Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, February 8, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Heat	86%	120	132	125.7	105	120.2
	30	Wizards	14%	106	101	95.3	106	94.1

Prediction updated: Feb 8, 2026 06:31 PM

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

+22

-16

111

WAS

+16

-19

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.19 59.5%

WAS

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 29	28.1	22	73%	8	3	5	0	2	1	1	7	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	2-6	33%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 33	25.0	21	66%	4	0	1	0	1	3	1	3	6-8	75%	0-2	0%	5-10	50%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	24.9	5	42%	2	3	1	0	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	23.4	11	50%	10	2	2	1	0	0	5	5	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-6	50%
Myron Gardner #15 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 25	21.0	10	56%	7	6	2	0	2	3	3	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-3	67%

Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 22	29.8	19	68%	14	1	0	1	0	3	2	12	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Kasparas Jakučionis #25 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 20	25.9	22	110%	3	6	2	1	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	6-6	100%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	23.5	4	17%	4	6	0	1	6	1	4	0	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-4	0%
Simone Fontecchio #0 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	19.1	12	67%	5	3	3	0	1	0	2	3	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25	8.0	2	25%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	5.6	0	0%	1	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	5.6	4	67%	1	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Contusion
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Vladislav Goldin #50 · C · 7'0" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Costochondral; Injury to the Ribs
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	60%	60	34	18	4	16	19	21	39	13-15	87%	28-57	49%	21-47	45%

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13 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 29	28.1	22	73%	8	3	5	0	2	1	1	7	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	2-6	33%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 33	25.0	21	66%	4	0	1	0	1	3	1	3	6-8	75%	0-2	0%	5-10	50%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	24.9	5	42%	2	3	1	0	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	23.4	11	50%	10	2	2	1	0	0	5	5	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-6	50%
Myron Gardner #15 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 25	21.0	10	56%	7	6	2	0	2	3	3	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-3	67%

Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 22	29.8	19	68%	14	1	0	1	0	3	2	12	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Kasparas Jakučionis #25 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 20	25.9	22	110%	3	6	2	1	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	6-6	100%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	23.5	4	17%	4	6	0	1	6	1	4	0	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-4	0%
Simone Fontecchio #0 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	19.1	12	67%	5	3	3	0	1	0	2	3	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25	8.0	2	25%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	5.6	0	0%	1	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	5.6	4	67%	1	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Contusion
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Vladislav Goldin #50 · C · 7'0" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Costochondral; Injury to the Ribs
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	60%	60	34	18	4	16	19	21	39	13-15	87%	28-57	49%	21-47	45%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · PG · 6'7" 195 · 22	33.5	7	44%	4	1	1	1	4	4	0	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Bub Carrington #7 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	28.6	13	50%	2	5	1	0	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-6	17%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	25.8	12	43%	12	5	1	0	1	5	0	12	0-2	0%	6-12	50%	0-1	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	24.9	13	50%	7	1	1	0	0	0	3	4	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	19.1	13	50%	2	3	0	1	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	3-6	50%

Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	33.4	12	60%	7	2	1	2	0	1	3	4	1-3	33%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	20.9	9	45%	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	20.4	8	67%	1	3	1	0	2	0	0	1	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	19.9	14	64%	5	2	0	0	4	0	3	2	0-0	-	1-6	17%	4-5	80%
Keshon Gilbert #55 · NA · 6'4" 200 · 23	13.4	0	0%	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Contusion
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL Sprain; Quad Contusion
D'Angelo Russell #14 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 31	Inactive - Not With Team
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	Inactive – Rest \| Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	50%	42	23	7	6	19	12	10	32	11-16	69%	27-57	47%	12-36	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.19 59.5%

WAS

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

62%

WAS

61%

Midrange

MIA

25%

WAS

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

31.5

45%

67%

WAS

18.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

MIA

87%

WAS

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	22	73%	11.0 / 15
K. Jakučionis	22	110%	11.0 / 10
N. Powell	21	66%	10.5 / 16
K. Ware	19	68%	9.5 / 14
S. Fontecchio	12	67%	6.0 / 9
A. Wiggins	11	50%	5.5 / 11
M. Gardner	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Mitchell	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Jaquez	4	17%	2.0 / 12
N. Jović	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Young	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Vukcevic	14	64%	7.0 / 11
B. Carrington	13	50%	6.5 / 13
J. Champagnie	13	50%	6.5 / 13
K. George	13	50%	6.5 / 13
A. Sarr	12	43%	6.0 / 14
J. Watkins	12	60%	6.0 / 10
W. Riley	9	45%	4.5 / 10
S. Cooper	8	67%	4.0 / 6
B. Coulibaly	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Gilbert	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 115.8 29 109.7	MIA 125.7 +30.4 WAS 95.3
Pace	1 104.3 5 102.5	MIA 120.2 +26.1 WAS 94.1
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.1 23 14.0	MIA 12.0 −3.3 WAS 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.2% 21 53.5%	MIA 57.2% +8.8% WAS 48.4%
TO %	5 12.6% 26 14.7%	MIA 12.6% −3.4% WAS 16.0%
ORB %	17 25.4% 21 24.0%	MIA 39.6% +19.2% WAS 20.4%
FTrt	14 26.8 26 23.5	MIA 14.4 WAS 17.2 +2.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 66.3% 24 59.9%	MIA 69.4% +10.4% WAS 59.0%
STL %	17 8.3% 22 7.8%	MIA 17.1% +10.5% WAS 6.6%
BLK %	28 7.9% 9 10.0%	MIA 7.0% WAS 10.5% +3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 26 55.4%	MIA 59.5% +10.0% WAS 49.5%
Rim FG%	20 63.6% 15 64.7%	MIA 62.2% +1.3% WAS 60.9%
Mid FG%	21 42.4% 26 41.3%	MIA 25.0% WAS 38.2% +13.2%
3P %	11 36.1% 16 35.9%	MIA 44.7% +11.4% WAS 33.3%
FT %	11 79.2% 23 76.6%	MIA 86.7% +17.9% WAS 68.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 32.9% 22 30.6%	MIA 35.6% +10.8% WAS 24.7%
Mid Att. %	17 26.5% 25 29.1%	MIA 19.2% −17.3% WAS 36.6%
3P Att. %	18 40.6% 20 40.3%	MIA 45.2% +6.5% WAS 38.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	WAS
Possessions	105	106
Possession Minutes	21.0	27.0
Points	132	101
Rebounds	60	42
Assists	34	23
Steals	18	7
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls	19	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	21 (1)	10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (3)	32 (2)
Field Goals	49-104	39-93
At-the-Rim FG	23-37	14-23
Midrange FG	5-20	13-34
2-Point FG	28-57	27-57
3-Point FG	21-47	12-36
Free Throws	13-15	11-16
Fast Break Pts	26	11
2nd Chance Pts	31	14
Points in Paint	54	40
Pts off Turnovers	26	15
Bench Points	63	43
Biggest Lead	32	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg