Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Grizzlies	67%	119	129	125.2	103	105.3
	27	Kings	33%	113	125	122.5	102	99.7

Prediction updated: Feb 5, 2026 03:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+14

-13

104

SAC

+24

-13

113

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.24 62.0%

SAC

1.11 55.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	27.2	16	89%	7	2	1	1	2	3	0	7	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	26.5	5	36%	7	6	0	1	1	4	1	6	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	26.0	18	75%	3	1	0	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	6-9	67%
Santi Aldama #7 · C · 7'0" 215 · 25	24.1	12	50%	6	0	1	2	1	3	1	5	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Ty Jerome #2 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 29	20.7	28	93%	1	7	1	0	0	2	1	0	5-6	83%	7-10	70%	3-4	75%

Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	26.9	20	71%	3	5	0	0	3	0	1	2	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	3-7	43%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	22.9	2	50%	4	5	3	0	0	4	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	22.5	15	75%	2	2	1	0	2	3	0	2	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	22.2	8	44%	5	0	1	0	1	2	2	3	6-8	75%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	21.0	5	23%	6	2	0	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-6	17%	1-5	20%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Trade Pending
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Trade Pending
Kyle Anderson #5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	Inactive - Trade Pending
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	Inactive - Trade Pending
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	62%	44	30	8	4	13	26	11	33	21-28	75%	27-49	55%	18-41	44%

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19 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	27.2	16	89%	7	2	1	1	2	3	0	7	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	26.5	5	36%	7	6	0	1	1	4	1	6	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	26.0	18	75%	3	1	0	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	6-9	67%
Santi Aldama #7 · C · 7'0" 215 · 25	24.1	12	50%	6	0	1	2	1	3	1	5	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Ty Jerome #2 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 29	20.7	28	93%	1	7	1	0	0	2	1	0	5-6	83%	7-10	70%	3-4	75%

Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	26.9	20	71%	3	5	0	0	3	0	1	2	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	3-7	43%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	22.9	2	50%	4	5	3	0	0	4	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	22.5	15	75%	2	2	1	0	2	3	0	2	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	22.2	8	44%	5	0	1	0	1	2	2	3	6-8	75%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	21.0	5	23%	6	2	0	0	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-6	17%	1-5	20%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 33	Inactive - Trade Pending
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Trade Pending
Kyle Anderson #5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	Inactive - Trade Pending
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	Inactive - Trade Pending
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	62%	44	30	8	4	13	26	11	33	21-28	75%	27-49	55%	18-41	44%

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27 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	27.6	20	71%	3	5	0	0	1	1	1	2	7-9	78%	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
De'Andre Hunter #15 · PF · 6'7" 221 · 28	26.4	9	38%	2	1	0	0	1	5	0	2	1-2	50%	1-7	14%	2-4	50%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	25.6	13	46%	0	5	1	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-10	30%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	24.1	24	63%	15	3	1	0	1	3	7	8	4-4	100%	10-18	56%	0-0	-
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	22.2	11	50%	1	0	1	0	1	2	1	0	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%

Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	25.8	14	70%	3	5	0	0	4	0	0	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-3	67%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	25.8	5	63%	11	1	0	1	0	3	4	7	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	23.8	10	42%	6	5	1	1	1	4	0	6	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-6	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	20.8	6	60%	5	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	17.9	13	59%	0	4	0	0	2	1	0	0	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · C · 6'8" 243 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	55%	46	29	4	2	13	21	14	32	24-28	86%	34-64	53%	11-36	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	SAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.24 62.0%

SAC

1.11 55.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

64%

SAC

58%

Midrange

MEM

51%

SAC

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

27.0

44%

66%

SAC

16.5

31%

46%

Free Throws

MEM

75%

SAC

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Jerome	28	93%	14.0 / 15
C. Spencer	20	71%	10.0 / 14
J. Wells	18	75%	9.0 / 12
G. Jackson	16	89%	8.0 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope	15	75%	7.5 / 10
S. Aldama	12	50%	6.0 / 12
O. Prosper	8	44%	4.0 / 9
C. Coward	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Small	5	23%	2.5 / 11
J. Mashack	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Sabonis	24	63%	12.0 / 19
D. DeRozan	20	71%	10.0 / 14
N. Clifford	14	70%	7.0 / 10
R. Westbrook	13	46%	6.5 / 14
M. Monk	13	59%	6.5 / 11
Z. LaVine	11	50%	5.5 / 11
D. Carter	10	42%	5.0 / 12
D. Hunter	9	38%	4.5 / 12
M. Raynaud	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Cardwell	5	63%	2.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 26 110.6	MEM 125.2 +2.7 SAC 122.5
Pace	7 101.8 17 100.0	MEM 105.3 +5.6 SAC 99.7
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 14 14.5	MEM 13.7 −0.8 SAC 14.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 29 52.5%	MEM 60.0% +9.5% SAC 50.5%
TO %	22 14.3% 15 13.7%	MEM 11.3% SAC 10.4% −0.9%
ORB %	19 24.7% 13 25.9%	MEM 25.6% SAC 29.8% +4.2%
FTrt	21 25.1 19 25.6	MEM 31.1 +3.1 SAC 28.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 20 61.5%	MEM 66.7% +2.3% SAC 64.4%
STL %	11 8.7% 21 8.0%	MEM 7.8% +3.9% SAC 3.9%
BLK %	14 9.1% 19 8.6%	MEM 6.3% +2.2% SAC 4.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 29 54.7%	MEM 62.0% +6.7% SAC 55.3%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 8 65.9%	MEM 64.3% +6.7% SAC 57.6%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 13 43.8%	MEM 51.4% +3.0% SAC 48.4%
3P %	22 35.3% 29 34.1%	MEM 43.9% +13.3% SAC 30.6%
FT %	9 79.3% 21 77.2%	MEM 75.0% SAC 85.7% +10.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 28 28.0%	MEM 15.6% SAC 33.0% +17.4%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 30 38.1%	MEM 38.9% SAC 31.0% −7.9%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 30 33.9%	MEM 45.6% +9.6% SAC 36.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	MEM	SAC
Possessions	103	102
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	129	125
Rebounds	44	46
Assists	30	29
Steals	8	4
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	26	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	14 (10)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	32 (1)
Field Goals	45-90	45-100
At-the-Rim FG	9-14	19-33
Midrange FG	18-35	15-31
2-Point FG	27-49	34-64
3-Point FG	18-41	11-36
Free Throws	21-28	24-28
Fast Break Pts	24	14
2nd Chance Pts	9	22
Points in Paint	42	58
Pts off Turnovers	15	17
Bench Points	50	48
Biggest Lead	8	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg