Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, February 3, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Celtics	75%	116	110	115.8	95	92.7
	24	Mavericks	25%	107	100	104.2	96	98.4

Prediction updated: Feb 4, 2026 01:04 AM

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+14

-9

100

DAL

+16

-9

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.10 55.0%

DAL

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 32	38.5	11	39%	2	8	0	0	3	0	2	0	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-8	13%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 29	37.4	33	55%	11	3	1	0	3	4	1	10	1-2	50%	13-24	54%	2-5	40%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	28.3	3	30%	7	3	1	1	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	28.0	8	67%	8	3	1	1	1	4	0	8	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	26.1	11	69%	5	0	1	1	0	5	0	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%

Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	34.5	26	65%	4	7	0	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	10-12	83%	2-8	25%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	20.0	16	100%	4	1	2	1	0	2	4	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	4-4	100%
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	16.7	2	17%	6	2	1	0	0	1	2	4	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 22	10.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #99 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 33	NWT – Personal
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
Anfernee Simons #4 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	NWT – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	55%	47	27	7	4	9	20	10	37	3-5	60%	34-57	60%	13-39	33%

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2 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 32	38.5	11	39%	2	8	0	0	3	0	2	0	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-8	13%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 29	37.4	33	55%	11	3	1	0	3	4	1	10	1-2	50%	13-24	54%	2-5	40%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	28.3	3	30%	7	3	1	1	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	28.0	8	67%	8	3	1	1	1	4	0	8	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	26.1	11	69%	5	0	1	1	0	5	0	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-7	43%

Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	34.5	26	65%	4	7	0	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	10-12	83%	2-8	25%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	20.0	16	100%	4	1	2	1	0	2	4	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	4-4	100%
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	16.7	2	17%	6	2	1	0	0	1	2	4	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 22	10.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #99 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 33	NWT – Personal
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
Anfernee Simons #4 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	NWT – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	55%	47	27	7	4	9	20	10	37	3-5	60%	34-57	60%	13-39	33%

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24 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	36.7	36	62%	9	6	0	2	1	1	1	8	10-11	91%	10-20	50%	2-4	50%
Naji Marshall #13 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 28	31.4	9	30%	8	3	0	0	1	1	2	6	0-0	-	3-10	30%	1-5	20%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	30.4	10	38%	2	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-9	22%
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 30	29.1	13	54%	5	3	0	0	0	2	0	5	2-4	50%	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	24.7	10	71%	12	1	1	2	2	1	4	8	2-4	50%	4-5	80%	0-0	-

Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	20.1	4	40%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	17.6	7	70%	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	14.9	4	50%	5	0	0	0	1	2	4	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	12.1	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	11.8	3	38%	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	11.1	4	67%	2	0	1	0	1	1	2	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Contusion
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	49%	49	21	4	4	9	11	13	36	17-22	77%	28-57	49%	9-32	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	DAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.10 55.0%

DAL

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

59%

DAL

59%

Midrange

BOS

60%

DAL

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

19.5

33%

50%

DAL

13.5

28%

42%

Free Throws

BOS

60%

DAL

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	33	55%	16.5 / 30
P. Pritchard	26	65%	13.0 / 20
L. Garza	16	100%	8.0 / 8
D. White	11	39%	5.5 / 14
S. Hauser	11	69%	5.5 / 8
N. Queta	8	67%	4.0 / 6
B. Scheierman	3	30%	1.5 / 5
H. González	2	17%	1.0 / 6
J. Walsh	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Flagg	36	62%	18.0 / 29
C. Martin	13	54%	6.5 / 12
M. Christie	10	38%	5.0 / 13
D. Gafford	10	71%	5.0 / 7
N. Marshall	9	30%	4.5 / 15
J. Hardy	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Thompson	4	40%	2.0 / 5
M. Cisse	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Powell	4	67%	2.0 / 3
R. Nembhard	3	38%	1.5 / 4
M. Kelly	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.0 27 110.4	BOS 115.8 +11.6 DAL 104.2
Pace	30 95.5 6 102.5	BOS 92.7 DAL 98.4 +5.7
Avg. Poss. Time	2 15.7 24 14.0	BOS 15.5 DAL 14.6 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.3% 28 52.7%	BOS 55.7% +9.1% DAL 46.6%
TO %	2 12.0% 13 13.5%	BOS 9.2% DAL 8.4% −0.8%
ORB %	6 29.2% 26 23.2%	BOS 21.7% DAL 26.0% +4.3%
FTrt	30 20.7 6 28.7	BOS 5.2 DAL 24.7 +19.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.5% 22 60.4%	BOS 57.4% +0.6% DAL 56.8%
STL %	25 7.4% 27 7.3%	BOS 7.4% +3.2% DAL 4.2%
BLK %	5 10.4% 16 9.0%	BOS 7.0% DAL 7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 56.9% 28 55.2%	BOS 55.0% +6.0% DAL 49.0%
Rim FG%	2 68.9% 22 63.2%	BOS 59.3% +0.7% DAL 58.6%
Mid FG%	12 44.2% 18 43.1%	BOS 60.0% +20.7% DAL 39.3%
3P %	8 36.7% 26 34.4%	BOS 33.3% +5.2% DAL 28.1%
FT %	7 80.7% 28 75.5%	BOS 60.0% DAL 77.3% +17.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 24.4% 12 32.8%	BOS 28.1% DAL 32.6% +4.5%
Mid Att. %	24 28.9% 28 31.7%	BOS 31.3% −0.2% DAL 31.5%
3P Att. %	4 46.7% 26 35.5%	BOS 40.6% +4.7% DAL 36.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Game Totals	BOS	DAL
Possessions	95	96
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	110	100
Rebounds	47	49
Assists	27	21
Steals	7	4
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	20	11
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (2)	36 (1)
Field Goals	47-96	37-89
At-the-Rim FG	16-27	17-29
Midrange FG	18-30	11-28
2-Point FG	34-57	28-57
3-Point FG	13-39	9-32
Free Throws	3-5	17-22
Fast Break Pts	8	10
2nd Chance Pts	17	13
Points in Paint	58	52
Pts off Turnovers	16	14
Bench Points	44	22
Biggest Lead	23	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg