Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, February 8, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Pacers	31%	108	104	101.0	103	103.3
	14	Raptors	69%	115	122	117.3	104	103.7

Prediction updated: Feb 8, 2026 07:31 PM

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+11

-19

TOR

+22

-10

116

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.09 54.7%

TOR

1.07 53.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	30.0	15	68%	7	2	2	2	1	4	1	6	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	25.5	10	28%	3	2	2	0	4	2	0	3	1-1	100%	3-12	25%	1-6	17%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	24.2	18	53%	4	2	0	0	2	0	1	3	3-4	75%	6-12	50%	1-3	33%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	23.5	7	70%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	15.4	4	67%	2	3	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	27.9	13	43%	6	2	1	0	4	3	2	4	3-3	100%	2-9	22%	2-5	40%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	26.9	12	55%	5	4	0	0	2	4	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	25.9	8	100%	8	2	0	0	1	3	2	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	25.0	7	70%	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	15.7	10	100%	3	7	0	1	4	2	0	3	0-0	-	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	Inactive - Not With Team
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	55%	40	26	6	3	19	24	7	33	12-14	86%	28-56	50%	12-33	36%

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20 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	30.0	15	68%	7	2	2	2	1	4	1	6	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	25.5	10	28%	3	2	2	0	4	2	0	3	1-1	100%	3-12	25%	1-6	17%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	24.2	18	53%	4	2	0	0	2	0	1	3	3-4	75%	6-12	50%	1-3	33%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	23.5	7	70%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	15.4	4	67%	2	3	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	27.9	13	43%	6	2	1	0	4	3	2	4	3-3	100%	2-9	22%	2-5	40%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	26.9	12	55%	5	4	0	0	2	4	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	25.9	8	100%	8	2	0	0	1	3	2	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	25.0	7	70%	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	15.7	10	100%	3	7	0	1	4	2	0	3	0-0	-	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	Inactive - Not With Team
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	55%	40	26	6	3	19	24	7	33	12-14	86%	28-56	50%	12-33	36%

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14 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 25	33.0	25	63%	14	6	2	4	1	3	2	12	1-1	100%	12-20	60%	0-0	-
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 26	31.8	20	56%	8	5	1	0	3	2	2	6	4-7	57%	5-10	50%	2-5	40%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	28.1	13	72%	4	6	1	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	26.0	13	50%	5	3	0	1	2	2	1	4	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	0-3	0%
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · C · 6'7" 245 · 21	8.2	2	100%	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	27.3	6	43%	4	2	2	1	0	5	1	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	2-3	67%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	21.6	17	85%	4	1	1	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 24	19.2	6	50%	0	4	0	0	2	2	0	0	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	15.6	8	57%	1	1	3	0	1	0	1	0	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	15.5	10	56%	10	1	1	1	0	0	8	2	6-10	60%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	7.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Alijah Martin #55 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 24	3.6	2	25%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 26	2.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chucky Hepburn #24 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 30	Inactive – Return to Competition Reconditioning
Chris Paul #99 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	54%	54	29	12	8	10	19	17	37	21-30	70%	34-65	52%	11-30	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	IND	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.09 54.7%

TOR

1.07 53.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

54%

TOR

62%

Midrange

IND

46%

TOR

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

18.0

36%

55%

TOR

16.5

37%

55%

Free Throws

IND

86%

TOR

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	18	53%	9.0 / 17
J. Huff	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Walker	13	43%	6.5 / 15
B. Sheppard	12	55%	6.0 / 11
A. Nembhard	10	28%	5.0 / 18
T. McConnell	10	100%	5.0 / 5
M. Potter	8	100%	4.0 / 4
A. Nesmith	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Jones	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Furphy	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Barnes	25	63%	12.5 / 20
R. Barrett	20	56%	10.0 / 18
S. Mamukelashvili	17	85%	8.5 / 10
I. Quickley	13	72%	6.5 / 9
B. Ingram	13	50%	6.5 / 13
T. Jackson-Davis	10	56%	5.0 / 9
G. Dick	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Walter	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Shead	6	50%	3.0 / 6
C. Murray-Boyles	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Martin	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Battle	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.1 15 115.1	IND 101.0 TOR 117.3 +16.3
Pace	10 101.4 22 99.1	IND 103.3 TOR 103.7 +0.4
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 19 14.1	IND 13.9 TOR 13.9 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.3% 16 54.6%	IND 51.7% TOR 53.2% +1.5%
TO %	14 13.6% 7 12.9%	IND 16.6% TOR 10.7% −5.9%
ORB %	29 21.7% 16 25.5%	IND 15.9% TOR 34.0% +18.1%
FTrt	20 25.2 16 26.5	IND 15.7 TOR 31.6 +15.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 67.8% 3 69.2%	IND 65.0% +0.6% TOR 64.4%
STL %	28 7.2% 8 8.8%	IND 5.8% TOR 11.5% +5.7%
BLK %	26 8.1% 12 9.6%	IND 4.6% TOR 14.3% +9.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.4% 16 56.6%	IND 54.7% +1.2% TOR 53.5%
Rim FG%	25 62.9% 6 66.5%	IND 53.6% TOR 61.5% +7.9%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 16 43.7%	IND 46.4% +7.9% TOR 38.5%
3P %	18 35.6% 21 35.4%	IND 36.4% TOR 36.7% +0.3%
FT %	17 77.6% 22 76.9%	IND 85.7% +15.7% TOR 70.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.3% 10 32.9%	IND 31.5% TOR 41.1% +9.6%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 27 30.7%	IND 31.5% TOR 27.4% −4.1%
3P Att. %	14 42.2% 25 36.3%	IND 37.1% +5.5% TOR 31.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	TOR
Possessions	103	104
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	104	122
Rebounds	40	54
Assists	26	29
Steals	6	12
Blocks	3	8
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	10 (3)
Fouls	24	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (4)	17 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	37 (2)
Field Goals	40-89	45-95
At-the-Rim FG	15-28	24-39
Midrange FG	13-28	10-26
2-Point FG	28-56	34-65
3-Point FG	12-33	11-30
Free Throws	12-14	21-30
Fast Break Pts	9	34
2nd Chance Pts	6	21
Points in Paint	46	64
Pts off Turnovers	11	24
Bench Points	50	49
Biggest Lead	6	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg