Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Bulls	9%	107	105	108.2	97	100.6
	2	Celtics	91%	124	124	127.8	97	93.7

Prediction updated: Feb 12, 2026 12:32 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CHI

+13

-13

BOS

+20

-14

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.09 54.7%

BOS

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Patrick Williams #44 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 24	34.5	12	60%	3	6	3	0	1	1	3	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Collin Sexton #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 27	31.7	15	54%	3	1	2	0	3	3	1	2	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	1-4	25%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 21	28.7	15	58%	8	4	1	2	2	2	0	8	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-7	43%
Anfernee Simons #22 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	27.9	7	39%	5	1	0	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	25.3	13	50%	2	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%

Rob Dillingham #7 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	30.1	16	57%	1	7	3	0	3	4	0	1	4-5	80%	6-10	60%	0-2	0%
Jaden Ivey #31 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	28.6	10	56%	3	4	0	1	0	1	0	3	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Nick Richards #13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	20.8	5	42%	4	0	0	2	2	3	2	2	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	1-1	100%
Leonard Miller #11 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	6.9	5	125%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	5.5	7	88%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Mac McClung #5 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Sprain
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	55%	34	25	9	5	13	18	9	25	11-13	85%	29-53	55%	12-36	33%

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27 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Patrick Williams #44 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 24	34.5	12	60%	3	6	3	0	1	1	3	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Collin Sexton #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 27	31.7	15	54%	3	1	2	0	3	3	1	2	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	1-4	25%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 21	28.7	15	58%	8	4	1	2	2	2	0	8	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-7	43%
Anfernee Simons #22 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	27.9	7	39%	5	1	0	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	25.3	13	50%	2	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%

Rob Dillingham #7 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	30.1	16	57%	1	7	3	0	3	4	0	1	4-5	80%	6-10	60%	0-2	0%
Jaden Ivey #31 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	28.6	10	56%	3	4	0	1	0	1	0	3	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Nick Richards #13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	20.8	5	42%	4	0	0	2	2	3	2	2	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	1-1	100%
Leonard Miller #11 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	6.9	5	125%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	5.5	7	88%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Mac McClung #5 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Sprain
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	55%	34	25	9	5	13	18	9	25	11-13	85%	29-53	55%	12-36	33%

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2 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 32	29.7	9	45%	4	9	2	2	0	0	1	3	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 29	28.9	24	55%	4	4	0	0	2	1	0	4	4-4	100%	7-11	64%	2-9	22%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	23.6	10	71%	5	1	1	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	21.7	12	67%	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-7	57%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	14.7	8	100%	6	1	0	1	2	3	2	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-

Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	33.7	26	68%	5	8	2	0	5	0	0	5	1-2	50%	8-10	80%	3-8	38%
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 22	29.1	16	67%	6	2	3	2	0	4	4	2	1-1	100%	6-8	75%	1-4	25%
Nikola Vučević #4 · C · 6'9" 265 · 35	26.4	19	73%	11	3	1	2	4	3	3	8	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	4-5	80%
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	16.3	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	9.0	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	6.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Tonje #8 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	60%	48	29	9	8	14	15	13	35	8-13	62%	31-50	62%	18-45	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.09 54.7%

BOS

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHI

59%

BOS

71%

Midrange

CHI

53%

BOS

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHI

18.0

33%

50%

BOS

27.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

CHI

85%

BOS

62%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Dillingham	16	57%	8.0 / 14
C. Sexton	15	54%	7.5 / 14
M. Buzelis	15	58%	7.5 / 13
G. Yabusele	13	50%	6.5 / 13
P. Williams	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Ivey	10	56%	5.0 / 9
A. Simons	7	39%	3.5 / 9
L. Olbrich	7	88%	3.5 / 4
N. Richards	5	42%	2.5 / 6
L. Miller	5	125%	2.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Pritchard	26	68%	13.0 / 19
J. Brown	24	55%	12.0 / 22
N. Vučević	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. Walsh	16	67%	8.0 / 12
S. Hauser	12	67%	6.0 / 9
B. Scheierman	10	71%	5.0 / 7
D. White	9	45%	4.5 / 10
N. Queta	8	100%	4.0 / 4
R. Harper	0	-	0.0 / 2
H. González	0	-	0.0 / 1
L. Garza	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.2 2 120.0	CHI 108.2 BOS 127.8 +19.6
Pace	3 103.3 30 95.5	CHI 100.6 +6.9 BOS 93.7
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.6 2 15.7	CHI 14.3 −1.1 BOS 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.7% 11 55.3%	CHI 52.8% BOS 61.1% +8.3%
TO %	20 14.1% 2 12.0%	CHI 12.1% −0.1% BOS 12.2%
ORB %	27 23.1% 6 29.2%	CHI 20.5% BOS 34.2% +13.7%
FTrt	22 24.6 30 20.7	CHI 14.6 +0.9 BOS 13.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 67.2% 30 58.5%	CHI 61.0% +1.8% BOS 59.2%
STL %	26 7.4% 25 7.4%	CHI 9.3% BOS 9.3%
BLK %	15 9.0% 5 10.4%	CHI 10.0% BOS 15.1% +5.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 13 56.9%	CHI 54.7% BOS 60.2% +5.5%
Rim FG%	30 61.4% 2 68.9%	CHI 58.8% BOS 70.8% +12.0%
Mid FG%	15 43.7% 12 44.2%	CHI 52.8% BOS 53.8% +1.0%
3P %	19 35.6% 8 36.7%	CHI 33.3% BOS 40.0% +6.7%
FT %	18 77.6% 7 80.7%	CHI 84.6% +23.1% BOS 61.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 38.2% 30 24.4%	CHI 19.1% BOS 25.3% +6.2%
Mid Att. %	1 17.5% 24 28.9%	CHI 40.4% BOS 27.4% −13.1%
3P Att. %	8 44.3% 4 46.7%	CHI 40.4% BOS 47.4% +6.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Game Totals	CHI	BOS
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	105	124
Rebounds	34	48
Assists	25	29
Steals	9	9
Blocks	5	8
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	18	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	13 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (3)	35 (3)
Field Goals	41-89	49-95
At-the-Rim FG	10-17	17-24
Midrange FG	19-36	14-26
2-Point FG	29-53	31-50
3-Point FG	12-36	18-45
Free Throws	11-13	8-13
Fast Break Pts	11	12
2nd Chance Pts	12	17
Points in Paint	44	52
Pts off Turnovers	10	18
Bench Points	43	61
Biggest Lead	5	33

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg