Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, February 20, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Jazz	33%	113	114	102.7	111	114.0
	26	Grizzlies	67%	118	123	110.8	111	108.1

Prediction updated: Feb 21, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+14

-24

101

MEM

+14

-17

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.12 55.9%

MEM

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cody Williams #5 · PF · 6'8" 190 · 21	38.0	5	25%	9	2	1	1	4	2	3	6	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 20	32.8	20	50%	6	3	0	1	3	3	3	3	2-3	67%	6-10	60%	2-9	22%
John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	30.9	6	50%	6	4	4	0	2	0	2	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	28.2	20	77%	6	4	2	2	5	4	1	5	1-1	100%	8-11	73%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	24.9	24	63%	2	5	4	2	4	4	0	2	4-6	67%	7-11	64%	2-5	40%

Vince Williams Jr. #0 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	22.8	7	44%	3	4	0	0	2	3	0	3	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	2-4	50%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	19.3	9	38%	4	3	0	0	3	2	1	3	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	16.1	13	108%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-3	100%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	14.3	2	50%	6	0	0	0	0	5	1	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	7.4	2	100%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	5.2	6	150%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-1	0%	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury Management
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	56%	49	28	11	6	24	24	12	37	9-16	56%	33-59	56%	13-34	38%

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29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cody Williams #5 · PF · 6'8" 190 · 21	38.0	5	25%	9	2	1	1	4	2	3	6	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 20	32.8	20	50%	6	3	0	1	3	3	3	3	2-3	67%	6-10	60%	2-9	22%
John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	30.9	6	50%	6	4	4	0	2	0	2	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	28.2	20	77%	6	4	2	2	5	4	1	5	1-1	100%	8-11	73%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	24.9	24	63%	2	5	4	2	4	4	0	2	4-6	67%	7-11	64%	2-5	40%

Vince Williams Jr. #0 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	22.8	7	44%	3	4	0	0	2	3	0	3	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	2-4	50%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	19.3	9	38%	4	3	0	0	3	2	1	3	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	16.1	13	108%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-3	100%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	14.3	2	50%	6	0	0	0	0	5	1	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	7.4	2	100%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	5.2	6	150%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-1	0%	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury Management
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury Recovery
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	56%	49	28	11	6	24	24	12	37	9-16	56%	33-59	56%	13-34	38%

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26 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lawson Lovering #34 · C · 7'0" 245 · 23	31.7	11	61%	11	3	1	1	1	4	4	7	1-3	33%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Jahmai Mashack #21 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 23	31.4	11	50%	5	2	3	1	4	0	0	5	1-4	25%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
GG Jackson #45 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21	27.9	20	59%	4	3	1	1	3	2	0	4	4-8	50%	5-8	63%	2-5	40%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 22	26.8	13	43%	3	3	1	1	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	3-9	33%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	24.5	9	41%	9	2	1	0	2	0	5	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-4	25%

Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	29.6	23	64%	5	1	2	1	3	5	1	4	3-4	75%	10-13	77%	0-3	0%
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	29.4	16	53%	4	5	4	1	2	1	1	3	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	20.7	10	83%	3	10	1	0	0	1	0	3	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Kyle Anderson #5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	18.1	10	100%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Injury Management
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Injury Management
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Contusion
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Hyperextension
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	57%	45	29	15	6	17	16	11	34	21-33	64%	33-59	56%	12-33	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.12 55.9%

MEM

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

70%

MEM

65%

Midrange

UTA

44%

MEM

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

19.5

38%

57%

MEM

18.0

36%

55%

Free Throws

UTA

56%

MEM

64%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Collier	24	63%	12.0 / 19
A. Bailey	20	50%	10.0 / 20
K. Filipowski	20	77%	10.0 / 13
B. Hinson	13	108%	6.5 / 6
B. Sensabaugh	9	38%	4.5 / 12
V. Williams	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Konchar	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Love	6	150%	3.0 / 2
C. Williams	5	25%	2.5 / 10
O. Tshiebwe	2	50%	1.0 / 2
E. Harkless	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
O. Prosper	23	64%	11.5 / 18
G. Jackson	20	59%	10.0 / 17
J. Small	16	53%	8.0 / 15
J. Wells	13	43%	6.5 / 15
L. Lovering	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Mashack	11	50%	5.5 / 11
C. Spencer	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Anderson	10	100%	5.0 / 5
T. Hendricks	9	41%	4.5 / 11

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 23 112.4	UTA 102.7 MEM 110.8 +8.1
Pace	2 103.4 7 101.8	UTA 114.0 +5.9 MEM 108.1
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 26 13.8	UTA 12.6 −0.7 MEM 13.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 24 53.3%	UTA 56.5% +1.1% MEM 55.4%
TO %	23 14.4% 22 14.3%	UTA 19.3% MEM 13.8% −5.5%
ORB %	12 26.2% 19 24.7%	UTA 26.1% +3.2% MEM 22.9%
FTrt	10 27.7 21 25.1	UTA 17.2 MEM 35.9 +18.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 6 67.4%	UTA 60.9% MEM 64.4% +3.5%
STL %	14 8.5% 11 8.7%	UTA 9.9% MEM 13.5% +3.6%
BLK %	30 7.5% 14 9.1%	UTA 10.2% MEM 10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 22 55.8%	UTA 55.9% MEM 56.9% +1.0%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 26 62.8%	UTA 70.4% +5.5% MEM 64.9%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 11 44.2%	UTA 43.8% +2.9% MEM 40.9%
3P %	25 34.5% 22 35.3%	UTA 38.2% +1.8% MEM 36.4%
FT %	13 78.6% 9 79.3%	UTA 56.3% MEM 63.6% +7.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 26 28.6%	UTA 29.0% MEM 40.2% +11.2%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 19 27.8%	UTA 34.4% MEM 23.9% −10.5%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 10 43.6%	UTA 36.6% +0.7% MEM 35.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	MEM
Possessions	111	111
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	114	123
Rebounds	49	45
Assists	28	29
Steals	11	15
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	24 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls	24	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (3)	34 (2)
Field Goals	46-93	45-92
At-the-Rim FG	19-27	24-37
Midrange FG	14-32	9-22
2-Point FG	33-59	33-59
3-Point FG	13-34	12-33
Free Throws	9-16	21-33
Fast Break Pts	23	11
2nd Chance Pts	9	15
Points in Paint	56	66
Pts off Turnovers	18	30
Bench Points	39	59
Biggest Lead	14	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg