Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, February 19, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 59% | 112 | 105 | |
| 15 | Hornets | 41% | 109 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 13% | 107 | 84 | |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 87% | 122 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 55% | 116 | 117 | |
| 20 | 76ers | 45% | 114 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pacers | 59% | 113 | 105 | |
| 29 | Wizards | 41% | 110 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 48% | 109 | 126 | |
| 8 | Knicks | 52% | 110 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 66% | 118 | 110 | |
| 24 | Bulls | 34% | 112 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 31% | 109 | 94 | |
| 5 | Spurs | 69% | 116 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 57% | 110 | 121 | |
| 11 | Warriors | 43% | 108 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 72% | 116 | 131 | |
| 28 | Kings | 28% | 109 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 57% | 114 | 114 | |
| 17 | Clippers | 43% | 112 | 115 | |
Thursday, February 12, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 16% | 101 | 110 | |
| 7 | Thunder | 84% | 114 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Blazers | 64% | 118 | 135 | |
| 29 | Jazz | 36% | 114 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 43% | 112 | 104 | |
| 18 | Lakers | 57% | 114 | 124 | |
Wednesday, February 11, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 45% | 116 | 107 | |
| 13 | Hornets | 55% | 118 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 7% | 106 | 113 | |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 93% | 125 | 138 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 25% | 107 | 116 | |
| 9 | Magic | 75% | 116 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 9% | 107 | 105 | |
| 2 | Celtics | 91% | 124 | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pacers | 41% | 105 | 115 | |
| 26 | Nets | 59% | 108 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 57% | 112 | 138 | |
| 21 | 76ers | 43% | 110 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 57% | 111 | 113 | |
| 12 | Raptors | 43% | 108 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 28% | 104 | 105 | |
| 5 | Rockets | 72% | 111 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Blazers | 31% | 114 | 109 | |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 69% | 120 | 133 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 55% | 117 | 123 | |
| 20 | Pelicans | 45% | 115 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 24% | 113 | 116 | |
| 8 | Nuggets | 76% | 122 | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 74% | 109 | 136 | |
| 16 | Suns | 26% | 101 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 36% | 113 | 93 | |
| 24 | Jazz | 64% | 118 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 44% | 109 | 126 | |
| 10 | Warriors | 56% | 111 | 113 | |
Tuesday, February 10, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 32% | 109 | 137 | |
| 13 | Knicks | 68% | 115 | 134 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 29% | 103 | 95 | |
| 7 | Rockets | 71% | 110 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 29% | 108 | 111 | |
| 11 | Suns | 71% | 115 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 85% | 118 | 136 | |
| 26 | Lakers | 15% | 104 | 108 | |
Monday, February 9, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 54% | 113 | 110 | |
| 10 | Hornets | 46% | 112 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 52% | 112 | 115 | |
| 29 | Nets | 48% | 111 | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 30% | 114 | 115 | |
| 15 | Heat | 70% | 120 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 26% | 108 | 99 | |
| 9 | Magic | 74% | 117 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 29% | 115 | 116 | |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 71% | 122 | 138 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 31% | 112 | 94 | |
| 18 | Pelicans | 69% | 118 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 49% | 121 | 119 | |
| 8 | Nuggets | 51% | 122 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 41% | 112 | 118 | |
| 16 | Blazers | 59% | 115 | 135 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 30% | 106 | 113 | |
| 12 | Warriors | 70% | 113 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 74% | 113 | 119 | |
| 19 | Lakers | 26% | 105 | 110 | |
Sunday, February 8, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Knicks | 31% | 109 | 111 | |
| 2 | Celtics | 69% | 115 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 86% | 120 | 132 | |
| 30 | Wizards | 14% | 106 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 28% | 107 | 115 | |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 72% | 115 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 31% | 108 | 104 | |
| 13 | Raptors | 69% | 115 | 122 | |
Saturday, February 7, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 29% | 106 | 113 | |
| 25 | Nets | 71% | 113 | 127 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 29% | 102 | 112 | |
| 1 | Thunder | 71% | 109 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 25% | 109 | 125 | |
| 5 | Spurs | 75% | 118 | 138 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 24% | 112 | 117 | |
| 16 | Magic | 76% | 122 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 49% | 118 | 126 | |
| 17 | Hawks | 51% | 119 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 74% | 125 | 136 | |
| 26 | Bulls | 26% | 116 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 58% | 111 | 99 | |
| 20 | Lakers | 42% | 108 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 45% | 111 | 109 | |
| 12 | Suns | 55% | 112 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 90% | 123 | 132 | |
| 29 | Kings | 10% | 107 | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 35% | 110 | 115 | |
| 22 | Blazers | 65% | 115 | 122 | |
Friday, February 6, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 29% | 111 | 96 | |
| 1 | Celtics | 71% | 118 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 36% | 107 | 80 | |
| 6 | Pistons | 64% | 111 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 22% | 112 | 119 | |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 78% | 122 | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 51% | 113 | 99 | |
| 24 | Bucks | 49% | 112 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 68% | 114 | 114 | |
| 29 | Kings | 32% | 107 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 41% | 111 | 115 | |
| 20 | Blazers | 59% | 114 | 135 | |