Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, February 19, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Pacers	59%	113	105	98.1	107	114.5
	29	Wizards	41%	110	112	102.8	109	102.3

Prediction updated: Feb 20, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+12

-23

WAS

+15

-10

114

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.09 54.7%

WAS

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	29.6	19	48%	14	7	2	0	5	4	2	12	8-10	80%	4-8	50%	1-7	14%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	27.0	15	94%	3	2	2	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-4	75%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	21.6	5	36%	1	4	0	0	6	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	20.7	15	63%	8	1	0	3	2	1	0	8	8-8	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	14.8	3	38%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	33.1	12	55%	9	1	0	1	2	3	5	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-4	50%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	27.3	14	64%	6	1	0	0	2	4	1	5	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	26.8	2	14%	2	1	1	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	25.1	16	57%	5	2	1	0	3	3	0	5	1-4	25%	0-1	0%	5-11	45%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	14.0	4	100%	0	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision \| Right hamstring soreness
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	55%	50	22	7	4	23	22	8	42	22-27	81%	19-41	46%	15-42	36%

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26 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	29.6	19	48%	14	7	2	0	5	4	2	12	8-10	80%	4-8	50%	1-7	14%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	27.0	15	94%	3	2	2	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-4	75%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	21.6	5	36%	1	4	0	0	6	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	20.7	15	63%	8	1	0	3	2	1	0	8	8-8	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	14.8	3	38%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	33.1	12	55%	9	1	0	1	2	3	5	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-4	50%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	27.3	14	64%	6	1	0	0	2	4	1	5	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	26.8	2	14%	2	1	1	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	25.1	16	57%	5	2	1	0	3	3	0	5	1-4	25%	0-1	0%	5-11	45%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	14.0	4	100%	0	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision \| Right hamstring soreness
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	55%	50	22	7	4	23	22	8	42	22-27	81%	19-41	46%	15-42	36%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	28.0	13	43%	4	3	2	0	2	2	1	3	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	3-9	33%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · PF · 6'7" 195 · 22	23.1	12	55%	4	4	3	0	1	1	1	3	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	19.2	10	38%	6	2	0	0	0	1	2	4	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-4	0%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	18.9	6	30%	3	1	0	2	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	17.4	12	75%	5	2	5	1	0	1	0	5	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%

Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	30.6	13	72%	8	3	0	1	1	1	3	5	0-0	-	5-8	63%	1-1	100%
Kadary Richmond #19 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	29.4	13	81%	5	3	1	0	0	1	0	5	3-3	100%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Alondes Williams #31 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	24.1	8	36%	5	7	2	0	3	4	2	3	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	18.1	13	50%	1	0	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	3-6	50%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	3.7	6	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL Sprain; Quad Contusion
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
D'Angelo Russell #14 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	51%	46	30	14	5	10	17	10	36	15-20	75%	32-61	52%	11-37	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	IND	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.09 54.7%

WAS

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

57%

WAS

73%

Midrange

IND

35%

WAS

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

22.5

36%

54%

WAS

16.5

30%

45%

Free Throws

IND

81%

WAS

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Walker	19	48%	9.5 / 20
T. Peter	16	57%	8.0 / 14
B. Sheppard	15	94%	7.5 / 8
J. Huff	15	63%	7.5 / 12
M. Potter	14	64%	7.0 / 11
K. Brown	12	55%	6.0 / 11
A. Nembhard	5	36%	2.5 / 7
K. Jones	4	100%	2.0 / 2
A. Nesmith	3	38%	1.5 / 4
E. Thompson	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Carrington	13	43%	6.5 / 15
A. Gill	13	72%	6.5 / 9
K. Richmond	13	81%	6.5 / 8
J. Hardy	13	50%	6.5 / 13
B. Coulibaly	12	55%	6.0 / 11
T. Vukcevic	12	75%	6.0 / 8
T. Johnson	10	38%	5.0 / 13
S. Cooper	8	36%	4.0 / 11
K. George	6	30%	3.0 / 10
A. Williams	6	50%	3.0 / 6
W. Riley	6	100%	3.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.1 29 109.7	IND 98.1 WAS 102.8 +4.6
Pace	10 101.4 5 102.5	IND 114.5 +12.3 WAS 102.3
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 23 14.0	IND 12.6 −1.5 WAS 14.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.3% 21 53.5%	IND 50.0% +0.5% WAS 49.5%
TO %	14 13.6% 26 14.7%	IND 19.5% WAS 8.6% −10.9%
ORB %	29 21.7% 21 24.0%	IND 18.2% WAS 19.2% +1.0%
FTrt	20 25.2 26 23.5	IND 32.5 +12.1 WAS 20.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 67.8% 24 59.9%	IND 64.7% WAS 69.8% +5.1%
STL %	28 7.2% 22 7.8%	IND 6.5% WAS 12.8% +6.3%
BLK %	26 8.1% 9 10.0%	IND 6.6% WAS 12.2% +5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.4% 26 55.4%	IND 54.7% +4.2% WAS 50.5%
Rim FG%	25 62.9% 15 64.7%	IND 57.1% WAS 73.1% +16.0%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 26 41.3%	IND 35.0% WAS 37.1% +2.1%
3P %	18 35.6% 16 35.9%	IND 35.7% +6.0% WAS 29.7%
FT %	17 77.6% 23 76.6%	IND 81.5% +6.5% WAS 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.3% 22 30.6%	IND 25.3% WAS 26.5% +1.2%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 25 29.1%	IND 24.1% −11.6% WAS 35.7%
3P Att. %	14 42.2% 20 40.3%	IND 50.6% +12.8% WAS 37.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	WAS
Possessions	107	109
Possession Minutes	22.4	25.6
Points	105	112
Rebounds	50	46
Assists	22	30
Steals	7	14
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	23 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls	22	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (3)	36 (2)
Field Goals	34-83	43-98
At-the-Rim FG	12-21	19-26
Midrange FG	7-20	13-35
2-Point FG	19-41	32-61
3-Point FG	15-42	11-37
Free Throws	22-27	15-20
Fast Break Pts	29	19
2nd Chance Pts	13	14
Points in Paint	30	56
Pts off Turnovers	14	30
Bench Points	48	59
Biggest Lead	9	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg