Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, February 1, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Magic	39%	112	103	101.0	102	104.7
	2	Spurs	61%	115	112	110.9	101	98.4

Prediction updated: Feb 2, 2026 02:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+11

-13

100

SAS

+14

-15

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.03 51.5%

SAS

1.13 56.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28	37.2	25	69%	4	4	1	0	2	4	1	3	4-4	100%	9-15	60%	1-2	50%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	35.1	19	63%	10	4	1	0	4	1	2	8	6-8	75%	5-11	45%	1-1	100%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	32.5	5	19%	6	6	1	1	4	1	1	5	0-0	-	1-7	14%	1-6	17%
Anthony Black #0 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	29.8	11	46%	1	2	2	0	2	3	0	1	1-1	100%	2-7	29%	2-5	40%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	19.4	2	14%	2	0	2	0	0	5	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%

Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	27.9	7	39%	5	3	1	0	1	0	0	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	14.8	9	75%	1	1	2	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	13.3	7	70%	2	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Tyus Jones #2 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	9.5	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	8.6	4	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	7.8	8	67%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	2.2	3	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	2.2	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Orlando Robinson #7 · C · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left High Ankle; Sprain injury management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	52%	34	24	11	1	13	19	6	28	13-15	87%	30-61	49%	10-30	33%

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12 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28	37.2	25	69%	4	4	1	0	2	4	1	3	4-4	100%	9-15	60%	1-2	50%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	35.1	19	63%	10	4	1	0	4	1	2	8	6-8	75%	5-11	45%	1-1	100%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	32.5	5	19%	6	6	1	1	4	1	1	5	0-0	-	1-7	14%	1-6	17%
Anthony Black #0 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	29.8	11	46%	1	2	2	0	2	3	0	1	1-1	100%	2-7	29%	2-5	40%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	19.4	2	14%	2	0	2	0	0	5	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%

Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	27.9	7	39%	5	3	1	0	1	0	0	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	14.8	9	75%	1	1	2	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	13.3	7	70%	2	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Tyus Jones #2 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	9.5	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	8.6	4	100%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	7.8	8	67%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	2.2	3	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	2.2	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Orlando Robinson #7 · C · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left High Ankle; Sprain injury management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	52%	34	24	11	1	13	19	6	28	13-15	87%	30-61	49%	10-30	33%

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2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 25	31.0	11	69%	8	1	0	0	0	4	0	8	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	29.9	14	50%	3	10	1	0	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	7-11	64%	0-3	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	28.7	7	50%	5	1	0	0	1	1	2	3	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	27.9	25	66%	8	2	4	5	2	3	0	8	11-15	73%	7-9	78%	0-4	0%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	27.5	16	62%	2	3	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-5	40%

Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	27.6	15	54%	6	5	1	1	2	3	0	6	2-4	50%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	25.2	14	64%	10	1	0	0	3	3	3	7	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	17.9	2	50%	4	3	2	0	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	15.5	6	43%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	1-1	100%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	2.2	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	2.2	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Tightness
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	48	27	8	6	15	22	8	40	22-32	69%	33-53	62%	8-29	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.03 51.5%

SAS

1.13 56.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

60%

SAS

70%

Midrange

ORL

42%

SAS

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

15.0

33%

50%

SAS

12.0

28%

41%

Free Throws

ORL

87%

SAS

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Bane	25	69%	12.5 / 18
P. Banchero	19	63%	9.5 / 15
A. Black	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. Isaac	9	75%	4.5 / 6
M. Wagner	8	67%	4.0 / 6
T. da Silva	7	39%	3.5 / 9
N. Penda	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Suggs	5	19%	2.5 / 13
G. Bitadze	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Richardson	3	-	0.0 / 0
J. Howard	3	150%	1.5 / 1
W. Carter	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	25	66%	12.5 / 19
D. Vassell	16	62%	8.0 / 13
D. Harper	15	54%	7.5 / 14
D. Fox	14	50%	7.0 / 14
K. Johnson	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Champagnie	11	69%	5.5 / 8
H. Barnes	7	50%	3.5 / 7
C. Bryant	6	43%	3.0 / 7
L. Kornet	2	50%	1.0 / 2
H. Ingram	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.3 3 118.9	ORL 101.0 SAS 110.9 +9.9
Pace	14 100.5 13 100.5	ORL 104.7 +6.3 SAS 98.4
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.2 18 14.2	ORL 13.8 −0.9 SAS 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 53.0% 7 55.9%	ORL 49.5% SAS 54.9% +5.4%
TO %	12 13.5% 4 12.5%	ORL 13.3% −1.7% SAS 15.0%
ORB %	18 25.0% 10 26.2%	ORL 13.0% SAS 22.2% +9.2%
FTrt	2 31.1 12 27.3	ORL 16.5 SAS 39.0 +22.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.7% 13 64.6%	ORL 60.0% SAS 65.9% +5.9%
STL %	16 8.4% 24 7.5%	ORL 10.8% +2.9% SAS 7.9%
BLK %	17 8.8% 10 10.0%	ORL 1.9% SAS 9.8% +7.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.3% 6 58.1%	ORL 51.5% SAS 56.6% +5.1%
Rim FG%	24 63.0% 9 65.8%	ORL 60.0% SAS 70.0% +10.0%
Mid FG%	24 41.5% 5 45.1%	ORL 41.7% SAS 52.2% +10.5%
3P %	27 34.3% 15 35.9%	ORL 33.3% +5.7% SAS 27.6%
FT %	8 80.1% 12 78.7%	ORL 86.7% +17.9% SAS 68.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 35.7% 7 34.4%	ORL 27.5% SAS 36.6% +9.1%
Mid Att. %	12 25.7% 7 23.4%	ORL 39.6% SAS 28.0% −11.5%
3P Att. %	24 38.6% 15 42.2%	ORL 33.0% SAS 35.4% +2.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ORL	SAS
Possessions	102	101
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	103	112
Rebounds	34	48
Assists	24	27
Steals	11	8
Blocks	1	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (2)	15 (2)
Fouls	19	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (5)	8 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (4)	40 (1)
Field Goals	40-91	41-82
At-the-Rim FG	15-25	21-30
Midrange FG	15-36	12-23
2-Point FG	30-61	33-53
3-Point FG	10-30	8-29
Free Throws	13-15	22-32
Fast Break Pts	11	14
2nd Chance Pts	15	17
Points in Paint	48	52
Pts off Turnovers	23	17
Bench Points	41	39
Biggest Lead	3	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg