Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, February 10, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Spurs	85%	118	136	128.3	106	110.5
	26	Lakers	15%	104	108	100.0	108	103.7

Prediction updated: Feb 11, 2026 03:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+11

-12

105

LAL

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.30 64.8%

LAL

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	26.1	40	77%	12	2	2	1	4	2	1	11	10-12	83%	9-14	64%	4-6	67%
Devin Vassell #24 · PF · 6'5" 200 · 25	24.2	9	90%	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 25	18.1	8	44%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	17.2	8	50%	2	6	2	1	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	12.0	2	100%	1	7	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	27.3	15	83%	3	6	1	0	1	1	1	2	3-3	100%	6-7	86%	0-1	0%
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	26.9	16	57%	4	3	1	0	0	2	0	4	1-4	25%	3-4	75%	3-8	38%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	21.1	6	30%	4	2	0	0	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	20.6	11	92%	3	2	3	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	14.8	7	70%	2	2	2	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	12.0	8	67%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	9.9	6	75%	5	1	0	2	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	9.8	0	0%	4	0	0	0	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Hyperextension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	65%	45	34	14	6	12	18	9	36	19-25	76%	39-59	66%	13-33	39%

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5 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	26.1	40	77%	12	2	2	1	4	2	1	11	10-12	83%	9-14	64%	4-6	67%
Devin Vassell #24 · PF · 6'5" 200 · 25	24.2	9	90%	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 25	18.1	8	44%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	17.2	8	50%	2	6	2	1	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	12.0	2	100%	1	7	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	27.3	15	83%	3	6	1	0	1	1	1	2	3-3	100%	6-7	86%	0-1	0%
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	26.9	16	57%	4	3	1	0	0	2	0	4	1-4	25%	3-4	75%	3-8	38%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	21.1	6	30%	4	2	0	0	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	20.6	11	92%	3	2	3	1	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	14.8	7	70%	2	2	2	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	12.0	8	67%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	9.9	6	75%	5	1	0	2	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	9.8	0	0%	4	0	0	0	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Hyperextension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	65%	45	34	14	6	12	18	9	36	19-25	76%	39-59	66%	13-33	39%

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26 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	27.7	14	78%	2	5	0	0	1	0	1	1	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	26.6	6	25%	4	2	2	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-3	0%
Kobe Bufkin #18 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 22	24.3	7	32%	2	1	1	0	3	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-5	20%
Jake LaRavia #12 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24	18.4	10	71%	2	1	0	0	1	6	1	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-2	100%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	16.6	13	93%	4	3	0	0	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-1	100%

Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	25.4	12	60%	3	6	0	1	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-2	100%
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25	20.5	14	70%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	17.1	6	38%	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	16.4	6	50%	4	2	0	0	2	0	1	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	16.3	9	50%	5	1	0	0	1	2	1	4	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	13.3	6	100%	3	0	1	0	2	4	0	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	9.8	3	150%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	7.7	2	100%	1	1	2	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Injury Management
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Arthritis
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	55%	34	23	7	2	18	20	5	29	15-20	75%	30-60	50%	11-25	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.30 64.8%

LAL

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

81%

LAL

55%

Midrange

SAS

41%

LAL

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

19.5

39%

59%

LAL

16.5

44%

66%

Free Throws

SAS

76%

LAL

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	40	77%	20.0 / 26
C. Bryant	16	57%	8.0 / 14
D. Harper	15	83%	7.5 / 9
H. Barnes	11	92%	5.5 / 6
D. Vassell	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Champagnie	8	44%	4.0 / 9
D. Fox	8	50%	4.0 / 8
K. Olynyk	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. McLaughlin	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Johnson	6	30%	3.0 / 10
L. Kornet	6	75%	3.0 / 4
S. Castle	2	100%	1.0 / 1
B. Biyombo	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Kennard	14	78%	7.0 / 9
D. Timme	14	70%	7.0 / 10
J. Hayes	13	93%	6.5 / 7
B. James	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. LaRavia	10	71%	5.0 / 7
D. Knecht	9	50%	4.5 / 9
K. Bufkin	7	32%	3.5 / 11
R. Hachimura	6	25%	3.0 / 12
N. Smith	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Vanderbilt	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Kleber	6	100%	3.0 / 3
A. Thiero	3	150%	1.5 / 1
C. Mañon	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 118.9 10 117.1	SAS 128.3 +28.3 LAL 100.0
Pace	13 100.5 21 99.2	SAS 110.5 +6.8 LAL 103.7
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.2 6 14.8	SAS 13.0 −0.9 LAL 13.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 55.9% 2 57.3%	SAS 63.6% +8.9% LAL 54.7%
TO %	4 12.5% 19 13.9%	SAS 11.2% −4.9% LAL 16.1%
ORB %	10 26.2% 22 23.9%	SAS 23.7% +11.5% LAL 12.2%
FTrt	12 27.3 1 32.0	SAS 27.2 +3.7 LAL 23.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.6% 19 61.5%	SAS 65.4% +9.3% LAL 56.1%
STL %	24 7.5% 12 8.6%	SAS 13.2% +6.7% LAL 6.5%
BLK %	10 10.0% 23 8.3%	SAS 10.0% +6.6% LAL 3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.1% 2 59.4%	SAS 64.8% +9.7% LAL 55.1%
Rim FG%	9 65.8% 1 72.0%	SAS 81.1% +26.1% LAL 55.0%
Mid FG%	5 45.1% 4 46.8%	SAS 40.9% LAL 47.5% +6.6%
3P %	15 35.9% 14 35.9%	SAS 39.4% LAL 44.0% +4.6%
FT %	12 78.7% 26 76.3%	SAS 76.0% +1.0% LAL 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 34.4% 21 30.7%	SAS 40.2% +16.7% LAL 23.5%
Mid Att. %	7 23.4% 26 30.0%	SAS 23.9% −23.1% LAL 47.1%
3P Att. %	15 42.2% 22 39.4%	SAS 35.9% +6.5% LAL 29.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	SAS	LAL
Possessions	106	108
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	136	108
Rebounds	45	34
Assists	34	23
Steals	14	7
Blocks	6	2
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	18 (0)
Fouls	18	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (2)	29 (3)
Field Goals	52-92	41-85
At-the-Rim FG	30-37	11-20
Midrange FG	9-22	19-40
2-Point FG	39-59	30-60
3-Point FG	13-33	11-25
Free Throws	19-25	15-20
Fast Break Pts	25	15
2nd Chance Pts	18	13
Points in Paint	72	50
Pts off Turnovers	20	14
Bench Points	69	58
Biggest Lead	41	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg