Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	7%	106	113	107.6	105	105.3
	3	Cavaliers	93%	125	138	130.2	106	105.7

Prediction updated: Feb 12, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+24

-14

115

CLE

+17

-21

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.99 49.6%

CLE

1.35 67.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamir Watkins #5 · C · 6'6" 210 · 25	28.5	16	47%	3	2	0	0	1	5	2	1	0-2	0%	5-8	63%	2-8	25%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	24.4	13	65%	0	2	2	1	0	2	0	0	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	24.4	17	53%	5	3	1	0	2	2	3	2	8-8	100%	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	21.8	8	44%	3	4	0	0	3	3	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	18.3	10	38%	3	2	2	0	0	3	1	2	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	1-6	17%

Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	28.8	4	15%	4	2	0	0	1	0	1	3	2-2	100%	1-8	13%	0-4	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	24.0	12	67%	8	2	3	0	1	2	6	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	23.6	11	61%	5	5	1	1	3	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-5	60%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	19.5	4	40%	4	2	1	1	0	1	3	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	14.5	11	69%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Keshon Gilbert #55 · NA · 6'4" 200 · 23	6.1	2	100%	1	0	2	0	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kadary Richmond #19 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	6.1	5	125%	2	1	1	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Tightness
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL Sprain; Quad Contusion
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
D'Angelo Russell #14 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	50%	40	26	13	4	14	21	19	21	15-18	83%	28-58	48%	14-46	30%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamir Watkins #5 · C · 6'6" 210 · 25	28.5	16	47%	3	2	0	0	1	5	2	1	0-2	0%	5-8	63%	2-8	25%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	24.4	13	65%	0	2	2	1	0	2	0	0	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	24.4	17	53%	5	3	1	0	2	2	3	2	8-8	100%	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	21.8	8	44%	3	4	0	0	3	3	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	18.3	10	38%	3	2	2	0	0	3	1	2	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	1-6	17%

Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	28.8	4	15%	4	2	0	0	1	0	1	3	2-2	100%	1-8	13%	0-4	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	24.0	12	67%	8	2	3	0	1	2	6	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	23.6	11	61%	5	5	1	1	3	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-5	60%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	19.5	4	40%	4	2	1	1	0	1	3	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	14.5	11	69%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Keshon Gilbert #55 · NA · 6'4" 200 · 23	6.1	2	100%	1	0	2	0	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kadary Richmond #19 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	6.1	5	125%	2	1	1	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Tightness
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL Sprain; Quad Contusion
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
D'Angelo Russell #14 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	50%	40	26	13	4	14	21	19	21	15-18	83%	28-58	48%	14-46	30%

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3 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	28.4	13	72%	4	11	0	1	6	3	0	4	10-12	83%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	27.9	30	71%	3	5	2	0	5	4	0	3	6-6	100%	9-12	75%	2-7	29%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	26.6	21	95%	9	1	0	2	2	1	3	6	5-6	83%	8-8	100%	0-0	-
Sam Merrill #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 30	25.0	32	133%	5	1	1	1	1	1	1	4	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	9-10	90%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 23	21.5	7	44%	5	1	1	0	0	0	1	4	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%

Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	27.4	6	60%	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	17.9	7	50%	3	2	0	1	1	2	0	3	4-4	100%	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	17.7	0	0%	4	4	2	1	1	0	3	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	16.3	6	38%	6	1	0	1	0	0	3	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	16.0	8	50%	5	0	2	0	1	2	4	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	5.1	3	75%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	5.1	3	75%	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	5.1	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Emanuel Miller #15 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	138	68%	51	30	9	8	21	15	16	35	32-37	86%	29-45	64%	16-38	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	CLE

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.99 49.6%

CLE

1.35 67.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

57%

CLE

70%

Midrange

WAS

39%

CLE

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

21.0

30%

46%

CLE

24.0

42%

63%

Free Throws

WAS

83%

CLE

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. George	17	53%	8.5 / 16
J. Watkins	16	47%	8.0 / 17
B. Coulibaly	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Champagnie	12	67%	6.0 / 9
S. Cooper	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Hardy	11	69%	5.5 / 8
T. Johnson	10	38%	5.0 / 13
B. Carrington	8	44%	4.0 / 9
K. Richmond	5	125%	2.5 / 2
W. Riley	4	15%	2.0 / 13
A. Gill	4	40%	2.0 / 5
K. Gilbert	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Merrill	32	133%	16.0 / 12
D. Mitchell	30	71%	15.0 / 21
J. Allen	21	95%	10.5 / 11
J. Harden	13	72%	6.5 / 9
N. Tomlin	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Tyson	7	44%	3.5 / 8
D. Schröder	7	50%	3.5 / 7
K. Ellis	6	60%	3.0 / 5
T. Bryant	6	38%	3.0 / 8
L. Nance	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Proctor	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Enaruna	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Porter	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.7 6 118.3	WAS 107.6 CLE 130.2 +22.6
Pace	5 102.5 12 100.6	WAS 105.3 CLE 105.7 +0.5
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 21 14.1	WAS 13.7 CLE 13.6 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 5 56.1%	WAS 47.1% CLE 63.9% +16.8%
TO %	26 14.7% 10 13.2%	WAS 11.8% −5.7% CLE 17.5%
ORB %	21 24.0% 9 26.9%	WAS 35.2% CLE 43.2% +8.0%
FTrt	26 23.5 15 26.5	WAS 17.3 CLE 44.6 +27.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 59.9% 11 65.3%	WAS 61.9% CLE 66.7% +4.8%
STL %	22 7.8% 15 8.4%	WAS 12.4% +3.9% CLE 8.5%
BLK %	9 10.0% 11 9.8%	WAS 8.9% CLE 13.8% +4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 55.4% 5 58.2%	WAS 49.6% CLE 67.6% +18.0%
Rim FG%	15 64.7% 7 66.1%	WAS 56.7% CLE 69.7% +13.0%
Mid FG%	26 41.3% 3 46.8%	WAS 39.3% CLE 50.0% +10.7%
3P %	16 35.9% 13 36.0%	WAS 30.4% CLE 42.1% +11.7%
FT %	23 76.6% 19 77.6%	WAS 83.3% CLE 86.5% +3.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.6% 14 31.7%	WAS 28.8% CLE 39.8% +10.9%
Mid Att. %	25 29.1% 8 24.1%	WAS 26.9% CLE 14.5% −12.5%
3P Att. %	20 40.3% 9 44.2%	WAS 44.2% CLE 45.8% +1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	CLE
Possessions	105	106
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	113	138
Rebounds	40	51
Assists	26	30
Steals	13	9
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	21 (0)
Fouls	21	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (5)	16 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	21 (0)	35 (6)
Field Goals	42-104	45-83
At-the-Rim FG	17-30	23-33
Midrange FG	11-28	6-12
2-Point FG	28-58	29-45
3-Point FG	14-46	16-38
Free Throws	15-18	32-37
Fast Break Pts	6	10
2nd Chance Pts	28	27
Points in Paint	44	56
Pts off Turnovers	17	16
Bench Points	49	35
Biggest Lead	0	27

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg