Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, February 3, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Pistons | 66% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Knicks | 85% | 121 | 132 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Lakers | 66% | 117 | 125 |
 | 25 | Nets | 34% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Heat | 56% | 117 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 75% | 116 | 110 |
 | 24 | Mavericks | 25% | 107 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bulls | 57% | 115 | 115 |
 | 27 | Bucks | 43% | 113 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Magic | 19% | 104 | 92 |
 | 1 | Thunder | 81% | 115 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, February 2, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Pelicans | 31% | 115 | 95 |
 | 9 | Hornets | 69% | 121 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 22 | Pacers | 33% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Timberwolves | 59% | 116 | 128 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 53% | 109 | 128 |
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Sunday, February 1, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 18% | 107 | 79 |
| 3 | Celtics | 82% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 13% | 101 | 77 |
| 4 | Pistons | 87% | 116 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 31% | 113 | 91 |
| 18 | Heat | 69% | 119 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 21% | 111 | 100 |
 | 10 | Raptors | 79% | 121 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 30 | Wizards | 47% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lakers | 35% | 113 | 100 |
| 6 | Knicks | 65% | 118 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Clippers | 40% | 105 | 117 |
| 15 | Suns | 60% | 108 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 39% | 112 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23BC945C;}%20.st1{fill:%23860038;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M356.2,121.3V98.4l-5.6-5.7c-72-68.5-226.2,21.4-278.6,64.8l-25.9,40.1l32.2-8c-49.4,62-31.8,102.7-29.7,106.9%20c5.2,14.6,17.1,26.3,36.3,34c14.6,5.8,31.2,6.6,45.4,5.9c61.4-2.9,134-41.2,180.9-81.9l1.1-0.9l9.3-47.1l-18.2,10.1%20c-63.3,27.8-114.2,43.2-114.2,43.2c-33.3,10.4-48.6,12.1-59.5,9.5l-1.3-0.4c-3-1.2-3.5-3.9-3.5-4.6c-0.5-20.8,35.4-65.6,53.4-85%20c16.8-18.1,43.3-37.9,65.7-47.3c15-6.3,24.7-8.8,29.2-8.4c-1.2,3.9-3.3,8.7-6.2,14.5c0,0-24,47.3-25,49.2L356.2,121.3z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M213.9,118c-20.6,10.9-44.3,32.8-51.7,40.7C101.8,223,59.5,309,191.7,267.8c0,0,51.4-15.6,115.2-43.6%20C126.3,376.8-44.2,313,123.6,152.5c-15.3,3.5-30.7,6.8-45.8,11c53.7-44.5,201.1-127.4,266.9-64.8l-70.3,43.1%20C304.6,82.7,250.2,96.6,213.9,118'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 8 | Cavaliers | 70% | 116 | 130 |
| 25 | Blazers | 30% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 69% | 118 | 121 |
| 16 | Nuggets | 31% | 111 | 111 |
Saturday, January 31, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 55% | 117 | 106 |
| 13 | Hornets | 45% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 53% | 115 | 124 |
| 22 | Pacers | 47% | 114 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 29% | 112 | 114 |
| 14 | 76ers | 71% | 119 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 33% | 113 | 125 |
| 17 | Heat | 67% | 118 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 66% | 118 | 131 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 34% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 22% | 104 | 107 |
| 2 | Rockets | 78% | 115 | 111 |
Friday, January 30, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 77% | 118 | 142 |
| 29 | Wizards | 23% | 108 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 48% | 110 | 120 |
| 16 | Magic | 52% | 111 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 12% | 105 | 93 |
| 5 | Celtics | 88% | 120 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | 31% | 112 | 97 |
| 8 | Knicks | 69% | 118 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 52% | 116 | 106 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 48% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 58% | 114 | 113 |
| 14 | Suns | 42% | 111 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 51% | 115 | 109 |
| 15 | Nuggets | 49% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 56% | 118 | 109 |
| 30 | Jazz | 44% | 116 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 40% | 109 | 131 |
| 7 | Warriors | 60% | 112 | 124 |
Thursday, January 29, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 21% | 108 | 111 |
| 10 | 76ers | 79% | 119 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 52% | 114 | 99 |
| 28 | Wizards | 48% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 51% | 120 | 116 |
| 20 | Bulls | 49% | 119 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 67% | 116 | 104 |
| 23 | Hawks | 33% | 110 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 62% | 115 | 123 |
| 25 | Mavericks | 38% | 111 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 33% | 110 | 103 |
| 24 | Nuggets | 67% | 115 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 59% | 110 | 96 |
| 16 | Suns | 41% | 107 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 65% | 114 | 111 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 35% | 109 | 123 |
Wednesday, January 28, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lakers | 36% | 113 | 99 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 64% | 118 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 54% | 118 | 110 |
| 23 | Pacers | 46% | 117 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 29% | 113 | 117 |
| 3 | Celtics | 71% | 120 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 44% | 114 | 133 |
| 13 | Heat | 56% | 115 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 44% | 112 | 119 |
| 12 | Raptors | 56% | 114 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 49% | 115 | 112 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 51% | 116 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 70% | 116 | 118 |
| 25 | Mavericks | 30% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 76% | 123 | 140 |
| 26 | Jazz | 24% | 114 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 39% | 110 | 111 |
| 2 | Rockets | 61% | 114 | 99 |
Tuesday, January 27, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Blazers | 62% | 117 | 111 |
| 28 | Wizards | 38% | 113 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 13% | 107 | 87 |
| 3 | Knicks | 87% | 122 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 26% | 106 | 122 |
| 10 | 76ers | 74% | 115 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 16% | 109 | 95 |
| 1 | Thunder | 84% | 122 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 69% | 116 | 109 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 31% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 29% | 105 | 102 |
| 21 | Suns | 71% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 75% | 121 | 115 |
| 30 | Jazz | 25% | 112 | 103 |
Monday, January 26, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 38% | 114 | 116 |
| 15 | Hawks | 62% | 118 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 43% | 113 | 93 |
| 12 | Hornets | 57% | 115 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 37% | 112 | 98 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 63% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | 22% | 108 | 94 |
| 2 | Celtics | 78% | 118 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | 48% | 118 | 129 |
| 16 | Bulls | 52% | 119 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 21% | 106 | 99 |
| 3 | Rockets | 79% | 116 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 37% | 107 | 83 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 63% | 111 | 108 |
Sunday, January 25, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 15% | 104 | 116 |
| 7 | Pistons | 85% | 118 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | 40% | 112 | 111 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 60% | 115 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 23% | 106 | 103 |
| 1 | Thunder | 77% | 116 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 21% | 112 | 104 |
| 6 | Spurs | 79% | 122 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 37% | 110 | 111 |
| 11 | Suns | 63% | 115 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 27% | 104 | 89 |
| 10 | Clippers | 73% | 112 | 126 |
Saturday, January 24, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 18% | 110 | 115 |
| 14 | Hornets | 82% | 122 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 47% | 114 | 112 |
| 9 | 76ers | 53% | 115 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 51% | 114 | 119 |
| 15 | Magic | 49% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 59% | 119 | 111 |
| 19 | Bulls | 41% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 57% | 114 | 116 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 43% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 75% | 125 | 147 |
| 29 | Jazz | 25% | 116 | 116 |
Friday, January 23, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 39% | 108 | 111 |
| 5 | Pistons | 61% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 56% | 118 | 103 |
| 18 | Hawks | 44% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 71% | 116 | 130 |
| 25 | Nets | 29% | 109 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 17% | 110 | 118 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 83% | 122 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | 35% | 113 | 133 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 65% | 118 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 12% | 103 | 117 |
| 1 | Thunder | 88% | 118 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 34% | 109 | 102 |
| 21 | Bucks | 66% | 114 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 61% | 115 | 110 |
| 22 | Blazers | 39% | 111 | 98 |
Thursday, January 22, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 41% | 113 | 124 |
| 18 | Magic | 59% | 116 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 56% | 112 | 122 |
| 9 | 76ers | 44% | 110 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 72% | 120 | 107 |
| 29 | Wizards | 28% | 113 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 72% | 116 | 115 |
| 27 | Mavericks | 28% | 109 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 29% | 115 | 120 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 71% | 122 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 83% | 126 | 126 |
| 30 | Jazz | 17% | 114 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 40% | 110 | 104 |
| 12 | Clippers | 60% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 49% | 117 | 110 |
| 20 | Blazers | 51% | 118 | 127 |
Wednesday, January 21, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 57% | 118 | 94 |
| 16 | Hornets | 43% | 116 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 18% | 107 | 104 |
| 3 | Celtics | 82% | 118 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 21% | 109 | 66 |
| 5 | Knicks | 79% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 41% | 115 | 124 |
| 13 | Grizzlies | 59% | 118 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 72% | 118 | 112 |
| 27 | Pelicans | 28% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 81% | 117 | 122 |
| 23 | Bucks | 19% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 66% | 115 | 122 |
| 28 | Kings | 34% | 110 | 109 |