Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, February 5, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Spurs	64%	115	135	127.4	106	109.9
	23	Mavericks	36%	110	123	115.0	107	103.3

Prediction updated: Feb 6, 2026 01:33 AM

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+14

-13

107

DAL

+12

-9

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.26 63.1%

DAL

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	34.5	29	81%	11	6	2	3	3	4	3	8	6-8	75%	4-5	80%	5-9	56%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	34.4	19	106%	1	3	0	1	3	2	0	1	4-4	100%	0-0	-	5-7	71%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	31.9	17	53%	3	7	0	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	3-7	43%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	30.1	12	50%	7	3	0	0	0	0	3	4	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-4	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 25	27.3	14	54%	7	1	1	0	1	2	1	6	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	2-8	25%

Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21	21.7	18	69%	7	6	3	0	3	1	2	5	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	19.2	9	50%	5	2	0	2	0	2	0	5	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	19.1	12	60%	6	4	1	1	1	2	2	4	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	17.9	2	33%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	3.9	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Strain
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Tightness/Left Ankle Soreness
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Hyperextension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	63%	50	34	7	7	13	18	11	39	22-25	88%	31-54	57%	17-41	41%

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7 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	34.5	29	81%	11	6	2	3	3	4	3	8	6-8	75%	4-5	80%	5-9	56%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	34.4	19	106%	1	3	0	1	3	2	0	1	4-4	100%	0-0	-	5-7	71%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	31.9	17	53%	3	7	0	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	3-7	43%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	30.1	12	50%	7	3	0	0	0	0	3	4	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-4	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 25	27.3	14	54%	7	1	1	0	1	2	1	6	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	2-8	25%

Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21	21.7	18	69%	7	6	3	0	3	1	2	5	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	19.2	9	50%	5	2	0	2	0	2	0	5	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	19.1	12	60%	6	4	1	1	1	2	2	4	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	17.9	2	33%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	3.9	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Strain
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Tightness/Left Ankle Soreness
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Hyperextension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	63%	50	34	7	7	13	18	11	39	22-25	88%	31-54	57%	17-41	41%

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23 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Naji Marshall #13 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 28	38.8	32	70%	6	3	0	0	1	2	1	5	4-4	100%	8-14	57%	4-7	57%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	38.5	32	57%	6	4	2	3	3	1	1	5	2-2	100%	12-22	55%	2-5	40%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	37.7	20	63%	3	4	1	0	1	0	0	3	4-4	100%	5-7	71%	2-8	25%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	33.0	16	73%	10	2	3	4	0	6	4	6	6-8	75%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Caleb Martin #16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 30	31.6	8	80%	4	1	2	0	3	3	0	4	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%

Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	20.4	5	36%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-6	17%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	17.3	5	28%	3	7	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-7	14%	1-2	50%
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	11.7	0	0%	5	0	0	1	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	8.9	5	83%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Contusion
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	Inactive - Not With Team
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Not With Team
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 31	Inactive - Not With Team
D'Angelo Russell #5 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	57%	41	23	9	8	9	20	7	34	17-20	85%	35-66	53%	12-31	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.26 63.1%

DAL

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

69%

DAL

52%

Midrange

SAS

44%

DAL

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

25.5

41%

62%

DAL

18.0

39%

58%

Free Throws

SAS

88%

DAL

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	29	81%	14.5 / 18
H. Barnes	19	106%	9.5 / 9
S. Castle	18	69%	9.0 / 13
D. Fox	17	53%	8.5 / 16
J. Champagnie	14	54%	7.0 / 13
D. Vassell	12	50%	6.0 / 12
K. Johnson	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Harper	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. McLaughlin	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Bryant	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Marshall	32	70%	16.0 / 23
C. Flagg	32	57%	16.0 / 28
M. Christie	20	63%	10.0 / 16
D. Gafford	16	73%	8.0 / 11
C. Martin	8	80%	4.0 / 5
K. Thompson	5	36%	2.5 / 7
R. Nembhard	5	28%	2.5 / 9
M. Kelly	5	83%	2.5 / 3
M. Cisse	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 118.9 27 110.4	SAS 127.4 +12.4 DAL 115.0
Pace	13 100.5 6 102.5	SAS 109.9 +6.6 DAL 103.3
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.2 24 14.0	SAS 13.1 −0.8 DAL 13.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 55.9% 28 52.7%	SAS 59.5% +4.9% DAL 54.6%
TO %	4 12.5% 13 13.5%	SAS 11.7% DAL 7.8% −3.9%
ORB %	10 26.2% 26 23.2%	SAS 24.4% +9.2% DAL 15.2%
FTrt	12 27.3 6 28.7	SAS 26.3 +5.7 DAL 20.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.6% 22 60.4%	SAS 70.8% +21.9% DAL 48.9%
STL %	24 7.5% 27 7.3%	SAS 6.6% DAL 8.4% +1.8%
BLK %	10 10.0% 16 9.0%	SAS 10.6% DAL 14.8% +4.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.1% 28 55.2%	SAS 63.1% +6.2% DAL 56.9%
Rim FG%	9 65.8% 22 63.2%	SAS 69.0% +17.3% DAL 51.7%
Mid FG%	5 45.1% 18 43.1%	SAS 44.0% DAL 54.1% +10.1%
3P %	15 35.9% 26 34.4%	SAS 41.5% +2.8% DAL 38.7%
FT %	12 78.7% 28 75.5%	SAS 88.0% +3.0% DAL 85.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 34.4% 12 32.8%	SAS 30.5% +0.6% DAL 29.9%
Mid Att. %	7 23.4% 28 31.7%	SAS 26.3% −11.8% DAL 38.1%
3P Att. %	15 42.2% 26 35.5%	SAS 43.2% +11.2% DAL 32.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	DAL
Possessions	106	107
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	135	123
Rebounds	50	41
Assists	34	23
Steals	7	9
Blocks	7	8
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	18	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (4)	34 (1)
Field Goals	48-95	47-97
At-the-Rim FG	20-29	15-29
Midrange FG	11-25	20-37
2-Point FG	31-54	35-66
3-Point FG	17-41	12-31
Free Throws	22-25	17-20
Fast Break Pts	19	10
2nd Chance Pts	16	10
Points in Paint	60	54
Pts off Turnovers	15	6
Bench Points	44	15
Biggest Lead	13	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg