Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, January 31, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Timberwolves	66%	118	131	129.7	101	94.9
	19	Grizzlies	34%	112	114	111.8	102	109.0

Prediction updated: Feb 1, 2026 01:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+14

-14

101

MEM

+17

-14

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.31 65.5%

MEM

1.10 54.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	38.7	33	59%	2	3	1	1	1	2	0	2	14-16	88%	8-15	53%	1-6	17%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	35.1	27	79%	7	7	1	0	4	4	1	6	1-1	100%	7-12	58%	4-5	80%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	34.2	20	71%	4	2	0	0	3	4	1	3	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	3-5	60%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	30.8	9	45%	16	0	2	2	0	0	5	11	1-4	25%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 29	17.6	11	79%	1	5	1	0	2	5	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-5	60%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	30.9	20	71%	9	5	3	0	1	1	1	8	0-0	-	1-4	25%	6-10	60%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	17.9	0	0%	3	2	2	2	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	16.5	5	83%	2	0	1	0	1	2	1	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	12.8	4	67%	1	4	1	0	1	3	1	0	1-1	100%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	5.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Abductor Hallucis Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	66%	45	28	12	5	14	21	11	34	19-24	79%	29-52	56%	18-37	49%

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6 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	38.7	33	59%	2	3	1	1	1	2	0	2	14-16	88%	8-15	53%	1-6	17%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	35.1	27	79%	7	7	1	0	4	4	1	6	1-1	100%	7-12	58%	4-5	80%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	34.2	20	71%	4	2	0	0	3	4	1	3	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	3-5	60%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	30.8	9	45%	16	0	2	2	0	0	5	11	1-4	25%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 29	17.6	11	79%	1	5	1	0	2	5	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-5	60%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	30.9	20	71%	9	5	3	0	1	1	1	8	0-0	-	1-4	25%	6-10	60%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	17.9	0	0%	3	2	2	2	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	16.5	5	83%	2	0	1	0	1	2	1	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	12.8	4	67%	1	4	1	0	1	3	1	0	1-1	100%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	5.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Abductor Hallucis Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	66%	45	28	12	5	14	21	11	34	19-24	79%	29-52	56%	18-37	49%

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19 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	27.3	8	40%	6	3	1	2	3	2	1	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · PF · 6'7" 206 · 22	26.6	15	47%	6	1	0	0	1	3	2	4	3-6	50%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	26.0	7	50%	8	2	2	0	3	0	4	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 25	22.6	8	57%	4	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Ty Jerome #2 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 29	19.5	20	71%	1	6	1	0	2	3	0	1	6-7	86%	4-5	80%	2-7	29%

GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	27.6	19	79%	4	5	0	1	2	3	0	4	2-2	100%	7-8	88%	1-3	33%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	25.4	5	63%	3	5	2	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	22.0	13	72%	5	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	5-5	100%	1-4	25%
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	21.6	7	35%	4	6	1	0	0	0	2	2	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	21.4	12	55%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	0-3	0%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Anterior Triangle; Contusion
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	55%	43	29	8	4	14	16	13	30	16-24	67%	34-53	64%	10-37	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.31 65.5%

MEM

1.10 54.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

64%

MEM

72%

Midrange

MIN

48%

MEM

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

27.0

49%

73%

MEM

15.0

27%

41%

Free Throws

MIN

79%

MEM

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	33	59%	16.5 / 28
J. Randle	27	79%	13.5 / 17
J. McDaniels	20	71%	10.0 / 14
N. Reid	20	71%	10.0 / 14
D. DiVincenzo	11	79%	5.5 / 7
R. Gobert	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Clark	5	83%	2.5 / 3
B. Hyland	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Beringer	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Conley	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Jerome	20	71%	10.0 / 14
G. Jackson	19	79%	9.5 / 12
J. Wells	15	47%	7.5 / 16
O. Prosper	13	72%	6.5 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope	12	55%	6.0 / 11
C. Coward	8	40%	4.0 / 10
V. Williams	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Landale	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Small	7	35%	3.5 / 10
C. Spencer	5	63%	2.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 115.7 23 112.4	MIN 129.7 +17.9 MEM 111.8
Pace	9 101.4 7 101.8	MIN 94.9 MEM 109.0 +14.2
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 26 13.8	MIN 15.2 MEM 13.2 −2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.9% 24 53.3%	MIN 62.9% +8.5% MEM 54.4%
TO %	18 13.9% 22 14.3%	MIN 13.1% MEM 13.0% −0.1%
ORB %	15 25.7% 19 24.7%	MIN 26.8% MEM 27.7% +0.9%
FTrt	7 28.5 21 25.1	MIN 27.0 +0.3 MEM 26.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 61.2% 6 67.4%	MIN 59.6% MEM 65.9% +6.3%
STL %	13 8.6% 11 8.7%	MIN 11.9% +4.1% MEM 7.8%
BLK %	6 10.4% 14 9.1%	MIN 9.4% +1.7% MEM 7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 57.6% 22 55.8%	MIN 65.5% +10.7% MEM 54.8%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 26 62.8%	MIN 64.0% MEM 71.8% +7.8%
Mid FG%	14 43.7% 11 44.2%	MIN 48.1% +5.2% MEM 42.9%
3P %	6 37.0% 22 35.3%	MIN 48.6% +21.6% MEM 27.0%
FT %	29 75.2% 9 79.3%	MIN 79.2% +12.5% MEM 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.0% 26 28.6%	MIN 28.1% MEM 43.3% +15.2%
Mid Att. %	10 25.0% 19 27.8%	MIN 30.3% MEM 15.6% −14.8%
3P Att. %	16 42.0% 10 43.6%	MIN 41.6% +0.5% MEM 41.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	MEM
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	131	114
Rebounds	45	43
Assists	28	29
Steals	12	8
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	14 (1)
Fouls	21	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (0)	30 (2)
Field Goals	47-89	44-90
At-the-Rim FG	16-25	28-39
Midrange FG	13-27	6-14
2-Point FG	29-52	34-53
3-Point FG	18-37	10-37
Free Throws	19-24	16-24
Fast Break Pts	19	20
2nd Chance Pts	8	18
Points in Paint	40	64
Pts off Turnovers	21	15
Bench Points	31	56
Biggest Lead	22	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg