Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, February 1, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Thunder	69%	118	121	122.2	99	93.6
	16	Nuggets	31%	111	111	112.1	99	105.0

Prediction updated: Feb 2, 2026 02:32 AM

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+13

-13

DEN

+13

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.22 61.1%

DEN

1.18 59.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	33.4	34	77%	5	13	2	1	4	2	1	4	11-13	85%	10-14	71%	1-2	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	32.3	6	33%	4	1	0	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-6	33%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	29.8	27	90%	6	0	2	0	0	1	3	3	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	7-11	64%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	28.1	14	50%	4	1	0	3	1	2	0	4	7-8	88%	2-3	67%	1-7	14%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	21.5	4	50%	5	1	1	0	3	4	2	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	25.0	14	70%	6	0	2	1	1	3	1	5	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	24.4	8	80%	5	4	3	1	1	3	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	22.6	9	50%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-9	33%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	17.7	5	42%	2	2	2	0	1	0	2	0	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 23	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Strain
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	INACTIVE
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	INACTIVE
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	61%	39	23	12	6	13	21	12	27	22-27	81%	21-37	57%	19-48	40%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	33.4	34	77%	5	13	2	1	4	2	1	4	11-13	85%	10-14	71%	1-2	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	32.3	6	33%	4	1	0	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-6	33%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	29.8	27	90%	6	0	2	0	0	1	3	3	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	7-11	64%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	28.1	14	50%	4	1	0	3	1	2	0	4	7-8	88%	2-3	67%	1-7	14%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	21.5	4	50%	5	1	1	0	3	4	2	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	25.0	14	70%	6	0	2	1	1	3	1	5	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	24.4	8	80%	5	4	3	1	1	3	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	22.6	9	50%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-9	33%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	17.7	5	42%	2	2	2	0	1	0	2	0	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 23	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Strain
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	INACTIVE
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	INACTIVE
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	61%	39	23	12	6	13	21	12	27	22-27	81%	21-37	57%	19-48	40%

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16 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Peyton Watson #8 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 23	37.4	29	76%	5	3	1	1	4	3	0	5	2-4	50%	6-10	60%	5-7	71%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	35.1	12	33%	5	12	1	1	1	1	0	5	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	1-8	13%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	29.4	16	73%	7	8	1	0	6	2	2	5	3-4	75%	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	27.6	6	150%	2	0	1	0	1	5	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	18.1	7	117%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	25.3	3	19%	6	0	3	1	1	2	0	6	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	0-4	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	22.5	9	64%	4	3	2	0	1	0	1	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	21.8	9	56%	3	0	0	0	0	3	1	2	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	13.3	13	59%	3	2	0	1	2	3	2	1	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	3.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 26	3.2	5	125%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	3.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	59%	39	29	9	4	17	20	8	31	17-24	71%	23-44	52%	16-35	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.22 61.1%

DEN

1.18 59.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

50%

DEN

65%

Midrange

OKC

62%

DEN

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

28.5

40%

59%

DEN

24.0

46%

69%

Free Throws

OKC

81%

DEN

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	34	77%	17.0 / 22
C. Wallace	27	90%	13.5 / 15
C. Holmgren	14	50%	7.0 / 14
A. Wiggins	14	70%	7.0 / 10
I. Joe	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Williams	8	80%	4.0 / 5
L. Dort	6	33%	3.0 / 9
K. Williams	5	42%	2.5 / 6
I. Hartenstein	4	50%	2.0 / 4
O. Dieng	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Watson	29	76%	14.5 / 19
N. Jokić	16	73%	8.0 / 11
J. Valančiūnas	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Murray	12	33%	6.0 / 18
J. Strawther	9	64%	4.5 / 7
B. Brown	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Pickett	7	117%	3.5 / 3
S. Jones	6	150%	3.0 / 2
H. Tyson	5	125%	2.5 / 2
T. Hardaway	3	19%	1.5 / 8
D. Holmes	2	100%	1.0 / 1
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 117.6 1 121.3	OKC 122.2 +10.1 DEN 112.1
Pace	15 100.3 19 99.4	OKC 93.6 DEN 105.0 +11.3
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.1 9 14.7	OKC 15.4 DEN 13.7 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.1% 1 57.7%	OKC 58.2% DEN 59.5% +1.3%
TO %	1 11.8% 3 12.1%	OKC 11.8% −4.9% DEN 16.7%
ORB %	28 22.3% 24 23.6%	OKC 27.9% +5.0% DEN 22.9%
FTrt	17 26.1 4 29.4	OKC 31.8 +1.4 DEN 30.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 59.8% 9 66.5%	OKC 57.5% DEN 74.4% +16.9%
STL %	4 9.6% 30 6.8%	OKC 12.1% +3.0% DEN 9.1%
BLK %	2 11.0% 29 7.6%	OKC 13.6% +2.8% DEN 10.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 58.5% 1 60.1%	OKC 61.1% +2.1% DEN 59.0%
Rim FG%	11 65.2% 12 65.1%	OKC 50.0% DEN 64.7% +14.7%
Mid FG%	1 47.6% 2 47.0%	OKC 61.9% +17.5% DEN 44.4%
3P %	9 36.5% 1 39.6%	OKC 39.6% DEN 45.7% +6.1%
FT %	3 81.7% 5 80.8%	OKC 81.5% +10.7% DEN 70.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 31.3% 19 31.1%	OKC 18.8% DEN 21.5% +2.7%
Mid Att. %	15 26.1% 21 28.1%	OKC 24.7% −9.5% DEN 34.2%
3P Att. %	13 42.6% 17 40.8%	OKC 56.5% +12.2% DEN 44.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	OKC	DEN
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.6
Points	121	111
Rebounds	39	39
Assists	23	29
Steals	12	9
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	17 (1)
Fouls	21	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (1)	8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	31 (2)
Field Goals	40-85	39-79
At-the-Rim FG	8-16	11-17
Midrange FG	13-21	12-27
2-Point FG	21-37	23-44
3-Point FG	19-48	16-35
Free Throws	22-27	17-24
Fast Break Pts	11	6
2nd Chance Pts	5	12
Points in Paint	30	36
Pts off Turnovers	19	8
Bench Points	36	41
Biggest Lead	18	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg