Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, February 20, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Pacers	59%	113	118	106.3	111	122.6
	30	Wizards	41%	110	131	119.1	110	100.5

Prediction updated: Feb 21, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+14

-21

104

WAS

+11

-17

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.15 57.3%

WAS

1.26 63.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	38.6	4	20%	5	11	2	0	6	1	0	5	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	30.8	12	46%	12	6	1	0	5	3	3	9	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	3-9	33%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 25	19.8	8	57%	5	3	1	0	0	1	0	5	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	15.9	22	92%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	5-8	63%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	14.7	9	56%	2	2	1	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-2	50%

Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	37.1	12	55%	2	3	4	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-8	25%
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	33.4	12	60%	5	0	2	0	0	1	2	3	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	26.4	18	64%	5	2	1	0	2	1	2	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	4-9	44%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	23.4	21	70%	3	3	0	0	4	4	2	1	4-4	100%	7-9	78%	1-4	25%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	57%	40	32	12	0	21	16	9	31	14-21	67%	25-41	61%	18-49	37%

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28 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	38.6	4	20%	5	11	2	0	6	1	0	5	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	30.8	12	46%	12	6	1	0	5	3	3	9	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	3-9	33%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 25	19.8	8	57%	5	3	1	0	0	1	0	5	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	15.9	22	92%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	5-8	63%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	14.7	9	56%	2	2	1	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-2	50%

Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	37.1	12	55%	2	3	4	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-8	25%
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	33.4	12	60%	5	0	2	0	0	1	2	3	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	26.4	18	64%	5	2	1	0	2	1	2	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	4-9	44%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	23.4	21	70%	3	3	0	0	4	4	2	1	4-4	100%	7-9	78%	1-4	25%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	57%	40	32	12	0	21	16	9	31	14-21	67%	25-41	61%	18-49	37%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	21.9	13	54%	3	3	1	2	3	1	1	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	21.8	6	38%	5	7	1	0	2	0	0	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	20.2	14	58%	8	1	1	1	1	1	2	6	0-0	-	7-7	100%	0-5	0%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	18.5	14	64%	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
Justin Champagnie #9 · PF · 6'6" 206 · 25	10.7	0	0%	7	1	0	0	2	2	1	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Kadary Richmond #19 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	31.3	7	50%	3	4	6	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Alondes Williams #31 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27	29.5	25	96%	10	4	1	2	1	1	3	7	5-5	100%	7-7	100%	2-4	50%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	27.3	18	75%	3	5	0	0	4	2	0	3	2-3	67%	8-9	89%	0-2	0%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	23.4	11	50%	4	2	2	0	0	4	1	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-5	20%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	23.2	11	79%	3	6	0	3	1	2	2	1	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	12.2	12	75%	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	6-8	75%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL Sprain; Quad Contusion
D'Angelo Russell #14 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	63%	48	36	14	9	17	15	10	38	15-19	79%	49-66	74%	6-29	21%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	IND	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.15 57.3%

WAS

1.26 63.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

73%

WAS

79%

Midrange

IND

40%

WAS

68%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

27.0

37%

55%

WAS

9.0

21%

31%

Free Throws

IND

67%

WAS

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Huff	22	92%	11.0 / 12
Q. Jackson	21	70%	10.5 / 15
M. Potter	18	64%	9.0 / 14
J. Walker	12	46%	6.0 / 13
T. Peter	12	55%	6.0 / 11
K. Brown	12	60%	6.0 / 10
T. McConnell	9	56%	4.5 / 8
B. Sheppard	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Jones	4	20%	2.0 / 10

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Williams	25	96%	12.5 / 13
S. Cooper	18	75%	9.0 / 12
T. Vukcevic	14	58%	7.0 / 12
T. Johnson	14	64%	7.0 / 11
B. Coulibaly	13	54%	6.5 / 12
W. Riley	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Watkins	11	50%	5.5 / 11
A. Gill	11	79%	5.5 / 7
K. Richmond	7	50%	3.5 / 7
B. Carrington	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Champagnie	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.1 29 109.7	IND 106.3 WAS 119.1 +12.8
Pace	10 101.4 5 102.5	IND 122.6 +22.1 WAS 100.5
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 23 14.0	IND 11.7 −2.6 WAS 14.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.3% 21 53.5%	IND 57.8% WAS 61.1% +3.3%
TO %	14 13.6% 26 14.7%	IND 17.5% WAS 14.8% −2.7%
ORB %	29 21.7% 21 24.0%	IND 19.1% WAS 24.4% +5.3%
FTrt	20 25.2 26 23.5	IND 23.3 +3.3 WAS 20.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 67.8% 24 59.9%	IND 74.4% +8.9% WAS 65.5%
STL %	28 7.2% 22 7.8%	IND 10.8% WAS 12.7% +1.9%
BLK %	26 8.1% 9 10.0%	IND 0.0% WAS 22.0% +22.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.4% 26 55.4%	IND 57.3% WAS 63.0% +5.7%
Rim FG%	25 62.9% 15 64.7%	IND 73.1% WAS 78.9% +5.8%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 26 41.3%	IND 40.0% WAS 67.9% +27.9%
3P %	18 35.6% 16 35.9%	IND 36.7% +16.0% WAS 20.7%
FT %	17 77.6% 23 76.6%	IND 66.7% WAS 78.9% +12.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.3% 22 30.6%	IND 28.9% WAS 40.0% +11.1%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 25 29.1%	IND 16.7% −12.8% WAS 29.5%
3P Att. %	14 42.2% 20 40.3%	IND 54.4% +23.9% WAS 30.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	WAS
Possessions	111	110
Possession Minutes	21.7	26.3
Points	118	131
Rebounds	40	48
Assists	32	36
Steals	12	14
Blocks	0	9
Turnovers (Team)	21 (0)	17 (1)
Fouls	16	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (5)	10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (0)	38 (0)
Field Goals	43-90	55-95
At-the-Rim FG	19-26	30-38
Midrange FG	6-15	19-28
2-Point FG	25-41	49-66
3-Point FG	18-49	6-29
Free Throws	14-21	15-19
Fast Break Pts	23	18
2nd Chance Pts	4	14
Points in Paint	46	78
Pts off Turnovers	17	30
Bench Points	63	84
Biggest Lead	15	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg