Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, February 3, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Magic	19%	104	92	93.9	98	94.6
	1	Thunder	81%	115	128	132.0	97	100.6

Prediction updated: Feb 4, 2026 01:04 AM

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+15

-15

OKC

+19

-10

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

0.94 46.9%

OKC

1.22 61.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	33.0	17	45%	3	4	0	0	2	2	1	2	4-4	100%	5-13	38%	1-4	25%
Anthony Black #0 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	28.4	10	31%	6	3	1	2	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-6	0%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	24.6	20	83%	3	6	1	0	3	3	0	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	4-8	50%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	23.4	9	56%	7	2	1	0	1	1	2	5	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Desmond Bane #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28	21.5	7	50%	2	2	1	2	2	6	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%

Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	25.6	3	21%	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	24.4	11	50%	5	2	0	0	2	3	1	4	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	14.1	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	13.6	7	88%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	13.2	8	100%	5	0	1	0	1	3	2	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	12.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Tyus Jones #2 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	5.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Orlando Robinson #7 · C · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left High Ankle; Sprain injury management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	47%	38	21	5	5	15	24	10	28	11-11	100%	21-48	44%	13-41	32%

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14 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	33.0	17	45%	3	4	0	0	2	2	1	2	4-4	100%	5-13	38%	1-4	25%
Anthony Black #0 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	28.4	10	31%	6	3	1	2	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-6	0%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	24.6	20	83%	3	6	1	0	3	3	0	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	4-8	50%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	23.4	9	56%	7	2	1	0	1	1	2	5	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Desmond Bane #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28	21.5	7	50%	2	2	1	2	2	6	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%

Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	25.6	3	21%	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	24.4	11	50%	5	2	0	0	2	3	1	4	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	14.1	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	13.6	7	88%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	13.2	8	100%	5	0	1	0	1	3	2	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	12.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Tyus Jones #2 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	5.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Orlando Robinson #7 · C · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left High Ankle; Sprain injury management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	47%	38	21	5	5	15	24	10	28	11-11	100%	21-48	44%	13-41	32%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	30.8	18	100%	5	1	2	0	0	2	0	5	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	4-5	80%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	27.8	20	42%	5	9	2	0	3	2	3	2	3-4	75%	7-19	37%	1-3	33%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	27.1	16	57%	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	7	2-4	50%	7-8	88%	0-4	0%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	22.9	12	86%	10	10	0	1	2	2	2	8	4-5	80%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	22.9	5	36%	1	5	4	0	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	23.4	22	92%	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	5-8	63%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	18.9	6	60%	0	3	1	0	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	18.7	9	90%	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	17.9	11	92%	7	1	1	0	0	1	3	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	17.1	5	42%	9	2	0	0	1	1	2	7	1-3	33%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 23	6.3	2	25%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	6.3	2	25%	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	61%	52	33	12	1	10	15	14	38	20-26	77%	36-58	62%	12-35	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ORL

0.94 46.9%

OKC

1.22 61.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

47%

OKC

72%

Midrange

ORL

41%

OKC

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

19.5

32%

48%

OKC

18.0

34%

51%

Free Throws

ORL

100%

OKC

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Suggs	20	83%	10.0 / 12
P. Banchero	17	45%	8.5 / 19
N. Penda	11	50%	5.5 / 11
A. Black	10	31%	5.0 / 16
W. Carter	9	56%	4.5 / 8
M. Wagner	8	100%	4.0 / 4
D. Bane	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Howard	7	88%	3.5 / 4
T. da Silva	3	21%	1.5 / 7
J. Isaac	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Richardson	0	-	0.0 / 3
T. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Joe	22	92%	11.0 / 12
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	20	42%	10.0 / 24
L. Dort	18	100%	9.0 / 9
C. Holmgren	16	57%	8.0 / 14
I. Hartenstein	12	86%	6.0 / 7
K. Williams	11	92%	5.5 / 6
A. Wiggins	9	90%	4.5 / 5
A. Caruso	6	60%	3.0 / 5
C. Wallace	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Williams	5	42%	2.5 / 6
O. Dieng	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. Youngblood	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.3 7 117.6	ORL 93.9 OKC 132.0 +38.1
Pace	14 100.5 15 100.3	ORL 94.6 OKC 100.6 +5.9
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.2 20 14.1	ORL 15.2 OKC 14.3 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 53.0% 4 56.1%	ORL 45.5% OKC 58.1% +12.6%
TO %	12 13.5% 1 11.8%	ORL 14.6% OKC 9.5% −5.1%
ORB %	18 25.0% 28 22.3%	ORL 20.8% OKC 33.3% +12.5%
FTrt	2 31.1 17 26.1	ORL 12.4 OKC 28.0 +15.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.7% 25 59.8%	ORL 61.8% OKC 68.8% +7.0%
STL %	16 8.4% 4 9.6%	ORL 5.1% OKC 12.4% +7.3%
BLK %	17 8.8% 2 11.0%	ORL 8.6% +6.5% OKC 2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.3% 4 58.5%	ORL 46.9% OKC 61.0% +14.1%
Rim FG%	24 63.0% 11 65.2%	ORL 47.4% OKC 71.9% +24.5%
Mid FG%	24 41.5% 1 47.6%	ORL 41.4% OKC 50.0% +8.6%
3P %	27 34.3% 9 36.5%	ORL 31.7% OKC 34.3% +2.6%
FT %	8 80.1% 3 81.7%	ORL 100.0% +23.1% OKC 76.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 35.7% 16 31.3%	ORL 21.3% OKC 34.4% +13.1%
Mid Att. %	12 25.7% 15 26.1%	ORL 32.6% OKC 28.0% −4.6%
3P Att. %	24 38.6% 13 42.6%	ORL 46.1% +8.4% OKC 37.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ORL	OKC
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	92	128
Rebounds	38	52
Assists	21	33
Steals	5	12
Blocks	5	1
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	10 (1)
Fouls	24	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (5)	14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	38 (2)
Field Goals	34-89	48-93
At-the-Rim FG	9-19	23-32
Midrange FG	12-29	13-26
2-Point FG	21-48	36-58
3-Point FG	13-41	12-35
Free Throws	11-11	20-26
Fast Break Pts	11	24
2nd Chance Pts	10	24
Points in Paint	26	60
Pts off Turnovers	17	28
Bench Points	29	57
Biggest Lead	0	41

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg