Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, February 20, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Cavaliers	58%	117	118	129.7	91	110.3
	18	Hornets	42%	114	113	122.8	92	78.2

Prediction updated: Feb 21, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+12

-12

CHA

+28

-14

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.30 64.8%

CHA

1.09 54.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	34.4	18	56%	4	8	1	0	2	3	1	3	4-4	100%	4-11	36%	2-3	67%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	34.3	32	57%	3	4	2	0	3	5	0	3	12-13	92%	7-15	47%	2-7	29%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	32.1	26	76%	14	2	0	1	1	0	7	7	4-5	80%	11-15	73%	0-0	-
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	26.0	8	133%	4	0	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Sam Merrill #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 30	24.3	10	83%	2	2	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%

Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	23.7	4	100%	4	3	2	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	20.1	8	67%	0	3	3	0	2	0	0	0	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	16.7	5	63%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	15.7	2	25%	5	1	1	2	2	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	12.8	5	63%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Emanuel Miller #15 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	INACTIVE
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Injury Management
Darius Brown #30 · SG · 6'2" 192 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	65%	39	24	10	3	12	21	11	28	26-28	93%	31-56	55%	10-21	48%

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5 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	34.4	18	56%	4	8	1	0	2	3	1	3	4-4	100%	4-11	36%	2-3	67%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	34.3	32	57%	3	4	2	0	3	5	0	3	12-13	92%	7-15	47%	2-7	29%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	32.1	26	76%	14	2	0	1	1	0	7	7	4-5	80%	11-15	73%	0-0	-
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	26.0	8	133%	4	0	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Sam Merrill #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 30	24.3	10	83%	2	2	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%

Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	23.7	4	100%	4	3	2	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	20.1	8	67%	0	3	3	0	2	0	0	0	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	16.7	5	63%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	15.7	2	25%	5	1	1	2	2	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	12.8	5	63%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Emanuel Miller #15 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	INACTIVE
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Injury Management
Darius Brown #30 · SG · 6'2" 192 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	65%	39	24	10	3	12	21	11	28	26-28	93%	31-56	55%	10-21	48%

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18 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 21	37.1	33	75%	6	2	1	0	0	4	3	3	4-5	80%	4-5	80%	7-15	47%
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	35.9	12	75%	13	1	0	1	0	2	9	4	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Sion James #4 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 23	29.7	5	83%	6	7	3	1	0	1	3	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	27.0	18	43%	2	6	0	0	2	4	1	1	8-8	100%	2-7	29%	2-10	20%
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	23.5	18	47%	2	4	0	1	5	4	1	1	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	4-12	33%

Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	19.9	5	83%	5	1	0	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	19.8	11	69%	2	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 21	16.9	3	21%	4	0	0	0	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-6	17%
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	12.6	3	38%	1	2	0	0	3	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	11.6	2	33%	4	1	0	0	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	5.8	3	50%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Miles Bridges #0 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	DND - League Suspension
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	DND - League Suspension
Tosan Evbuomwan #20 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	INACTIVE
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Coby White #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	54%	45	26	5	4	14	23	23	22	21-22	95%	16-36	44%	20-56	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	CHA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.30 64.8%

CHA

1.09 54.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

64%

CHA

48%

Midrange

CLE

43%

CHA

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

15.0

48%

71%

CHA

30.0

36%

54%

Free Throws

CLE

93%

CHA

95%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	32	57%	16.0 / 28
J. Allen	26	76%	13.0 / 17
J. Harden	18	56%	9.0 / 16
S. Merrill	10	83%	5.0 / 6
D. Wade	8	133%	4.0 / 3
D. Schröder	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Tyson	5	63%	2.5 / 4
N. Tomlin	5	63%	2.5 / 4
K. Ellis	4	100%	2.0 / 2
T. Bryant	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Knueppel	33	75%	16.5 / 22
L. Ball	18	43%	9.0 / 21
B. Miller	18	47%	9.0 / 19
R. Kalkbrenner	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Green	11	69%	5.5 / 8
S. James	5	83%	2.5 / 3
P. Connaughton	5	83%	2.5 / 3
T. Salaün	3	21%	1.5 / 7
T. Mann	3	38%	1.5 / 4
A. Reeves	3	50%	1.5 / 3
P. Hall	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 118.3 5 118.6	CLE 129.7 +6.8 CHA 122.8
Pace	12 100.6 27 97.5	CLE 110.3 +32.1 CHA 78.2
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.1 3 15.2	CLE 13.0 −5.4 CHA 18.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.1% 12 55.2%	CLE 59.7% +9.7% CHA 50.0%
TO %	10 13.2% 27 14.8%	CLE 11.8% −0.3% CHA 12.1%
ORB %	9 26.9% 4 30.5%	CLE 33.3% CHA 45.1% +11.8%
FTrt	15 26.5 23 24.4	CLE 36.4 +12.5 CHA 23.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 65.3% 14 64.3%	CLE 58.5% CHA 72.2% +13.7%
STL %	15 8.4% 29 7.2%	CLE 11.0% +5.6% CHA 5.4%
BLK %	11 9.8% 20 8.6%	CLE 8.3% +1.2% CHA 7.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.2% 10 57.3%	CLE 64.8% +10.5% CHA 54.3%
Rim FG%	7 66.1% 23 63.1%	CLE 63.6% +15.6% CHA 48.0%
Mid FG%	3 46.8% 25 41.4%	CLE 43.5% +7.1% CHA 36.4%
3P %	13 36.0% 3 37.8%	CLE 47.6% +11.9% CHA 35.7%
FT %	19 77.6% 2 81.8%	CLE 92.9% CHA 95.5% +2.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.7% 25 29.3%	CLE 42.9% +15.7% CHA 27.2%
Mid Att. %	8 24.1% 6 22.0%	CLE 29.9% CHA 12.0% −17.9%
3P Att. %	9 44.2% 2 48.7%	CLE 27.3% CHA 60.9% +33.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	CHA
Possessions	91	92
Possession Minutes	19.8	28.2
Points	118	113
Rebounds	39	45
Assists	24	26
Steals	10	5
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	21	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (1)	23 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (3)	22 (2)
Field Goals	41-77	36-92
At-the-Rim FG	21-33	12-25
Midrange FG	10-23	4-11
2-Point FG	31-56	16-36
3-Point FG	10-21	20-56
Free Throws	26-28	21-22
Fast Break Pts	8	3
2nd Chance Pts	18	37
Points in Paint	50	28
Pts off Turnovers	18	13
Bench Points	24	27
Biggest Lead	14	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg