Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Warriors	58%	111	99	102.1	97	96.9
	20	Lakers	42%	108	105	108.2	97	97.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	39.2	25	66%	4	2	3	1	0	4	1	3	4-5	80%	3-3	100%	5-14	36%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 36	33.4	9	45%	4	6	1	0	2	5	0	4	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	28.1	14	58%	5	7	1	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	26.3	15	58%	8	3	1	0	0	5	2	6	2-4	50%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	23.6	5	25%	0	1	5	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-6	17%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	33.5	14	47%	6	4	2	0	1	1	3	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-7	29%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	22.6	4	33%	4	0	1	2	3	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	18.3	13	81%	5	1	2	0	1	3	3	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-2	50%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	10.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	4.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	51%	37	25	16	3	12	25	10	27	7-11	64%	25-41	61%	14-51	27%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

13 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	39.2	25	66%	4	2	3	1	0	4	1	3	4-5	80%	3-3	100%	5-14	36%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 36	33.4	9	45%	4	6	1	0	2	5	0	4	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	28.1	14	58%	5	7	1	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	26.3	15	58%	8	3	1	0	0	5	2	6	2-4	50%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	23.6	5	25%	0	1	5	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-6	17%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	33.5	14	47%	6	4	2	0	1	1	3	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-7	29%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	22.6	4	33%	4	0	1	2	3	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	18.3	13	81%	5	1	2	0	1	3	3	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-2	50%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	10.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	4.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	51%	37	25	16	3	12	25	10	27	7-11	64%	25-41	61%	14-51	27%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

20 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	35.1	20	53%	7	10	1	1	7	1	0	7	6-7	86%	4-10	40%	2-7	29%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 32	32.5	15	68%	3	4	0	2	1	1	0	3	8-9	89%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	28.4	18	90%	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	4-5	80%
Jake LaRavia #12 · SG · 6'7" 235 · 24	27.5	2	20%	4	1	0	2	4	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	20.0	6	75%	4	1	1	1	0	1	1	3	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	28.0	5	63%	7	1	0	1	1	4	2	5	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	26.1	10	71%	2	2	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	23.9	16	62%	5	8	2	1	5	2	1	4	6-7	86%	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	18.5	13	93%	8	2	2	1	1	2	0	8	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right MCL; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	62%	41	29	7	10	22	14	5	36	24-30	80%	24-42	57%	11-27	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	LAL

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.01 50.5%

LAL

1.24 61.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

20

31

65%

LAL

19

26

73%

Midrange

GSW

5

10

50%

LAL

5

16

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

14

21.0

51

27%

41%

LAL

11

16.5

27

41%

61%

Free Throws

GSW

7

11

64%

LAL

24

30

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Moody	25	66%	12.5 / 19
G. Santos	15	58%	7.5 / 13
P. Spencer	14	58%	7.0 / 12
B. Podziemski	14	47%	7.0 / 15
G. Payton	13	81%	6.5 / 8
D. Green	9	45%	4.5 / 10
D. Melton	5	25%	2.5 / 10
A. Horford	4	33%	2.0 / 6
W. Richard	0	-	0.0 / 2
Q. Post	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	20	53%	10.0 / 19
R. Hachimura	18	90%	9.0 / 10
A. Reaves	16	62%	8.0 / 13
M. Smart	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Vanderbilt	13	93%	6.5 / 7
L. Kennard	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Hayes	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Kleber	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. LaRavia	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 10 117.1	GSW 102.1 LAL 108.2 +6.2
Pace	18 99.9 21 99.2	GSW 96.9 LAL 97.1 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 6 14.8	GSW 14.9 LAL 14.8 −0.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 2 57.3%	GSW 50.0% LAL 58.7% +8.7%
TO %	28 14.9% 19 13.9%	GSW 11.8% −10.1% LAL 21.9%
ORB %	14 25.8% 22 23.9%	GSW 21.7% +6.1% LAL 15.6%
FTrt	24 23.8 1 32.0	GSW 12.0 LAL 43.5 +31.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 19 61.5%	GSW 64.1% LAL 82.9% +18.8%
STL %	3 9.6% 12 8.6%	GSW 16.5% +9.3% LAL 7.2%
BLK %	27 8.0% 23 8.3%	GSW 7.1% LAL 24.4% +17.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 2 59.4%	GSW 50.5% LAL 61.8% +11.3%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 1 72.0%	GSW 64.5% LAL 73.1% +8.6%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 4 46.8%	GSW 50.0% +18.7% LAL 31.3%
3P %	20 35.6% 14 35.9%	GSW 27.5% LAL 40.7% +13.2%
FT %	6 80.7% 26 76.3%	GSW 63.6% LAL 80.0% +16.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 21 30.7%	GSW 33.7% LAL 37.7% +4.0%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 26 30.0%	GSW 10.9% −12.3% LAL 23.2%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 22 39.4%	GSW 55.4% +16.3% LAL 39.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	GSW	LAL
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	99	105
Rebounds	37	41
Assists	25	29
Steals	16	7
Blocks	3	10
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	22 (1)
Fouls	25	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	36 (6)
Field Goals	39-92	35-69
At-the-Rim FG	20-31	19-26
Midrange FG	5-10	5-16
2-Point FG	25-41	24-42
3-Point FG	14-51	11-27
Free Throws	7-11	24-30
Fast Break Pts	4	11
2nd Chance Pts	13	11
Points in Paint	48	42
Pts off Turnovers	25	19
Bench Points	31	44
Biggest Lead	7	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg