Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Hawks	45%	116	107	109.2	98	106.3
	13	Hornets	55%	118	110	111.1	99	91.7

Prediction updated: Feb 12, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+13

-13

CHA

+21

-15

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.08 54.0%

CHA

1.05 52.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	40.3	10	33%	3	4	1	2	3	4	0	3	5-5	100%	1-6	17%	1-7	14%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	34.5	19	56%	13	9	4	1	3	1	1	12	4-5	80%	6-11	55%	1-4	25%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	28.9	18	82%	3	0	1	2	1	2	2	1	5-5	100%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	25.5	21	75%	3	4	0	0	2	2	1	2	3-4	75%	9-11	82%	0-1	0%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	23.3	5	36%	3	1	1	0	0	4	1	2	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	32.0	17	45%	6	8	0	1	3	2	2	4	4-5	80%	5-9	56%	1-8	13%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	23.0	2	25%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	19.1	9	64%	3	0	1	0	0	5	0	3	0-2	0%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	8.8	6	150%	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	4.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Gabe Vincent #4 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Buddy Hield #8 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	INACTIVE
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis #00 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Kuminga #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	54%	41	28	8	6	13	21	8	33	23-30	77%	27-48	56%	10-36	28%

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15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	40.3	10	33%	3	4	1	2	3	4	0	3	5-5	100%	1-6	17%	1-7	14%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	34.5	19	56%	13	9	4	1	3	1	1	12	4-5	80%	6-11	55%	1-4	25%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	28.9	18	82%	3	0	1	2	1	2	2	1	5-5	100%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	25.5	21	75%	3	4	0	0	2	2	1	2	3-4	75%	9-11	82%	0-1	0%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	23.3	5	36%	3	1	1	0	0	4	1	2	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	32.0	17	45%	6	8	0	1	3	2	2	4	4-5	80%	5-9	56%	1-8	13%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	23.0	2	25%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	19.1	9	64%	3	0	1	0	0	5	0	3	0-2	0%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	8.8	6	150%	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	4.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Gabe Vincent #4 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Buddy Hield #8 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	INACTIVE
Nikola Đurišić #22 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 22	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis #00 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Kuminga #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	54%	41	28	8	6	13	21	8	33	23-30	77%	27-48	56%	10-36	28%

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13 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	35.6	31	53%	9	2	1	2	5	4	1	8	6-6	100%	5-12	42%	5-14	36%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	32.5	24	52%	4	6	1	0	1	4	0	4	1-1	100%	1-5	20%	7-18	39%
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	32.1	7	27%	8	5	0	1	2	2	4	4	5-7	71%	1-3	33%	0-6	0%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 21	30.3	18	64%	6	4	2	1	3	4	2	4	4-4	100%	1-5	20%	4-7	57%
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	24.0	5	83%	6	1	2	2	2	4	4	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	19.2	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	17.4	3	75%	3	3	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	16.8	11	61%	10	0	1	0	1	2	4	6	5-5	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	15.6	5	63%	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 21	15.3	3	50%	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	DND - League Suspension
Miles Bridges #0 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	DND - League Suspension
Tosan Evbuomwan #8 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Coby White #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	52%	50	21	10	6	15	23	15	35	25-29	86%	14-37	38%	19-51	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	CHA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.08 54.0%

CHA

1.05 52.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

67%

CHA

48%

Midrange

ATL

48%

CHA

25%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

15.0

28%

42%

CHA

28.5

37%

56%

Free Throws

ATL

77%

CHA

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Daniels	21	75%	10.5 / 14
J. Johnson	19	56%	9.5 / 17
O. Okongwu	18	82%	9.0 / 11
C. McCollum	17	45%	8.5 / 19
N. Alexander-Walker	10	33%	5.0 / 15
J. Landale	9	64%	4.5 / 7
M. Gueye	6	150%	3.0 / 2
Z. Risacher	5	36%	2.5 / 7
C. Kispert	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Newell	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Miller	31	53%	15.5 / 29
L. Ball	24	52%	12.0 / 23
K. Knueppel	18	64%	9.0 / 14
P. Hall	11	61%	5.5 / 9
G. Williams	7	27%	3.5 / 13
R. Kalkbrenner	5	83%	2.5 / 3
T. Mann	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Green	3	75%	1.5 / 2
S. James	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Salaün	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 115.1 5 118.6	ATL 109.2 CHA 111.1 +1.9
Pace	4 102.5 27 97.5	ATL 106.3 +14.6 CHA 91.7
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.5 3 15.2	ATL 13.5 −2.2 CHA 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 12 55.2%	ATL 50.0% +1.7% CHA 48.3%
TO %	8 13.0% 27 14.8%	ATL 11.8% −1.9% CHA 13.7%
ORB %	20 24.3% 4 30.5%	ATL 18.6% CHA 31.3% +12.7%
FTrt	27 23.4 23 24.4	ATL 35.7 +2.7 CHA 33.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 69.1% 14 64.3%	ATL 75.7% +12.1% CHA 63.6%
STL %	6 9.1% 29 7.2%	ATL 8.2% CHA 10.1% +1.9%
BLK %	18 8.8% 20 8.6%	ATL 16.2% +3.7% CHA 12.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.9% 10 57.3%	ATL 54.0% +1.6% CHA 52.4%
Rim FG%	21 63.3% 23 63.1%	ATL 66.7% +19.1% CHA 47.6%
Mid FG%	6 44.6% 25 41.4%	ATL 48.1% +23.1% CHA 25.0%
3P %	5 37.1% 3 37.8%	ATL 27.8% CHA 37.3% +9.5%
FT %	20 77.4% 2 81.8%	ATL 76.7% CHA 86.2% +9.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 32.1% 25 29.3%	ATL 25.0% +1.1% CHA 23.9%
Mid Att. %	9 25.0% 6 22.0%	ATL 32.1% CHA 18.2% −14.0%
3P Att. %	11 42.9% 2 48.7%	ATL 42.9% CHA 58.0% +15.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	CHA
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.9
Points	107	110
Rebounds	41	50
Assists	28	21
Steals	8	10
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	15 (1)
Fouls	21	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	15 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (4)	35 (2)
Field Goals	37-84	33-88
At-the-Rim FG	14-21	10-21
Midrange FG	13-27	4-16
2-Point FG	27-48	14-37
3-Point FG	10-36	19-51
Free Throws	23-30	25-29
Fast Break Pts	22	6
2nd Chance Pts	8	16
Points in Paint	48	26
Pts off Turnovers	22	10
Bench Points	34	25
Biggest Lead	3	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg