Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, February 7, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Rockets	29%	102	112	116.7	96	86.3
	2	Thunder	71%	109	106	109.3	97	109.1

Prediction updated: Feb 7, 2026 08:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+15

-14

OKC

+17

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.15 57.7%

OKC

1.08 54.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	43.2	22	65%	10	0	1	1	0	1	3	7	9-11	82%	2-5	40%	3-7	43%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	40.4	20	71%	1	4	1	1	4	3	0	1	6-9	67%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 24	36.8	17	65%	12	11	3	3	1	2	2	10	4-4	100%	5-11	45%	1-1	100%
Tari Eason #17 · SG · 6'8" 215 · 25	34.4	26	57%	8	1	3	0	3	5	2	6	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	5-13	38%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	31.8	16	62%	3	6	3	0	4	3	1	2	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	1-4	25%

JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	17.9	8	80%	4	1	0	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	16.1	3	25%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	11.8	0	0%	2	0	1	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	7.6	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Contusion
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	58%	41	25	12	5	14	23	10	31	21-28	75%	23-40	57%	15-43	35%

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14 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	43.2	22	65%	10	0	1	1	0	1	3	7	9-11	82%	2-5	40%	3-7	43%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	40.4	20	71%	1	4	1	1	4	3	0	1	6-9	67%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 24	36.8	17	65%	12	11	3	3	1	2	2	10	4-4	100%	5-11	45%	1-1	100%
Tari Eason #17 · SG · 6'8" 215 · 25	34.4	26	57%	8	1	3	0	3	5	2	6	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	5-13	38%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	31.8	16	62%	3	6	3	0	4	3	1	2	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	1-4	25%

JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	17.9	8	80%	4	1	0	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	16.1	3	25%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	11.8	0	0%	2	0	1	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	7.6	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Contusion
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	58%	41	25	12	5	14	23	10	31	21-28	75%	23-40	57%	15-43	35%

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2 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	34.7	17	61%	14	0	0	0	1	3	3	11	6-8	75%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Cason Wallace #22 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	34.3	23	68%	4	4	4	0	3	1	1	3	2-2	100%	9-13	69%	1-3	33%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 27	26.8	2	14%	2	3	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SF · 6'5" 190 · 27	26.4	17	50%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-4	50%	3-8	38%	3-7	43%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	25.1	4	40%	8	11	0	1	3	0	3	5	0-3	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	29.1	21	75%	3	2	3	0	1	5	0	3	8-8	100%	2-5	40%	3-6	50%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	26.4	8	44%	2	1	2	1	1	4	1	1	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	15.0	6	75%	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Jared McCain #3 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	13.9	5	42%	2	1	0	0	2	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	8.3	3	150%	2	1	0	0	4	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Buddy Boeheim #14 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	54%	42	25	10	2	16	20	13	29	18-28	64%	23-46	50%	14-36	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.15 57.7%

OKC

1.08 54.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

63%

OKC

57%

Midrange

HOU

52%

OKC

27%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

22.5

35%

52%

OKC

21.0

39%

58%

Free Throws

HOU

75%

OKC

64%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Eason	26	57%	13.0 / 23
J. Smith	22	65%	11.0 / 17
K. Durant	20	71%	10.0 / 14
A. Sengun	17	65%	8.5 / 13
R. Sheppard	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Davison	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Finney-Smith	3	25%	1.5 / 6
J. Okogie	0	-	0.0 / 3
C. Capela	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Wallace	23	68%	11.5 / 17
I. Joe	21	75%	10.5 / 14
C. Holmgren	17	61%	8.5 / 14
A. Wiggins	17	50%	8.5 / 17
A. Caruso	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Williams	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. McCain	5	42%	2.5 / 6
I. Hartenstein	4	40%	2.0 / 5
K. Williams	3	150%	1.5 / 1
L. Dort	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.5 7 117.6	HOU 116.7 +7.4 OKC 109.3
Pace	29 96.9 15 100.3	HOU 86.3 OKC 109.1 +22.8
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.8 20 14.1	HOU 16.7 OKC 13.2 −3.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.2% 4 56.1%	HOU 54.8% +1.1% OKC 53.7%
TO %	25 14.7% 1 11.8%	HOU 13.6% −1.7% OKC 15.3%
ORB %	1 34.8% 28 22.3%	HOU 25.6% OKC 29.5% +3.9%
FTrt	18 26.0 17 26.1	HOU 33.7 OKC 34.1 +0.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.1% 25 59.8%	HOU 65.8% OKC 67.6% +1.8%
STL %	9 8.7% 4 9.6%	HOU 12.5% +2.2% OKC 10.3%
BLK %	4 10.9% 2 11.0%	HOU 10.9% +5.9% OKC 5.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 56.1% 4 58.5%	HOU 57.7% +3.6% OKC 54.1%
Rim FG%	13 64.8% 11 65.2%	HOU 63.2% +6.1% OKC 57.1%
Mid FG%	9 44.3% 1 47.6%	HOU 52.4% +25.1% OKC 27.3%
3P %	10 36.4% 9 36.5%	HOU 34.9% OKC 38.9% +4.0%
FT %	25 76.3% 3 81.7%	HOU 75.0% +10.7% OKC 64.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 30.7% 16 31.3%	HOU 22.9% OKC 42.7% +19.8%
Mid Att. %	29 34.2% 15 26.1%	HOU 25.3% OKC 13.4% −11.9%
3P Att. %	28 35.0% 13 42.6%	HOU 51.8% +7.9% OKC 43.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	OKC
Possessions	96	97
Possession Minutes	26.7	21.3
Points	112	106
Rebounds	41	42
Assists	25	25
Steals	12	10
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	16 (1)
Fouls	23	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (5)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	29 (4)
Field Goals	38-83	37-82
At-the-Rim FG	12-19	20-35
Midrange FG	11-21	3-11
2-Point FG	23-40	23-46
3-Point FG	15-43	14-36
Free Throws	21-28	18-28
Fast Break Pts	13	14
2nd Chance Pts	12	21
Points in Paint	36	44
Pts off Turnovers	27	15
Bench Points	11	43
Biggest Lead	9	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg