / 6
T. McConnell	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Furphy	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 115.1 28 110.1	ATL 113.8 IND 118.3 +4.6
Pace	4 102.5 10 101.4	ATL 114.9 +11.2 IND 103.7
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.5 25 13.9	ATL 12.5 −1.4 IND 13.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 23 53.3%	ATL 53.1% IND 62.4% +9.3%
TO %	8 13.0% 14 13.6%	ATL 8.4% −10.6% IND 19.0%
ORB %	20 24.3% 29 21.7%	ATL 20.0% IND 27.5% +7.5%
FTrt	27 23.4 20 25.2	ATL 28.9 +5.3 IND 23.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 69.1% 5 67.8%	ATL 54.3% IND 60.4% +6.1%
STL %	6 9.1% 28 7.2%	ATL 10.1% +4.6% IND 5.5%
BLK %	18 8.8% 26 8.1%	ATL 3.5% IND 5.8% +2.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.9% 24 55.4%	ATL 55.4% IND 65.2% +9.8%
Rim FG%	21 63.3% 25 62.9%	ATL 57.1% IND 65.4% +8.3%
Mid FG%	6 44.6% 19 42.7%	ATL 46.3% IND 51.6% +5.3%
3P %	5 37.1% 18 35.6%	ATL 39.3% IND 46.9% +7.6%
FT %	20 77.4% 17 77.6%	ATL 75.0% IND 85.7% +10.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 32.1% 23 30.3%	ATL 28.9% IND 29.2% +0.3%
Mid Att. %	9 25.0% 18 27.5%	ATL 42.3% IND 34.8% −7.4%
3P Att. %	11 42.9% 14 42.2%	ATL 28.9% IND 36.0% +7.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	IND
Possessions	109	109
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	124	129
Rebounds	39	51
Assists	25	29
Steals	11	6
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	23 (0)
Fouls	18	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (0)	40 (1)
Field Goals	46-97	48-89
At-the-Rim FG	16-28	17-26
Midrange FG	19-41	16-31
2-Point FG	35-69	33-57
3-Point FG	11-28	15-32
Free Throws	21-28	18-21
Fast Break Pts	20	12
2nd Chance Pts	10	16
Points in Paint	64	56
Pts off Turnovers	23	18
Bench Points	40	44
Biggest Lead	9	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg