Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Cavaliers	56%	111	124	125.3	99	100.6
	17	Clippers	44%	110	91	91.9	99	97.4

Prediction updated: Feb 5, 2026 03:32 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+16

-9

106

LAC

+11

-24

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.18 59.0%

LAC

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'2" 215 · 29	30.1	29	66%	5	9	4	0	2	1	0	5	6-6	100%	7-10	70%	3-9	33%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	24.5	17	77%	4	1	1	0	2	1	2	2	0-3	0%	4-7	57%	3-3	100%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	23.4	10	63%	11	3	2	1	0	0	3	8	0-2	0%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	21.1	11	92%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	19.6	5	50%	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%

Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	24.8	7	70%	2	2	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	20.3	4	25%	1	2	2	2	0	4	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	19.2	11	39%	2	6	3	0	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	18.5	6	60%	3	0	2	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	16.5	8	67%	8	0	0	2	0	0	3	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	8.1	8	100%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	7.0	6	43%	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	7.0	2	50%	3	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Emanuel Miller #15 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	Inactive - Trade Pending
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	59%	44	30	17	5	9	12	13	31	8-13	62%	34-57	60%	16-41	39%

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7 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'2" 215 · 29	30.1	29	66%	5	9	4	0	2	1	0	5	6-6	100%	7-10	70%	3-9	33%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	24.5	17	77%	4	1	1	0	2	1	2	2	0-3	0%	4-7	57%	3-3	100%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	23.4	10	63%	11	3	2	1	0	0	3	8	0-2	0%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	21.1	11	92%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	19.6	5	50%	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%

Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	24.8	7	70%	2	2	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	20.3	4	25%	1	2	2	2	0	4	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	19.2	11	39%	2	6	3	0	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	18.5	6	60%	3	0	2	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	16.5	8	67%	8	0	0	2	0	0	3	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	8.1	8	100%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	7.0	6	43%	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	7.0	2	50%	3	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Emanuel Miller #15 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	Inactive - Trade Pending
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 28	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	59%	44	30	17	5	9	12	13	31	8-13	62%	34-57	60%	16-41	39%

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17 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	27.1	19	79%	7	0	0	0	1	2	2	5	3-3	100%	8-10	80%	0-1	0%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	26.6	25	60%	7	4	1	0	4	1	0	7	3-3	100%	8-14	57%	2-6	33%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	23.1	5	42%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 32	20.5	2	25%	3	6	1	0	3	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	20.0	4	33%	2	2	1	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%

Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	29.7	5	25%	4	3	1	0	2	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	1-4	25%
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	24.9	10	100%	8	0	0	2	3	4	0	8	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 29	21.4	7	50%	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	12.0	2	33%	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	11.9	2	25%	1	1	0	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	8.9	10	100%	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	5.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive – Personal
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	53%	37	20	6	4	24	13	6	31	11-12	92%	31-52	60%	6-28	21%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.18 59.0%

LAC

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

71%

LAC

71%

Midrange

CLE

43%

LAC

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

24.0

39%

59%

LAC

9.0

21%

32%

Free Throws

CLE

62%

LAC

92%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	29	66%	14.5 / 22
J. Tyson	17	77%	8.5 / 11
S. Merrill	11	92%	5.5 / 6
D. Schröder	11	39%	5.5 / 14
J. Allen	10	63%	5.0 / 8
T. Bryant	8	67%	4.0 / 6
L. Nance	8	100%	4.0 / 4
C. Porter	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Ellis	6	60%	3.0 / 5
T. Proctor	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Wade	5	50%	2.5 / 5
N. Tomlin	4	25%	2.0 / 8
T. Enaruna	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	25	60%	12.5 / 21
J. Collins	19	79%	9.5 / 12
Y. Niederhäuser	10	100%	5.0 / 5
K. Brown	10	100%	5.0 / 5
D. Jones	7	50%	3.5 / 7
B. Lopez	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Miller	5	25%	2.5 / 10
K. Sanders	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. Dunn	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. Christie	2	33%	1.0 / 3
B. Bogdanović	2	25%	1.0 / 4
T. Washington	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 118.3 11 116.4	CLE 125.3 +33.3 LAC 91.9
Pace	12 100.6 28 97.3	CLE 100.6 +3.2 LAC 97.4
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.1 5 15.0	CLE 14.3 −0.5 LAC 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.1% 8 55.9%	CLE 59.2% +9.2% LAC 50.0%
TO %	10 13.2% 17 13.9%	CLE 8.0% −14.0% LAC 22.0%
ORB %	9 26.9% 23 23.7%	CLE 29.5% +13.3% LAC 16.2%
FTrt	15 26.5 3 29.5	CLE 13.3 LAC 15.0 +1.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 65.3% 29 58.6%	CLE 60.0% +5.9% LAC 54.1%
STL %	15 8.4% 5 9.2%	CLE 17.2% +11.1% LAC 6.1%
BLK %	11 9.8% 13 9.5%	CLE 9.6% +2.6% LAC 7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.2% 3 58.7%	CLE 59.0% +6.1% LAC 52.9%
Rim FG%	7 66.1% 3 67.1%	CLE 70.6% LAC 71.0% +0.4%
Mid FG%	3 46.8% 10 44.2%	CLE 43.5% +0.6% LAC 42.9%
3P %	13 36.0% 7 36.8%	CLE 39.0% +17.6% LAC 21.4%
FT %	19 77.6% 1 82.3%	CLE 61.5% LAC 91.7% +30.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.7% 15 31.6%	CLE 34.7% LAC 38.8% +4.1%
Mid Att. %	8 24.1% 20 27.9%	CLE 23.5% −2.8% LAC 26.3%
3P Att. %	9 44.2% 19 40.4%	CLE 41.8% +6.8% LAC 35.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	LAC
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	124	91
Rebounds	44	37
Assists	30	20
Steals	17	6
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	24 (0)
Fouls	12	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	6 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	31 (5)
Field Goals	50-98	37-80
At-the-Rim FG	24-34	22-31
Midrange FG	10-23	9-21
2-Point FG	34-57	31-52
3-Point FG	16-41	6-28
Free Throws	8-13	11-12
Fast Break Pts	27	11
2nd Chance Pts	13	7
Points in Paint	60	54
Pts off Turnovers	47	11
Bench Points	52	36
Biggest Lead	35	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg