Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, February 1, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Jazz	21%	111	100	97.1	103	98.1
	10	Raptors	79%	121	107	101.9	105	110.5

Prediction updated: Feb 1, 2026 11:00 PM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+27

-22

108

TOR

+15

-16

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

0.93 46.3%

TOR

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	38.6	27	54%	11	2	2	1	0	0	4	7	7-7	100%	7-14	50%	2-9	22%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	32.7	11	39%	13	1	1	3	5	2	4	9	4-7	57%	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	30.2	19	73%	4	7	2	1	3	1	1	3	8-10	80%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 19	26.5	4	18%	11	2	1	1	3	5	1	10	2-2	100%	1-8	13%	0-2	0%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	20.4	10	100%	2	0	1	0	0	3	1	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%

Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	30.0	8	50%	1	3	1	0	2	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-6	33%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	19.1	4	29%	2	0	2	0	4	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	17.8	7	39%	2	2	0	0	3	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	15.3	4	29%	5	2	0	0	1	1	3	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	9.4	6	60%	5	1	0	0	1	2	3	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth Metatarsal Stress Reaction
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	46%	56	20	10	6	22	21	18	38	28-34	82%	24-54	44%	8-36	22%

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28 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	38.6	27	54%	11	2	2	1	0	0	4	7	7-7	100%	7-14	50%	2-9	22%
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	32.7	11	39%	13	1	1	3	5	2	4	9	4-7	57%	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	30.2	19	73%	4	7	2	1	3	1	1	3	8-10	80%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 19	26.5	4	18%	11	2	1	1	3	5	1	10	2-2	100%	1-8	13%	0-2	0%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	20.4	10	100%	2	0	1	0	0	3	1	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%

Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	30.0	8	50%	1	3	1	0	2	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-6	33%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	19.1	4	29%	2	0	2	0	4	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Walter Clayton Jr. #13 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	17.8	7	39%	2	2	0	0	3	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	15.3	4	29%	5	2	0	0	1	1	3	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	9.4	6	60%	5	1	0	0	1	2	3	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Kyle Anderson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #17 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fourth Metatarsal Stress Reaction
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	46%	56	20	10	6	22	21	18	38	28-34	82%	24-54	44%	8-36	22%

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10 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	35.3	19	45%	5	3	1	1	2	1	0	5	4-4	100%	6-14	43%	1-5	20%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 25	34.2	14	47%	9	4	2	4	4	3	2	7	3-6	50%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	33.3	17	65%	5	4	4	0	2	3	2	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 26	28.0	21	66%	6	4	0	1	3	2	2	4	7-9	78%	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · C · 6'7" 245 · 21	24.4	4	29%	5	1	1	2	0	4	4	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%

Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	30.4	20	91%	6	0	1	0	4	4	1	5	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	4-7	57%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 24	19.6	5	63%	1	4	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	17.8	7	70%	1	1	1	0	0	3	1	0	5-5	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	10.8	0	0%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	3.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	2.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chucky Hepburn #24 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alijah Martin #55 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	51%	42	22	11	8	16	23	13	29	25-30	83%	23-49	47%	12-35	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

0.93 46.3%

TOR

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

66%

TOR

63%

Midrange

UTA

20%

TOR

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

12.0

22%

33%

TOR

18.0

34%

51%

Free Throws

UTA

82%

TOR

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen	27	54%	13.5 / 25
I. Collier	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. Nurkić	11	39%	5.5 / 14
C. Williams	10	100%	5.0 / 5
S. Mykhailiuk	8	50%	4.0 / 8
W. Clayton	7	39%	3.5 / 9
K. Filipowski	6	60%	3.0 / 5
A. Bailey	4	18%	2.0 / 11
B. Sensabaugh	4	29%	2.0 / 7
K. Love	4	29%	2.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Barrett	21	66%	10.5 / 16
S. Mamukelashvili	20	91%	10.0 / 11
B. Ingram	19	45%	9.5 / 21
I. Quickley	17	65%	8.5 / 13
S. Barnes	14	47%	7.0 / 15
J. Walter	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Shead	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Murray-Boyles	4	29%	2.0 / 7
G. Dick	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Battle	0	-	0.0 / 2
O. Agbaji	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 15 115.1	UTA 97.1 TOR 101.9 +4.8
Pace	2 103.4 22 99.1	UTA 98.1 TOR 110.5 +12.3
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 19 14.1	UTA 14.7 TOR 13.0 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 16 54.6%	UTA 40.0% TOR 48.8% +8.8%
TO %	23 14.4% 7 12.9%	UTA 18.6% TOR 16.4% −2.2%
ORB %	12 26.2% 16 25.5%	UTA 38.3% +12.8% TOR 25.5%
FTrt	10 27.7 16 26.5	UTA 37.8 +2.1 TOR 35.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 3 69.2%	UTA 62.5% TOR 62.9% +0.4%
STL %	14 8.5% 8 8.8%	UTA 9.7% TOR 10.5% +0.8%
BLK %	30 7.5% 12 9.6%	UTA 12.2% TOR 14.8% +2.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 16 56.6%	UTA 46.3% TOR 51.4% +5.1%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 6 66.5%	UTA 65.5% +2.3% TOR 63.2%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 16 43.7%	UTA 20.0% TOR 36.7% +16.7%
3P %	25 34.5% 21 35.4%	UTA 22.2% TOR 34.3% +12.1%
FT %	13 78.6% 22 76.9%	UTA 82.4% TOR 83.3% +0.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 10 32.9%	UTA 32.2% +9.6% TOR 22.6%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 27 30.7%	UTA 27.8% −7.9% TOR 35.7%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 25 36.3%	UTA 40.0% TOR 41.7% +1.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	TOR
Possessions	103	105
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	100	107
Rebounds	56	42
Assists	20	22
Steals	10	11
Blocks	6	8
Turnovers (Team)	22 (2)	16 (3)
Fouls	21	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (9)	13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (0)	29 (5)
Field Goals	32-90	35-84
At-the-Rim FG	19-29	12-19
Midrange FG	5-25	11-30
2-Point FG	24-54	23-49
3-Point FG	8-36	12-35
Free Throws	28-34	25-30
Fast Break Pts	7	19
2nd Chance Pts	22	8
Points in Paint	48	36
Pts off Turnovers	15	26
Bench Points	29	32
Biggest Lead	6	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg