Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, February 9, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Grizzlies	30%	106	113	110.8	102	101.5
	12	Warriors	70%	113	114	112.9	101	101.3

Prediction updated: Feb 10, 2026 03:00 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+14

-16

100

GSW

+12

-23

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.15 57.7%

GSW

1.27 63.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Anderson #5 · C · 6'8" 230 · 32	26.0	8	80%	4	0	2	2	5	2	0	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	25.9	10	50%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	23.5	6	60%	4	2	1	0	2	4	1	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Ty Jerome #2 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 29	19.9	19	63%	3	7	2	0	1	0	0	3	1-2	50%	6-7	86%	2-7	29%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	11.8	2	50%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	24.5	15	50%	10	2	3	0	0	2	1	9	3-5	60%	3-6	50%	2-8	25%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	23.9	2	17%	4	4	0	0	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	22.0	17	85%	2	1	2	0	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	7-8	88%	1-2	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	21.6	15	75%	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	8-9	89%	2-5	40%	1-1	100%
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	20.6	8	44%	3	1	2	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-4	50%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	20.2	11	92%	0	4	4	1	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-1	100%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Contusion
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Lawson Lovering #34 · C · 7'0" 245 · 23	Inactive - Coaches Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	37	26	17	3	16	18	8	29	19-24	79%	32-51	63%	10-32	31%

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22 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Anderson #5 · C · 6'8" 230 · 32	26.0	8	80%	4	0	2	2	5	2	0	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	25.9	10	50%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	23.5	6	60%	4	2	1	0	2	4	1	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Ty Jerome #2 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 29	19.9	19	63%	3	7	2	0	1	0	0	3	1-2	50%	6-7	86%	2-7	29%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	11.8	2	50%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	24.5	15	50%	10	2	3	0	0	2	1	9	3-5	60%	3-6	50%	2-8	25%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	23.9	2	17%	4	4	0	0	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	22.0	17	85%	2	1	2	0	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	7-8	88%	1-2	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	21.6	15	75%	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	8-9	89%	2-5	40%	1-1	100%
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	20.6	8	44%	3	1	2	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-4	50%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	20.2	11	92%	0	4	4	1	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-1	100%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Contusion
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Lawson Lovering #34 · C · 7'0" 245 · 23	Inactive - Coaches Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	37	26	17	3	16	18	8	29	19-24	79%	32-51	63%	10-32	31%

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12 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	31.7	17	65%	3	7	2	0	2	2	1	2	0-2	0%	7-8	88%	1-5	20%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	29.8	16	80%	8	2	1	0	4	3	1	7	1-1	100%	6-7	86%	1-3	33%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	27.7	15	94%	1	3	2	0	3	1	0	1	8-9	89%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	25.4	10	38%	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	3	4-4	100%	3-8	38%	0-3	0%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 36	23.6	14	100%	4	2	2	0	7	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-6	67%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	31.9	16	50%	4	5	1	0	1	0	0	4	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	1-6	17%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	26.3	16	67%	9	6	1	0	0	0	3	6	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	1-3	33%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	23.6	7	39%	4	2	3	1	1	2	3	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	14.9	3	150%	4	0	0	0	2	5	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	5.0	0	0%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	63%	40	31	12	1	23	17	10	30	15-19	79%	33-50	66%	11-33	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.15 57.7%

GSW

1.27 63.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

57%

GSW

73%

Midrange

MEM

70%

GSW

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

15.0

31%

47%

GSW

16.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

MEM

79%

GSW

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Jerome	19	63%	9.5 / 15
J. Mashack	17	85%	8.5 / 10
T. Hendricks	15	50%	7.5 / 15
K. Caldwell-Pope	15	75%	7.5 / 10
S. Pippen	11	92%	5.5 / 6
J. Wells	10	50%	5.0 / 10
K. Anderson	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Small	8	44%	4.0 / 9
G. Jackson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
C. Coward	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Spencer	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Spencer	17	65%	8.5 / 13
G. Santos	16	80%	8.0 / 10
B. Podziemski	16	50%	8.0 / 16
A. Horford	16	67%	8.0 / 12
M. Moody	15	94%	7.5 / 8
D. Green	14	100%	7.0 / 7
D. Melton	10	38%	5.0 / 13
G. Payton	7	39%	3.5 / 9
W. Richard	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 19 114.0	MEM 110.8 GSW 112.9 +2.1
Pace	7 101.8 18 99.9	MEM 101.5 +0.2 GSW 101.3
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 10 14.7	MEM 14.2 −0.0 GSW 14.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 13 55.0%	MEM 56.6% GSW 59.6% +3.0%
TO %	22 14.3% 28 14.9%	MEM 16.1% −4.0% GSW 20.1%
ORB %	19 24.7% 14 25.8%	MEM 21.1% GSW 25.6% +4.5%
FTrt	21 25.1 24 23.8	MEM 28.9 +6.0 GSW 22.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 1 70.6%	MEM 61.9% GSW 70.5% +8.6%
STL %	11 8.7% 3 9.6%	MEM 16.7% +4.8% GSW 11.9%
BLK %	14 9.1% 27 8.0%	MEM 6.0% +4.0% GSW 2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 11 57.1%	MEM 57.7% GSW 63.3% +5.6%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 5 66.7%	MEM 57.1% GSW 72.7% +15.6%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 22 42.1%	MEM 69.6% +16.7% GSW 52.9%
3P %	22 35.3% 20 35.6%	MEM 31.3% GSW 33.3% +2.0%
FT %	9 79.3% 6 80.7%	MEM 79.2% +0.3% GSW 78.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 24 29.5%	MEM 33.7% GSW 39.8% +6.0%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 3 20.8%	MEM 27.7% GSW 20.5% −7.2%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 1 49.7%	MEM 38.6% GSW 39.8% +1.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	GSW
Possessions	102	101
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	113	114
Rebounds	37	40
Assists	26	31
Steals	17	12
Blocks	3	1
Turnovers (Team)	16 (2)	23 (0)
Fouls	18	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (6)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	30 (1)
Field Goals	42-83	44-83
At-the-Rim FG	16-28	24-33
Midrange FG	16-23	9-17
2-Point FG	32-51	33-50
3-Point FG	10-32	11-33
Free Throws	19-24	15-19
Fast Break Pts	17	11
2nd Chance Pts	10	14
Points in Paint	52	60
Pts off Turnovers	23	20
Bench Points	68	42
Biggest Lead	17	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg