Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, October 8, 2014

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Hornets			92	92.0	100	100.7
		76ers			106	102.9	103	102.3

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+15

-14

101

PHI

+17

-11

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.89 44.7%

PHI

0.97 48.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lance Stephenson G · 6'6" 230 · 24	26.9	13	50%	5	2	1	0	2	2	1	4	3-6	50%	2-7	29%	2-3	67%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist F · 6'7" 232 · 21	26.8	11	50%	7	1	2	1	1	3	2	5	5-6	83%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Kemba Walker G · 6'1" 184 · 24	25.7	13	46%	3	3	0	1	0	2	0	3	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	0-3	0%
Al Jefferson C · 6'10" 280 · 30	24.3	9	38%	8	2	0	1	2	4	2	6	1-2	50%	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 28	21.1	5	25%	8	0	1	0	1	3	2	6	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	1-6	17%

Cody Zeller C-F · 7'0" 240 · 22	22.8	7	50%	4	2	1	0	1	4	0	4	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Brian Roberts G · 6'1" 173 · 29	22.3	7	35%	2	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
PJ Hairston F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22	21.2	6	43%	4	2	0	0	3	4	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 30	21.1	14	78%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	1-1	100%
Bismack Biyombo C · 6'8" 255 · 22	20.9	4	33%	6	0	0	0	1	3	2	4	2-4	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jason Maxiell F · 6'7" 260 · 32	6.9	3	50%	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jeffery Taylor · 6'7" 225 · 25	\| NWT - Coach's Decision
Gerald Henderson G · 6'5" 215 · 27	\| DND - Right Hamstring Strain
Noah Vonleh F · 6'9" 245 · 19	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jannero Pargo G · 6'1" 185 · 35	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	45%	50	15	6	4	14	0	11	39	21-32	66%	25-65	38%	7-22	32%

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Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lance Stephenson G · 6'6" 230 · 24	26.9	13	50%	5	2	1	0	2	2	1	4	3-6	50%	2-7	29%	2-3	67%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist F · 6'7" 232 · 21	26.8	11	50%	7	1	2	1	1	3	2	5	5-6	83%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Kemba Walker G · 6'1" 184 · 24	25.7	13	46%	3	3	0	1	0	2	0	3	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	0-3	0%
Al Jefferson C · 6'10" 280 · 30	24.3	9	38%	8	2	0	1	2	4	2	6	1-2	50%	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 28	21.1	5	25%	8	0	1	0	1	3	2	6	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	1-6	17%

Cody Zeller C-F · 7'0" 240 · 22	22.8	7	50%	4	2	1	0	1	4	0	4	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Brian Roberts G · 6'1" 173 · 29	22.3	7	35%	2	2	1	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
PJ Hairston F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22	21.2	6	43%	4	2	0	0	3	4	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 30	21.1	14	78%	3	1	0	0	1	1	1	2	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	1-1	100%
Bismack Biyombo C · 6'8" 255 · 22	20.9	4	33%	6	0	0	0	1	3	2	4	2-4	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jason Maxiell F · 6'7" 260 · 32	6.9	3	50%	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jeffery Taylor · 6'7" 225 · 25	\| NWT - Coach's Decision
Gerald Henderson G · 6'5" 215 · 27	\| DND - Right Hamstring Strain
Noah Vonleh F · 6'9" 245 · 19	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jannero Pargo G · 6'1" 185 · 35	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	45%	50	15	6	4	14	0	11	39	21-32	66%	25-65	38%	7-22	32%

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Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nerlens Noel C · 6'11" 220 · 20	31.3	10	36%	9	3	0	3	0	0	3	6	0-4	0%	5-13	38%	0-0	-
Henry Sims F · 6'10" 248 · 25	25.1	9	38%	5	1	1	0	0	2	1	4	1-4	25%	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Tony Wroten G · 6'6" 205 · 21	22.4	15	75%	6	7	1	0	3	4	0	6	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Luc Mbah a Moute F · 6'8" 230 · 28	12.0	5	63%	2	4	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Hollis Thompson G · 6'8" 206 · 24	3.8	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Elliot Williams G · 6'5" 190 · 25	28.5	12	67%	3	1	0	0	3	0	2	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
KJ McDaniels G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22	24.7	8	31%	6	2	2	1	1	3	3	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-4	0%
Casper Ware · 5'10" 175 · 25	23.2	14	70%	3	3	1	0	3	2	0	3	9-10	90%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Alexey Shved G · 6'6" 187 · 26	23.0	11	61%	4	3	1	0	0	3	0	4	3-5	60%	4-4	100%	0-3	0%
Arnett Moultrie F · 6'10" 240 · 24	20.7	7	32%	5	2	1	0	0	2	3	2	1-2	50%	3-10	30%	0-0	-
Brandon Davies F · 6'10" 240 · 23	17.9	13	59%	7	2	0	0	0	5	2	5	6-6	100%	2-7	29%	1-1	100%
JaKarr Sampson F · 6'9" 207 · 22	6.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Michael Carter-Williams G · 6'6" 190 · 23	\| DND - Right Shoulder Injury
Chris Johnson F · 6'6" 206 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Drew Gordon C-F · 6'9" 245 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jerami Grant F · 6'7" 213 · 21	\| DND - Right Ankle Sprain
Joel Embiid C-F · 7'0" 270 · 21	\| DND - Right Foot Injury
Jason Richardson G · 6'6" 225 · 34	\| DND - Left Foot Injury
Malcolm Lee G · 6'5" 200 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	239	106	49%	53	29	8	4	11	0	14	39	23-37	62%	31-70	44%	7-20	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	PHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.89 44.7%

PHI

0.97 48.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

48%

PHI

56%

Midrange

CHA

33%

PHI

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

10.5

32%

48%

PHI

10.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

CHA

66%

PHI

62%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Neal	14	78%	7.0 / 9
L. Stephenson	13	50%	6.5 / 13
K. Walker	13	46%	6.5 / 14
M. Kidd-Gilchrist	11	50%	5.5 / 11
A. Jefferson	9	38%	4.5 / 12
C. Zeller	7	50%	3.5 / 7
B. Roberts	7	35%	3.5 / 10
P. Hairston	6	43%	3.0 / 7
M. Williams	5	25%	2.5 / 10
B. Biyombo	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Maxiell	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Wroten	15	75%	7.5 / 10
C. Ware	14	70%	7.0 / 10
B. Davies	13	59%	6.5 / 11
E. Williams	12	67%	6.0 / 9
A. Shved	11	61%	5.5 / 9
N. Noel	10	36%	5.0 / 14
H. Sims	9	38%	4.5 / 12
K. McDaniels	8	31%	4.0 / 13
A. Moultrie	7	32%	3.5 / 11
L. Mbah a Moute	5	63%	2.5 / 4
H. Thompson	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 98.1 32 93.4	CHA 92.0 PHI 102.9 +10.9
Pace	24 95.5 2 100.1	CHA 100.7 PHI 102.3 +1.6
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.5 23 14.3	CHA 14.3 PHI 14.1 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	32 44.8% 27 46.8%	CHA 40.8% PHI 46.1% +5.3%
TO %	1 13.0% 33 20.2%	CHA 12.2% PHI 9.4% −2.8%
ORB %	26 20.7% 20 23.3%	CHA 22.0% PHI 26.4% +4.4%
FTrt	29 27.9 17 36.2	CHA 36.8 PHI 41.1 +4.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 64.4% 18 60.8%	CHA 46.9% PHI 76.3% +29.4%
STL %	33 6.8% 9 10.3%	CHA 6.0% PHI 7.8% +1.8%
BLK %	13 8.9% 12 8.9%	CHA 5.7% PHI 6.2% +0.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	33 48.2% 29 49.7%	CHA 44.7% PHI 48.6% +3.9%
Rim FG%	33 51.9% 21 56.7%	CHA 48.0% PHI 56.1% +8.1%
Mid FG%	14 39.7% 21 38.5%	CHA 32.5% +4.9% PHI 27.6%
3P %	26 31.2% 33 28.9%	CHA 31.8% PHI 35.0% +3.2%
FT %	7 78.9% 31 68.1%	CHA 65.6% +3.4% PHI 62.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	33 27.2% 6 39.1%	CHA 28.7% PHI 45.6% +16.8%
Mid Att. %	31 47.8% 15 35.8%	CHA 46.0% PHI 32.2% −13.8%
3P Att. %	27 25.0% 26 25.2%	CHA 25.3% +3.1% PHI 22.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	PHI
Possessions	100	103
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	92	106
Rebounds	50	53
Assists	15	29
Steals	6	8
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (3)	39 (4)
Field Goals	32-87	38-90
At-the-Rim FG	12-25	23-41
Midrange FG	13-40	8-29
2-Point FG	25-65	31-70
3-Point FG	7-22	7-20
Free Throws	21-32	23-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg