Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, February 2, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Timberwolves	59%	116	128	129.3	99	94.3
	18	Grizzlies	41%	113	137	137.0	100	105.2

Prediction updated: Feb 3, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+16

-9

106

MEM

+17

-9

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.23 61.5%

MEM

1.29 64.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	40.3	19	56%	8	8	0	1	3	5	1	7	8-8	100%	4-8	50%	1-6	17%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	39.7	39	59%	7	3	1	0	2	2	1	6	10-14	71%	10-18	56%	3-9	33%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	36.8	29	97%	4	3	0	0	0	4	3	1	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	5-7	71%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 29	33.7	21	105%	3	4	2	0	1	2	2	1	2-4	50%	2-2	100%	5-7	71%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	25.1	7	58%	10	0	0	2	1	3	3	7	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	25.8	10	42%	6	1	1	4	2	3	3	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-6	17%
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	16.6	3	38%	1	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	14.3	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	7.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Abductor Hallucis Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	62%	40	24	4	7	9	25	13	27	24-31	77%	28-49	57%	16-41	39%

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5 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	40.3	19	56%	8	8	0	1	3	5	1	7	8-8	100%	4-8	50%	1-6	17%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	39.7	39	59%	7	3	1	0	2	2	1	6	10-14	71%	10-18	56%	3-9	33%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	36.8	29	97%	4	3	0	0	0	4	3	1	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	5-7	71%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 29	33.7	21	105%	3	4	2	0	1	2	2	1	2-4	50%	2-2	100%	5-7	71%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	25.1	7	58%	10	0	0	2	1	3	3	7	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	25.8	10	42%	6	1	1	4	2	3	3	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-6	17%
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	16.6	3	38%	1	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	14.3	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	7.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Juzang #9 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Abductor Hallucis Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	62%	40	24	4	7	9	25	13	27	24-31	77%	28-49	57%	16-41	39%

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18 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	31.0	30	68%	6	2	0	1	1	3	1	5	11-11	100%	5-11	45%	3-6	50%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	28.3	4	29%	6	2	0	0	0	2	3	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	27.7	14	58%	4	1	0	0	1	2	0	4	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	25.7	18	90%	1	2	1	0	1	5	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	4-5	80%
Ty Jerome #2 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 29	20.4	19	73%	6	8	1	0	3	2	2	4	5-6	83%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%

Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	25.1	16	80%	4	5	0	0	1	1	0	4	5-5	100%	1-4	25%	3-5	60%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	22.5	16	80%	1	5	2	0	0	3	0	1	4-6	67%	0-1	0%	4-6	67%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	21.2	13	65%	8	1	0	1	1	0	3	5	0-1	0%	5-6	83%	1-4	25%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	19.1	4	33%	3	3	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	19.1	3	50%	6	2	1	0	0	1	3	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Anterior Triangle; Contusion
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	65%	45	31	5	2	9	22	12	33	30-35	86%	25-47	53%	19-41	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.23 61.5%

MEM

1.29 64.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

68%

MEM

55%

Midrange

MIN

39%

MEM

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

24.0

39%

59%

MEM

28.5

46%

70%

Free Throws

MIN

77%

MEM

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	39	59%	19.5 / 33
J. McDaniels	29	97%	14.5 / 15
D. DiVincenzo	21	105%	10.5 / 10
J. Randle	19	56%	9.5 / 17
N. Reid	10	42%	5.0 / 12
R. Gobert	7	58%	3.5 / 6
B. Hyland	3	38%	1.5 / 4
M. Conley	0	-	0.0 / 3
J. Clark	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	30	68%	15.0 / 22
T. Jerome	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. Wells	18	90%	9.0 / 10
C. Spencer	16	80%	8.0 / 10
V. Williams	16	80%	8.0 / 10
C. Coward	14	58%	7.0 / 12
G. Jackson	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Landale	4	29%	2.0 / 7
K. Caldwell-Pope	4	33%	2.0 / 6
O. Prosper	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 115.7 23 112.4	MIN 129.3 MEM 137.0 +7.7
Pace	9 101.4 7 101.8	MIN 94.3 MEM 105.2 +10.9
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 26 13.8	MIN 15.3 MEM 13.7 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 55.9% 24 53.3%	MIN 57.8% MEM 60.8% +3.0%
TO %	18 13.9% 22 14.3%	MIN 8.0% −0.8% MEM 8.8%
ORB %	15 25.7% 19 24.7%	MIN 28.3% MEM 30.8% +2.5%
FTrt	7 28.5 21 25.1	MIN 34.4 MEM 39.8 +5.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 61.2% 6 67.4%	MIN 54.5% MEM 70.5% +16.0%
STL %	13 8.6% 11 8.7%	MIN 4.0% MEM 5.0% +1.0%
BLK %	6 10.4% 14 9.1%	MIN 14.9% +10.8% MEM 4.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 57.6% 22 55.8%	MIN 61.5% MEM 64.6% +3.1%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 26 62.8%	MIN 67.7% +13.2% MEM 54.5%
Mid FG%	14 43.7% 11 44.2%	MIN 38.9% MEM 52.0% +13.1%
3P %	6 37.0% 22 35.3%	MIN 39.0% MEM 46.3% +7.3%
FT %	29 75.2% 9 79.3%	MIN 77.4% MEM 85.7% +8.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.0% 26 28.6%	MIN 34.4% +9.4% MEM 25.0%
Mid Att. %	10 25.0% 19 27.8%	MIN 20.0% −8.4% MEM 28.4%
3P Att. %	16 42.0% 10 43.6%	MIN 45.6% MEM 46.6% +1.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	MEM
Possessions	99	100
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	128	137
Rebounds	40	45
Assists	24	31
Steals	4	5
Blocks	7	2
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	9 (1)
Fouls	25	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (4)	33 (3)
Field Goals	44-90	44-88
At-the-Rim FG	21-31	12-22
Midrange FG	7-18	13-25
2-Point FG	28-49	25-47
3-Point FG	16-41	19-41
Free Throws	24-31	30-35
Fast Break Pts	14	10
2nd Chance Pts	22	24
Points in Paint	54	42
Pts off Turnovers	9	13
Bench Points	13	52
Biggest Lead	6	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg