Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, February 19, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Magic	72%	116	131	127.2	103	105.8
	28	Kings	28%	109	94	94.0	100	97.4

Prediction updated: Feb 20, 2026 03:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

-10

101

SAC

+14

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.30 64.9%

SAC

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	32.2	30	65%	5	6	1	1	3	3	1	4	5-5	100%	5-14	36%	5-7	71%
Desmond Bane #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28	32.0	17	85%	4	2	2	1	0	2	0	4	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Anthony Black #0 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	31.2	20	77%	3	3	3	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	4-6	67%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	24.8	2	20%	8	3	1	0	0	2	1	7	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	19.8	9	56%	3	3	0	1	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-7	43%

Jevon Carter #2 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 30	23.4	14	78%	3	4	1	0	1	2	0	3	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	18.4	11	50%	2	3	2	0	1	1	0	2	6-8	75%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	17.9	12	100%	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-6	67%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	13.0	0	0%	7	1	1	0	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	12.9	16	133%	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-4	100%
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	4.9	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	4.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	4.9	0	0%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Morales #90 · PG · 6'6" 180 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; High Ankle Sprain; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	65%	41	28	13	4	10	17	5	36	14-17	82%	18-40	45%	27-50	54%

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14 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	32.2	30	65%	5	6	1	1	3	3	1	4	5-5	100%	5-14	36%	5-7	71%
Desmond Bane #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28	32.0	17	85%	4	2	2	1	0	2	0	4	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Anthony Black #0 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	31.2	20	77%	3	3	3	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	4-6	67%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	24.8	2	20%	8	3	1	0	0	2	1	7	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	19.8	9	56%	3	3	0	1	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-7	43%

Jevon Carter #2 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 30	23.4	14	78%	3	4	1	0	1	2	0	3	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	18.4	11	50%	2	3	2	0	1	1	0	2	6-8	75%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	17.9	12	100%	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-6	67%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	13.0	0	0%	7	1	1	0	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	12.9	16	133%	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-4	100%
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	4.9	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	4.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	4.9	0	0%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Morales #90 · PG · 6'6" 180 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; High Ankle Sprain; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	65%	41	28	13	4	10	17	5	36	14-17	82%	18-40	45%	27-50	54%

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28 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	39.0	17	65%	14	4	1	0	1	1	3	11	1-1	100%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	33.7	14	58%	10	1	4	2	3	3	2	8	0-0	-	7-11	64%	0-1	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	31.6	15	58%	8	2	0	1	3	1	2	6	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-7	43%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 37	19.3	13	46%	3	6	0	0	0	1	0	3	7-8	88%	3-11	27%	0-0	-
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	16.8	5	31%	0	1	1	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-6	17%

Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	30.0	5	42%	2	1	0	0	5	3	1	1	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	1-1	100%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	28.4	11	37%	5	4	3	0	3	1	2	3	5-6	83%	3-7	43%	0-5	0%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	20.1	14	70%	0	2	0	0	1	3	0	0	1-3	33%	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	11.3	0	0%	5	1	0	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	9.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Iritis
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	49%	48	22	9	3	19	16	11	37	16-20	80%	27-59	46%	8-27	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.30 64.9%

SAC

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

83%

SAC

75%

Midrange

ORL

38%

SAC

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

40.5

54%

81%

SAC

12.0

30%

44%

Free Throws

ORL

82%

SAC

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Banchero	30	65%	15.0 / 23
A. Black	20	77%	10.0 / 13
D. Bane	17	85%	8.5 / 10
J. Howard	16	133%	8.0 / 6
J. Carter	14	78%	7.0 / 9
T. da Silva	12	100%	6.0 / 6
M. Wagner	11	50%	5.5 / 11
J. Suggs	9	56%	4.5 / 8
W. Carter	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Isaac	0	-	0.0 / 3
J. Richardson	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Cain	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Raynaud	17	65%	8.5 / 13
K. Murray	15	58%	7.5 / 13
P. Achiuwa	14	58%	7.0 / 12
M. Monk	14	70%	7.0 / 10
D. DeRozan	13	46%	6.5 / 14
D. Carter	11	37%	5.5 / 15
R. Westbrook	5	31%	2.5 / 8
N. Clifford	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. Eubanks	0	-	0.0 / 2
D. Plowden	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.3 26 110.6	ORL 127.2 +33.2 SAC 94.0
Pace	14 100.5 17 100.0	ORL 105.8 +8.3 SAC 97.4
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.2 14 14.5	ORL 13.6 −1.2 SAC 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 53.0% 29 52.5%	ORL 65.0% +19.7% SAC 45.3%
TO %	12 13.5% 15 13.7%	ORL 9.3% −7.4% SAC 16.7%
ORB %	18 25.0% 13 25.9%	ORL 11.9% SAC 23.4% +11.5%
FTrt	2 31.1 19 25.6	ORL 18.9 SAC 23.3 +4.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.7% 20 61.5%	ORL 62.2% SAC 62.9% +0.7%
STL %	16 8.4% 21 8.0%	ORL 12.6% +3.6% SAC 9.0%
BLK %	17 8.8% 19 8.6%	ORL 6.8% SAC 7.5% +0.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.3% 29 54.7%	ORL 64.9% +15.9% SAC 49.0%
Rim FG%	24 63.0% 8 65.9%	ORL 83.3% +8.3% SAC 75.0%
Mid FG%	24 41.5% 13 43.8%	ORL 38.2% SAC 38.3% +0.1%
3P %	27 34.3% 29 34.1%	ORL 54.0% +24.4% SAC 29.6%
FT %	8 80.1% 21 77.2%	ORL 82.4% +2.4% SAC 80.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 35.7% 28 28.0%	ORL 6.7% SAC 14.0% +7.3%
Mid Att. %	12 25.7% 30 38.1%	ORL 37.8% −16.9% SAC 54.7%
3P Att. %	24 38.6% 30 33.9%	ORL 55.6% +24.2% SAC 31.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	ORL	SAC
Possessions	103	100
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	131	94
Rebounds	41	48
Assists	28	22
Steals	13	9
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls	17	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (3)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (4)	37 (2)
Field Goals	45-90	35-86
At-the-Rim FG	5-6	9-12
Midrange FG	13-34	18-47
2-Point FG	18-40	27-59
3-Point FG	27-50	8-27
Free Throws	14-17	16-20
Fast Break Pts	29	6
2nd Chance Pts	7	11
Points in Paint	30	44
Pts off Turnovers	24	14
Bench Points	53	30
Biggest Lead	37	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg