Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, February 7, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Nuggets	74%	125	136	136.0	100	99.0
	26	Bulls	26%	116	120	117.6	102	103.1

Prediction updated: Feb 8, 2026 01:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+14

-13

101

CHI

+18

-16

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.35 67.3%

CHI

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julian Strawther #3 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 24	33.4	19	63%	5	0	2	0	3	3	0	5	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	4-8	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	33.4	22	73%	14	17	1	4	3	2	3	11	6-6	100%	5-10	50%	2-2	100%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	31.7	10	63%	4	2	1	1	1	1	2	2	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	30.9	28	74%	3	11	0	0	3	1	0	3	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	4-9	44%
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 30	27.3	14	78%	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-3	67%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	30.9	10	71%	3	4	3	1	1	3	3	0	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	28.5	23	72%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	8-12	67%	3-3	100%	3-8	38%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	12.7	10	56%	4	1	0	1	1	3	2	2	0-3	0%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	7.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	67%	41	37	7	7	13	17	11	30	22-33	67%	33-52	63%	16-33	48%

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7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julian Strawther #3 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 24	33.4	19	63%	5	0	2	0	3	3	0	5	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	4-8	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	33.4	22	73%	14	17	1	4	3	2	3	11	6-6	100%	5-10	50%	2-2	100%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	31.7	10	63%	4	2	1	1	1	1	2	2	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	30.9	28	74%	3	11	0	0	3	1	0	3	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	4-9	44%
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 30	27.3	14	78%	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-3	67%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	30.9	10	71%	3	4	3	1	1	3	3	0	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	28.5	23	72%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	8-12	67%	3-3	100%	3-8	38%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	12.7	10	56%	4	1	0	1	1	3	2	2	0-3	0%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	7.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	67%	41	37	7	7	13	17	11	30	22-33	67%	33-52	63%	16-33	48%

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26 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #22 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 27	32.5	15	50%	4	6	0	0	0	3	2	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	3-10	30%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 21	30.3	21	70%	8	3	1	0	3	3	0	8	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	4-8	50%
Jaden Ivey #31 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	30.2	10	63%	6	3	2	0	3	4	2	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	26.1	12	46%	2	0	1	2	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	4-10	40%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 25	25.9	13	59%	2	3	1	0	1	2	1	1	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%

Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	28.6	17	57%	3	4	0	0	4	4	1	2	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	1-5	20%
Rob Dillingham #7 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	21.9	9	56%	3	4	1	0	3	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 24	20.1	8	100%	2	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Nick Richards #13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	19.4	15	75%	7	0	1	1	1	3	3	4	4-5	80%	4-7	57%	1-1	100%
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #11 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	2.5	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mac McClung #5 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Sprain
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	58%	37	25	9	3	16	24	12	25	18-20	90%	21-41	51%	20-51	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.35 67.3%

CHI

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

68%

CHI

58%

Midrange

DEN

53%

CHI

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

24.0

48%

73%

CHI

30.0

39%

59%

Free Throws

DEN

67%

CHI

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	28	74%	14.0 / 19
T. Hardaway	23	72%	11.5 / 16
N. Jokić	22	73%	11.0 / 15
J. Strawther	19	63%	9.5 / 15
C. Johnson	14	78%	7.0 / 9
C. Braun	10	63%	5.0 / 8
B. Brown	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Valančiūnas	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Pickett	0	-	0.0 / 1
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Buzelis	21	70%	10.5 / 15
C. Sexton	17	57%	8.5 / 15
A. Simons	15	50%	7.5 / 15
N. Richards	15	75%	7.5 / 10
I. Okoro	13	59%	6.5 / 11
G. Yabusele	12	46%	6.0 / 13
J. Ivey	10	63%	5.0 / 8
R. Dillingham	9	56%	4.5 / 8
P. Williams	8	100%	4.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.3 25 112.2	DEN 136.0 +18.4 CHI 117.6
Pace	19 99.4 3 103.3	DEN 99.0 CHI 103.1 +4.1
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.7 28 13.6	DEN 14.5 CHI 14.0 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.7% 14 54.7%	DEN 67.1% +11.7% CHI 55.4%
TO %	3 12.1% 20 14.1%	DEN 12.3% −2.1% CHI 14.4%
ORB %	24 23.6% 27 23.1%	DEN 30.6% +2.0% CHI 28.6%
FTrt	4 29.4 22 24.6	DEN 38.8 +17.1 CHI 21.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 66.5% 7 67.2%	DEN 75.5% +14.5% CHI 61.0%
STL %	30 6.8% 26 7.4%	DEN 7.0% CHI 8.8% +1.8%
BLK %	29 7.6% 15 9.0%	DEN 17.1% +11.3% CHI 5.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.1% 17 56.5%	DEN 67.3% +9.6% CHI 57.7%
Rim FG%	12 65.1% 30 61.4%	DEN 67.6% +9.9% CHI 57.7%
Mid FG%	2 47.0% 15 43.7%	DEN 53.3% +13.3% CHI 40.0%
3P %	1 39.6% 19 35.6%	DEN 48.5% +9.3% CHI 39.2%
FT %	5 80.8% 18 77.6%	DEN 66.7% CHI 90.0% +23.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 31.1% 3 38.2%	DEN 43.5% +15.3% CHI 28.3%
Mid Att. %	21 28.1% 1 17.5%	DEN 17.6% CHI 16.3% −1.3%
3P Att. %	17 40.8% 8 44.3%	DEN 38.8% CHI 55.4% +16.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	DEN	CHI
Possessions	100	102
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	136	120
Rebounds	41	37
Assists	37	25
Steals	7	9
Blocks	7	3
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	16 (1)
Fouls	17	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (4)	25 (3)
Field Goals	49-85	41-92
At-the-Rim FG	25-37	15-26
Midrange FG	8-15	6-15
2-Point FG	33-52	21-41
3-Point FG	16-33	20-51
Free Throws	22-33	18-20
Fast Break Pts	18	15
2nd Chance Pts	14	19
Points in Paint	60	36
Pts off Turnovers	21	23
Bench Points	43	49
Biggest Lead	18	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg