Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Thunder	74%	109	136	143.2	95	94.3
	16	Suns	26%	101	109	114.7	95	95.7

Prediction updated: Feb 12, 2026 01:55 AM

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+13

-8

100

PHX

+17

-10

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.39 69.4%

PHX

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cason Wallace #22 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	26.2	4	29%	4	3	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 27	23.7	9	75%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	20.5	13	65%	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	4	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 25	19.6	28	100%	4	5	0	0	1	1	1	3	4-5	80%	9-10	90%	2-2	100%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	17.6	8	100%	4	6	0	0	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	28.2	11	61%	6	5	1	3	0	2	0	6	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-5	20%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	25.1	12	46%	3	2	2	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	23.0	15	83%	6	2	1	0	1	0	4	2	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Jared McCain #3 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	22.3	12	75%	4	1	2	0	2	0	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	18.1	21	95%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	6-8	75%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	7.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Buddy Boeheim #14 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	7.8	3	38%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · PG · 6'5" 230 · 24	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	69%	37	28	6	3	8	8	8	29	17-19	89%	37-53	70%	15-36	42%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cason Wallace #22 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	26.2	4	29%	4	3	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 27	23.7	9	75%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	20.5	13	65%	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	4	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 25	19.6	28	100%	4	5	0	0	1	1	1	3	4-5	80%	9-10	90%	2-2	100%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	17.6	8	100%	4	6	0	0	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	28.2	11	61%	6	5	1	3	0	2	0	6	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-5	20%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	25.1	12	46%	3	2	2	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	23.0	15	83%	6	2	1	0	1	0	4	2	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Jared McCain #3 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	22.3	12	75%	4	1	2	0	2	0	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-3	67%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	18.1	21	95%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	6-8	75%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	7.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Buddy Boeheim #14 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	7.8	3	38%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · PG · 6'5" 230 · 24	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	69%	37	28	6	3	8	8	8	29	17-19	89%	37-53	70%	15-36	42%

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16 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jordan Goodwin #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 27	27.7	12	60%	4	4	1	0	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Dillon Brooks #3 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 30	24.4	23	55%	5	4	2	0	3	3	2	3	4-5	80%	8-14	57%	1-5	20%
Royce O'Neale #00 · PF · 6'6" 226 · 33	23.6	12	55%	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-11	36%
Collin Gillespie #12 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 27	22.5	6	43%	5	3	0	0	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-4	50%
Mark Williams #15 · C · 7'1" 240 · 24	15.9	6	75%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Jamaree Bouyea #17 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 27	26.6	11	42%	3	6	0	1	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	3-10	30%	1-2	50%
Ryan Dunn #0 · SF · 6'7" 216 · 23	22.8	2	17%	4	1	0	1	1	2	0	4	0-4	0%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Amir Coffey #2 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	20.1	9	50%	5	2	0	0	0	1	1	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Rasheer Fleming #20 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	19.7	8	57%	3	2	0	1	2	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Oso Ighodaro #11 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 24	16.8	8	100%	4	2	1	1	0	0	3	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Khaman Maluach #10 · C · 7'1" 250 · 19	12.0	6	75%	6	0	0	1	0	0	2	4	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Koby Brea #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	7.8	6	150%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Devin Booker #1 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Injury Management
Isaiah Livers #18 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Sprain
Grayson Allen #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Injury Management
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 26	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	53%	43	26	4	5	10	12	15	28	8-13	62%	28-50	56%	15-42	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	PHX
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	PHX

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.39 69.4%

PHX

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

75%

PHX

77%

Midrange

OKC

66%

PHX

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

22.5

42%

63%

PHX

22.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

OKC

89%

PHX

62%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Williams	28	100%	14.0 / 14
I. Joe	21	95%	10.5 / 11
K. Williams	15	83%	7.5 / 9
C. Holmgren	13	65%	6.5 / 10
A. Wiggins	12	46%	6.0 / 13
J. McCain	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Williams	11	61%	5.5 / 9
L. Dort	9	75%	4.5 / 6
I. Hartenstein	8	100%	4.0 / 4
C. Wallace	4	29%	2.0 / 7
B. Boeheim	3	38%	1.5 / 4
A. Caruso	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Brooks	23	55%	11.5 / 21
J. Goodwin	12	60%	6.0 / 10
R. O'Neale	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Bouyea	11	42%	5.5 / 13
A. Coffey	9	50%	4.5 / 9
R. Fleming	8	57%	4.0 / 7
O. Ighodaro	8	100%	4.0 / 4
C. Gillespie	6	43%	3.0 / 7
M. Williams	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Maluach	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Brea	6	150%	3.0 / 2
R. Dunn	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 117.6 18 114.3	OKC 143.2 +28.4 PHX 114.7
Pace	15 100.3 23 98.2	OKC 94.3 PHX 95.7 +1.5
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.1 12 14.5	OKC 15.3 PHX 15.0 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.1% 19 53.7%	OKC 66.9% +12.0% PHX 54.9%
TO %	1 11.8% 16 13.7%	OKC 7.6% −3.3% PHX 10.9%
ORB %	28 22.3% 7 28.9%	OKC 22.2% PHX 34.1% +11.9%
FTrt	17 26.1 28 22.5	OKC 21.3 +7.2 PHX 14.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 59.8% 23 60.1%	OKC 53.8% PHX 60.5% +6.7%
STL %	4 9.6% 2 9.7%	OKC 6.3% +2.1% PHX 4.2%
BLK %	2 11.0% 21 8.4%	OKC 6.0% PHX 9.4% +3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 58.5% 27 55.3%	OKC 69.4% +16.0% PHX 53.4%
Rim FG%	11 65.2% 18 64.0%	OKC 75.0% PHX 77.3% +2.3%
Mid FG%	1 47.6% 17 43.3%	OKC 65.5% +26.2% PHX 39.3%
3P %	9 36.5% 12 36.1%	OKC 41.7% +6.0% PHX 35.7%
FT %	3 81.7% 15 78.1%	OKC 89.5% +28.0% PHX 61.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 31.3% 29 26.3%	OKC 27.0% +3.1% PHX 23.9%
Mid Att. %	15 26.1% 22 28.4%	OKC 32.6% PHX 30.4% −2.1%
3P Att. %	13 42.6% 7 45.3%	OKC 40.4% PHX 45.7% +5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	PHX
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	136	109
Rebounds	37	43
Assists	28	26
Steals	6	4
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	8 (0)	10 (2)
Fouls	8	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (5)	28 (0)
Field Goals	52-89	43-92
At-the-Rim FG	18-24	17-22
Midrange FG	19-29	11-28
2-Point FG	37-53	28-50
3-Point FG	15-36	15-42
Free Throws	17-19	8-13
Fast Break Pts	6	12
2nd Chance Pts	18	21
Points in Paint	60	52
Pts off Turnovers	16	8
Bench Points	74	50
Biggest Lead	37	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg