Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Pistons	57%	111	113	121.5	93	90.0
	12	Raptors	43%	108	95	102.2	93	96.2

Prediction updated: Feb 12, 2026 12:32 AM

Scoring Opportunities

DET

+25

-15

103

TOR

+12

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.10 54.9%

TOR

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 27	32.6	22	61%	5	3	3	4	2	3	3	2	1-2	50%	9-15	60%	1-2	50%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 34	31.3	12	55%	12	0	0	1	0	1	2	10	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 24	30.1	28	82%	7	9	3	1	3	1	0	7	4-6	67%	3-3	100%	6-11	55%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 32	24.5	13	65%	4	1	1	1	1	4	0	4	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 23	24.4	4	67%	4	4	1	1	2	2	3	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Kevin Huerter #27 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	20.9	9	50%	3	0	0	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Caris LeVert #8 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	17.6	9	56%	2	1	1	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	3-4	75%
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 24	16.8	8	40%	3	1	0	0	2	1	2	1	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Javonte Green #31 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 33	16.3	3	30%	4	2	0	0	1	0	3	1	3-3	100%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 26
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	3.9	2	100%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 23	3.9	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Chaz Lanier #20 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 25	DNP - League Suspension
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22	DNP - League Suspension
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ronald Holland II #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 21	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	55%	47	24	10	8	15	21	17	30	17-25	68%	27-55	49%	14-34	41%

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4 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 27	32.6	22	61%	5	3	3	4	2	3	3	2	1-2	50%	9-15	60%	1-2	50%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 34	31.3	12	55%	12	0	0	1	0	1	2	10	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 24	30.1	28	82%	7	9	3	1	3	1	0	7	4-6	67%	3-3	100%	6-11	55%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 32	24.5	13	65%	4	1	1	1	1	4	0	4	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 23	24.4	4	67%	4	4	1	1	2	2	3	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Kevin Huerter #27 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	20.9	9	50%	3	0	0	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Caris LeVert #8 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	17.6	9	56%	2	1	1	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	3-4	75%
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 24	16.8	8	40%	3	1	0	0	2	1	2	1	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Javonte Green #31 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 33	16.3	3	30%	4	2	0	0	1	0	3	1	3-3	100%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 26
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	3.9	2	100%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 23	3.9	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Chaz Lanier #20 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 25	DNP - League Suspension
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22	DNP - League Suspension
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ronald Holland II #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 21	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	55%	47	24	10	8	15	21	17	30	17-25	68%	27-55	49%	14-34	41%

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12 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	32.3	13	81%	0	0	0	1	2	4	0	0	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	31.5	18	60%	2	5	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	4-9	44%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 26	30.2	16	80%	3	4	1	1	2	2	0	3	7-8	88%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 25	29.9	17	53%	7	5	3	3	0	4	4	3	7-7	100%	5-10	50%	0-3	0%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 30	20.1	9	56%	6	0	0	0	1	2	2	4	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 24	23.8	0	0%	2	3	1	0	4	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	19.6	7	39%	6	1	0	0	1	2	1	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-6	17%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	19.0	3	50%	3	3	1	1	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	16.1	10	56%	2	0	0	0	3	1	2	0	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	9.8	0	0%	3	1	1	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	3.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alijah Martin #55 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 24	3.9	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chucky Hepburn #24 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Sprain - injury management
Chris Paul #99 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 41	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	53%	35	22	7	6	16	20	11	24	21-23	91%	22-43	51%	10-32	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DET	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	DET	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.10 54.9%

TOR

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

62%

TOR

57%

Midrange

DET

35%

TOR

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

21.0

41%

62%

TOR

15.0

31%

47%

Free Throws

DET

68%

TOR

91%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Cunningham	28	82%	14.0 / 17
P. Reed	22	61%	11.0 / 18
D. Robinson	13	65%	6.5 / 10
T. Harris	12	55%	6.0 / 11
K. Huerter	9	50%	4.5 / 9
C. LeVert	9	56%	4.5 / 8
D. Jenkins	8	40%	4.0 / 10
A. Thompson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Green	3	30%	1.5 / 5
T. Smith	3	38%	1.5 / 4
M. Sasser	2	100%	1.0 / 1
B. Klintman	0	-	0.0 / 2
C. Lanier	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Quickley	18	60%	9.0 / 15
S. Barnes	17	53%	8.5 / 16
R. Barrett	16	80%	8.0 / 10
B. Ingram	13	81%	6.5 / 8
G. Dick	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Poeltl	9	56%	4.5 / 8
S. Mamukelashvili	7	39%	3.5 / 9
J. Walter	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Martin	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Shead	0	-	0.0 / 5
T. Jackson-Davis	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 117.4 15 115.1	DET 121.5 +19.4 TOR 102.2
Pace	20 99.3 22 99.1	DET 90.0 TOR 96.2 +6.3
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.5 19 14.1	DET 16.0 TOR 15.0 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.7% 16 54.6%	DET 53.9% +4.6% TOR 49.3%
TO %	21 14.1% 7 12.9%	DET 13.8% −2.8% TOR 16.6%
ORB %	3 30.9% 16 25.5%	DET 41.5% +14.7% TOR 26.8%
FTrt	5 29.2 16 26.5	DET 28.1 TOR 30.7 +2.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 64.1% 3 69.2%	DET 58.5% TOR 68.8% +10.3%
STL %	1 10.4% 8 8.8%	DET 10.8% +3.3% TOR 7.5%
BLK %	1 13.2% 12 9.6%	DET 18.6% +7.7% TOR 10.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.07 and 3.07.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	12 57.0% 16 56.6%	DET 54.9% +1.5% TOR 53.4%
Rim FG%	16 64.7% 6 66.5%	DET 62.1% +5.0% TOR 57.1%
Mid FG%	27 40.5% 16 43.7%	DET 34.6% TOR 45.5% +10.9%
3P %	17 35.6% 21 35.4%	DET 41.2% +9.9% TOR 31.3%
FT %	27 76.3% 22 76.9%	DET 68.0% TOR 91.3% +23.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.1% 10 32.9%	DET 32.6% +4.6% TOR 28.0%
Mid Att. %	11 25.3% 27 30.7%	DET 29.2% −0.1% TOR 29.3%
3P Att. %	29 34.5% 25 36.3%	DET 38.2% TOR 42.7% +4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Game Totals	DET	TOR
Possessions	93	93
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.2
Points	113	95
Rebounds	47	35
Assists	24	22
Steals	10	7
Blocks	8	6
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	16 (1)
Fouls	21	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (8)	11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	24 (1)
Field Goals	41-89	32-75
At-the-Rim FG	18-29	12-21
Midrange FG	9-26	10-22
2-Point FG	27-55	22-43
3-Point FG	14-34	10-32
Free Throws	17-25	21-23
Fast Break Pts	14	11
2nd Chance Pts	18	14
Points in Paint	50	34
Pts off Turnovers	15	16
Bench Points	34	22
Biggest Lead	23	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg