Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, February 19, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Hawks	55%	116	117	111.4	105	116.8
	20	76ers	45%	114	107	102.9	104	94.4

Prediction updated: Feb 20, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+19

-13

111

PHI

+14

-15

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.05 52.7%

PHI

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	37.6	32	53%	10	5	3	1	4	2	0	10	14-16	88%	9-17	53%	0-5	0%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	36.6	15	58%	7	2	1	0	2	3	1	6	1-3	33%	7-10	70%	0-2	0%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	33.1	14	54%	3	4	3	0	4	1	0	3	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	27.2	10	63%	7	2	1	1	0	2	2	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	26.3	8	44%	9	2	0	0	2	5	3	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%

CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	30.1	23	64%	1	5	2	1	1	1	1	0	8-10	80%	3-8	38%	3-5	60%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	21.7	10	71%	7	2	0	1	0	4	3	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	16.9	5	42%	5	1	0	0	0	2	2	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	10.3	0	0%	1	1	1	1	0	3	1	0	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gabe Vincent #4 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Buddy Hield #8 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
RayJ Dennis #00 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Kuminga #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	53%	50	24	11	5	13	23	13	37	31-40	78%	28-56	50%	10-32	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	37.6	32	53%	10	5	3	1	4	2	0	10	14-16	88%	9-17	53%	0-5	0%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 23	36.6	15	58%	7	2	1	0	2	3	1	6	1-3	33%	7-10	70%	0-2	0%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 27	33.1	14	54%	3	4	3	0	4	1	0	3	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	27.2	10	63%	7	2	1	1	0	2	2	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	26.3	8	44%	9	2	0	0	2	5	3	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%

CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	30.1	23	64%	1	5	2	1	1	1	1	0	8-10	80%	3-8	38%	3-5	60%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	21.7	10	71%	7	2	0	1	0	4	3	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	16.9	5	42%	5	1	0	0	0	2	2	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	10.3	0	0%	1	1	1	1	0	3	1	0	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gabe Vincent #4 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Buddy Hield #8 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
RayJ Dennis #00 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Kuminga #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	53%	50	24	11	5	13	23	13	37	31-40	78%	28-56	50%	10-32	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

20 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	38.8	28	56%	3	3	1	1	2	2	0	3	8-8	100%	4-12	33%	4-11	36%
VJ Edgecombe #77 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	33.7	20	63%	9	0	1	1	6	5	0	9	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	3-8	38%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	32.3	17	47%	3	3	3	1	2	3	1	2	9-11	82%	4-10	40%	0-3	0%
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 33	27.9	10	83%	14	3	0	2	0	2	5	9	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Dominick Barlow #25 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 23	22.3	1	13%	3	0	1	3	1	1	1	2	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-

Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	28.9	14	64%	2	1	0	1	2	5	0	2	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	19.7	9	64%	7	0	0	4	1	2	3	4	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	16.3	4	29%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 24	10.3	4	50%	3	2	1	0	0	5	2	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Cameron Payne #20 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 32	10.0	0	0%	0	5	2	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dalen Terry #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tyrese Martin #23 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
MarJon Beauchamp #16 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management; Right Shin Soreness
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 36	Inactive - League Suspension \| NWT
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	52%	46	17	9	13	15	27	12	34	30-37	81%	22-53	42%	11-33	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	PHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.05 52.7%

PHI

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

59%

PHI

52%

Midrange

ATL

29%

PHI

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

15.0

31%

47%

PHI

16.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

ATL

78%

PHI

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	32	53%	16.0 / 30
C. McCollum	23	64%	11.5 / 18
D. Daniels	15	58%	7.5 / 13
N. Alexander-Walker	14	54%	7.0 / 13
Z. Risacher	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Landale	10	71%	5.0 / 7
O. Okongwu	8	44%	4.0 / 9
C. Kispert	5	42%	2.5 / 6
M. Gueye	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Maxey	28	56%	14.0 / 25
V. Edgecombe	20	63%	10.0 / 16
K. Oubre	17	47%	8.5 / 18
Q. Grimes	14	64%	7.0 / 11
A. Drummond	10	83%	5.0 / 6
A. Bona	9	64%	4.5 / 7
T. Watford	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Walker	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Barlow	1	13%	0.5 / 4
C. Payne	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 115.1 16 114.4	ATL 111.4 +8.5 PHI 102.9
Pace	4 102.5 16 100.3	ATL 116.8 +22.4 PHI 94.4
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.5 11 14.6	ATL 12.3 −2.9 PHI 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 25 53.0%	ATL 48.9% +4.1% PHI 44.8%
TO %	8 13.0% 6 12.8%	ATL 11.7% −1.8% PHI 13.5%
ORB %	20 24.3% 11 26.2%	ATL 27.7% +3.2% PHI 24.5%
FTrt	27 23.4 11 27.5	ATL 45.5 +2.5 PHI 43.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 69.1% 28 58.9%	ATL 63.2% +11.7% PHI 51.5%
STL %	6 9.1% 7 9.0%	ATL 10.5% +1.8% PHI 8.7%
BLK %	18 8.8% 3 10.9%	ATL 9.4% PHI 23.2% +13.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.9% 21 55.9%	ATL 52.7% +0.8% PHI 51.9%
Rim FG%	21 63.3% 27 62.1%	ATL 59.0% +7.3% PHI 51.7%
Mid FG%	6 44.6% 23 41.8%	ATL 29.4% +0.2% PHI 29.2%
3P %	5 37.1% 23 34.9%	ATL 31.3% PHI 33.3% +2.0%
FT %	20 77.4% 4 80.9%	ATL 77.5% PHI 81.1% +3.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 32.1% 6 35.0%	ATL 44.3% +10.6% PHI 33.7%
Mid Att. %	9 25.0% 13 25.9%	ATL 19.3% −8.6% PHI 27.9%
3P Att. %	11 42.9% 23 39.1%	ATL 36.4% PHI 38.4% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	PHI
Possessions	105	104
Possession Minutes	21.6	26.4
Points	117	107
Rebounds	50	46
Assists	24	17
Steals	11	9
Blocks	5	13
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	15 (1)
Fouls	23	27
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (6)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (4)	34 (1)
Field Goals	38-88	33-86
At-the-Rim FG	23-39	15-29
Midrange FG	5-17	7-24
2-Point FG	28-56	22-53
3-Point FG	10-32	11-33
Free Throws	31-40	30-37
Fast Break Pts	25	19
2nd Chance Pts	27	13
Points in Paint	54	38
Pts off Turnovers	22	9
Bench Points	38	31
Biggest Lead	14	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg