Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, February 4, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Timberwolves | |||
 | 21 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Celtics | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Pelicans | |||
 | 17 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, February 3, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | |||
 | 16 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Lakers | |||
 | 28 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_2_1_'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23E03A3E;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_2_'%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M312.9,93.7c-28.8-30.8-70.7-48.4-115-48.4c-3.8,0-7.6,0.1-11.3,0.5c-71.5,4.8-106,55.7-109.6,61.3%20c-5.4,6.7-50.7,68-20.3,152.6l0.6,1.8C57.6,262.4,87.2,353,193,353l0,0c5.6,0,11.5-0.3,17.4-0.8c79.1-6.9,137.8-65.3,142.8-141.9%20C356.3,166.2,342,124.8,312.9,93.7'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M305.4,100.6c-29.7-31.7-73.5-48-118.3-44.9C116,60.5,84.4,113.4,84.4,113.4s56.4,17.1,64.1,19.5%20c5.4,1.6,40.4,10.4,56.3,19c3.3,1.8,6.5,5.5,9.7,8.8c2.4,2.5,4.6,4.9,6.9,6.8c4.2,3.4,8.2,6.3,12.2,9.2%20c9.7,7.1,18.2,13.1,22.2,22.4c3.4,8,3.5,16.4,0.5,24.1c-2.7,6.7-8,12.8-14.4,17c0.7-3.4,1.5-8.3-3.1-11.3%20c-2.1-1.3-12.6-3.8-19.7-4.6c-3.4-0.3-41.5-2.1-94.3,26.4c15.8-21.2,27.2-24.7,27.2-24.7c-0.5-2.5-85.5,31.9-85.5,31.9%20s29.4,94.1,142.8,84.1c73.9-6.5,128.9-60.6,133.7-132.7C345.8,168.2,332.4,129.5,305.4,100.6%20M281.8,233.8%20c10.7-23.6,5.4-49.2-12.8-69.5c-5-5.6-11.3-9.5-17.3-13.1c-3.9-2.4-8-4.9-11.6-7.9c-1.7-1.4-3.1-3.3-4.6-5.2%20c-1.8-2.5-3.9-5.4-6.9-7.4c-16.7-12.2-36.5-16.5-55.9-22.2c-9.2-2.7-18.1-4.7-26.5-7.7c10.5-7.2,23.8-12,38.4-13.3%20c4.6-0.5,9.1-0.7,13.7-0.7c43.1,0,80.5,21.6,100.5,58c19.9,36.3,18.7,80.4-3.4,115.2c-22.7,35.7-62.9,54.6-108.4,50.8%20c-27.2-2.2-56.3-16.6-65.2-32c5.5-3.4,55.2-29.7,89.3-19.1c9.7,0-5.8,23.7-5.8,23.7S261.6,278.4,281.8,233.8'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M197.7,162.3c-18.2,0.7-35.1-21.3-49.1-6.8c2.7,0.7,8.3-1.4,9.1,1.1C150.5,185,197.3,192.4,197.7,162.3'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 13 | Hawks | |||
 | 18 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | |||
 | 10 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bulls | |||
| 17 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Magic | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23CF0A2C;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20d='M300.9,131.4c-4.4-6.5-9.4-12.6-15-18.2c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.5-6.9L333,51.7H174l-61.4,61.4h0c0,0-0.1,0.1-0.1,0.1%20c-5.5,5.6-10.6,11.7-15,18.2c-4.4,6.6-8.2,13.6-11.3,20.8c-6.4,15.1-9.6,31.2-9.6,47.7c0,16.6,3.2,32.6,9.6,47.7%20c3.1,7.3,6.9,14.3,11.3,20.8c4.4,6.5,9.4,12.6,15,18.2c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.5,6.9l-54.6,54.6h159l61.6-61.6h0%20c5.5-5.5,10.5-11.6,14.9-18c4.4-6.6,8.2-13.6,11.3-20.8c6.4-15.1,9.6-31.2,9.6-47.7c0-16.6-3.2-32.6-9.6-47.7%20C309.1,145,305.3,137.9,300.9,131.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M278.8,120.3c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.4-6.8l-66.7,66.7c3.3,0.9,6.4,2.7,9,5.3l0,0c8.1,8.1,8.1,21.1,0,29.2%20L89.9,338.3h14.5l116.4-116.4c12-12,12.1-31.5,0.1-43.6l7.2-7.2c16,16.1,15.9,42-0.1,58L118.9,338.3h14.5l101.9-101.9%20c20-20,20.1-52.5,0.1-72.5l7.2-7.2c24,24.1,23.9,63-0.1,87l-94.7,94.7h14.5l87.4-87.4c28-28,28.1-73.4,0.1-101.5l7.2-7.2%20c31.9,32.1,31.9,84-0.1,116l-80.2,80.2h14.5l72.9-72.9c36-36,36.1-94.4,0.1-130.5l7.3-7.3c40,40.1,39.9,105-0.1,145l-65.6,65.6%20h14.5l58.4-58.4l0,0C322.8,235.8,322.8,164.4,278.8,120.3'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M119.7,279.7c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.4,6.8l66.7-66.7c-3.3-0.9-6.4-2.7-9-5.3l0,0c-8.1-8.1-8.1-21.1,0-29.2%20L308.7,61.6h-14.5L177.7,178.1c-12,12-12.1,31.5-0.1,43.6l-7.2,7.2c-15.9-16.1-15.9-42,0.1-58L279.8,61.6h-14.5L163.2,163.6%20c-20,20-20.1,52.5-0.1,72.5l-7.2,7.2c-24-24.1-23.9-63,0.1-87l94.8-94.8h-14.5l-87.6,87.6c-28,28-28.1,73.4-0.1,101.5l-7.2,7.2%20c-31.9-32.1-31.9-84,0.1-116l80.3-80.3h-14.5l-73.1,73.1c-36,36-36.1,94.4-0.1,130.5l-7.3,7.3c-40-40.1-39.9-105,0.1-145l65.8-65.8%20h-14.5l-58.6,58.6l0,0C75.7,164.2,75.7,235.7,119.7,279.7'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 25 | Blazers | |||
Monday, February 2, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | |||
 | 27 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| 21 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | |||
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | |||
| 4 | Clippers | |||
Sunday, February 1, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | |||
| 14 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magic | |||
| 16 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | |||
| 15 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | |||
| 17 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | |||
| 20 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | |||
| 29 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | |||
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | |||
| 26 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| 24 | Blazers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 6 | Nuggets | |||
Saturday, January 31, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | |||
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | |||
| 21 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | |||
| 15 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | |||
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | |||
| 3 | Rockets | |||
Friday, January 30, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | |||
| 5 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | |||
| 12 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Blazers | |||
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| 24 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | |||
| 18 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| 25 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | |||
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | |||
| 6 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pistons | |||
| 8 | Warriors | |||
Thursday, January 29, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | |||
| 17 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| 11 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| 14 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | |||
| 6 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | |||
| 26 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 12 | Timberwolves | |||
Wednesday, January 28, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | |||
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | |||
| 21 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | |||
| 13 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | |||
| 18 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | |||
| 20 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | |||
| 15 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | |||
| 30 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | |||
| 3 | Rockets | |||
Tuesday, January 27, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Blazers | |||
| 29 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | |||
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | |||
| 17 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pistons | |||
| 5 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | |||
| 26 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | |||
| 30 | Jazz | |||
Monday, January 26, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | |||
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | |||
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | |||
| 12 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Blazers | |||
| 13 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | |||
| 23 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | |||
| 10 | Timberwolves | |||
Sunday, January 25, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | |||
| 14 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | |||
| 8 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mavericks | |||
| 17 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | |||
| 15 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | |||
| 25 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | |||
| 4 | Clippers | |||
Saturday, January 24, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| 17 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | |||
| 10 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| 5 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | |||
| 23 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | |||
| 16 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | |||
| 29 | Jazz | |||
Friday, January 23, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| 14 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | |||
| 12 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | |||
| 28 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | |||
| 2 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | |||
| 8 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | |||
| 18 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | |||
| 25 | Blazers | |||
Thursday, January 22, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| 5 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | |||
| 18 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | |||
| 29 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | |||
| 15 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | |||
| 10 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | |||
| 30 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lakers | |||
| 4 | Clippers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | |||
| 25 | Blazers | |||