Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, October 9, 2014

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Grizzlies			93	90.4	104	101.5
		Rockets			113	107.6	105	107.6

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+14

-21

HOU

+22

-28

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.95 47.5%

HOU

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Courtney Lee G · 6'5" 200 · 29	20.2	8	57%	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-2	100%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 30	9.1	6	60%	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 35	9.1	0	0%	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mike Conley G · 6'1" 175 · 27	9.1	2	33%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 33	7.8	2	20%	1	0	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Jarnell Stokes F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21	21.5	12	67%	5	0	1	1	1	4	2	3	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Quincy Pondexter F · 6'7" 230 · 27	20.8	9	45%	2	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Earl Clark F · 6'10" 234 · 27	20.6	7	32%	6	3	2	1	2	1	3	3	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 26	17.5	2	25%	3	1	0	3	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 32	17.3	7	70%	2	1	1	0	3	0	0	2	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jordan Adams G · 6'5" 209 · 20	16.1	11	50%	5	2	2	0	2	2	1	4	7-8	88%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Jon Leuer F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25	15.2	8	57%	5	3	0	0	4	5	1	4	4-6	67%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Nick Calathes G · 6'6" 213 · 26	13.5	3	50%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kalin Lucas G · 6'1" 195 · 25	11.0	8	57%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Patrick Christopher · 6'5" 209 · 26	10.3	6	60%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Tony Allen · 6'4" 213 · 33	8.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 25	3.5	0	0%	0	1	2	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Vince Carter G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	231	94	48%	36	21	13	8	21	0	10	26	28-37	76%	27-66	41%	4-13	31%

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Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Courtney Lee G · 6'5" 200 · 29	20.2	8	57%	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-2	100%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 30	9.1	6	60%	3	1	0	1	1	1	1	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 35	9.1	0	0%	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mike Conley G · 6'1" 175 · 27	9.1	2	33%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 33	7.8	2	20%	1	0	1	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Jarnell Stokes F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21	21.5	12	67%	5	0	1	1	1	4	2	3	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Quincy Pondexter F · 6'7" 230 · 27	20.8	9	45%	2	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Earl Clark F · 6'10" 234 · 27	20.6	7	32%	6	3	2	1	2	1	3	3	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 26	17.5	2	25%	3	1	0	3	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 32	17.3	7	70%	2	1	1	0	3	0	0	2	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jordan Adams G · 6'5" 209 · 20	16.1	11	50%	5	2	2	0	2	2	1	4	7-8	88%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Jon Leuer F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25	15.2	8	57%	5	3	0	0	4	5	1	4	4-6	67%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Nick Calathes G · 6'6" 213 · 26	13.5	3	50%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kalin Lucas G · 6'1" 195 · 25	11.0	8	57%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Patrick Christopher · 6'5" 209 · 26	10.3	6	60%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Tony Allen · 6'4" 213 · 33	8.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 25	3.5	0	0%	0	1	2	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Vince Carter G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	231	94	48%	36	21	13	8	21	0	10	26	28-37	76%	27-66	41%	4-13	31%

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Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Terrence Jones F · 6'9" 252 · 23	24.4	15	63%	5	1	1	1	2	3	2	3	6-7	86%	3-8	38%	1-1	100%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 25	21.6	21	75%	2	4	0	0	2	0	0	2	6-6	100%	3-8	38%	3-4	75%
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 29	19.7	8	57%	5	3	3	0	1	0	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Jeff Adrien C · 6'7" 245 · 29	17.3	6	50%	7	0	0	1	0	3	2	5	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Patrick Beverley G · 6'1" 185 · 26	12.3	9	64%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%

Tarik Black F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23	26.3	10	56%	15	0	1	1	3	5	6	9	4-6	67%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Kostas Papanikolaou F · 6'8" 235 · 24	23.9	9	64%	4	3	1	2	3	3	2	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Donatas Motiejunas F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24	21.0	3	38%	3	0	1	0	6	4	1	2	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 26	20.0	6	60%	1	3	1	0	4	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Nick Johnson G · 6'3" 202 · 22	18.9	4	22%	3	4	1	0	3	1	2	1	4-4	100%	0-5	0%	0-2	0%
Troy Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 23	12.0	9	90%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3-3	100%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Isaiah Canaan G · 6'0" 200 · 23	10.6	9	75%	1	2	0	0	2	2	0	1	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33	7.5	1	17%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Robert Covington F · 6'9" 225 · 24	4.3	3	38%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 37	\| DND - Hamstring
Clint Capela C · 6'10" 256 · 20	\| DND - Groin
Joey Dorsey · 6'8" 268 · 31	\| DND - Foot
Josh Powell F · 6'9" 240 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 29	\| DND - Left knee bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	56%	50	21	10	5	28	0	16	34	31-39	79%	20-51	39%	14-30	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	HOU

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.95 47.5%

HOU

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

56%

HOU

44%

Midrange

MEM

32%

HOU

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

6.0

31%

46%

HOU

21.0

47%

70%

Free Throws

MEM

76%

HOU

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Stokes	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Adams	11	50%	5.5 / 11
Q. Pondexter	9	45%	4.5 / 10
C. Lee	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Leuer	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Lucas	8	57%	4.0 / 7
E. Clark	7	32%	3.5 / 11
B. Udrih	7	70%	3.5 / 5
M. Gasol	6	60%	3.0 / 5
P. Christopher	6	60%	3.0 / 5
N. Calathes	3	50%	1.5 / 3
M. Conley	2	33%	1.0 / 3
Z. Randolph	2	20%	1.0 / 5
K. Koufos	2	25%	1.0 / 4
T. Prince	0	-	0.0 / 0
T. Allen	0	-	0.0 / 2
H. Whiteside	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Harden	21	75%	10.5 / 14
T. Jones	15	63%	7.5 / 12
T. Black	10	56%	5.0 / 9
P. Beverley	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Papanikolaou	9	64%	4.5 / 7
T. Daniels	9	90%	4.5 / 5
I. Canaan	9	75%	4.5 / 6
T. Ariza	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Adrien	6	50%	3.0 / 6
I. Smith	6	60%	3.0 / 5
N. Johnson	4	22%	2.0 / 9
D. Motiejunas	3	38%	1.5 / 4
R. Covington	3	38%	1.5 / 4
F. Garcia	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 102.5 19 100.3	MEM 90.4 HOU 107.6 +17.2
Pace	21 95.9 16 97.1	MEM 101.5 HOU 107.6 +6.1
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.9 25 14.3	MEM 14.2 HOU 13.4 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 48.6% 26 46.9%	MEM 41.8% HOU 50.6% +8.8%
TO %	14 17.5% 17 18.0%	MEM 18.8% −4.0% HOU 22.8%
ORB %	15 26.1% 2 28.6%	MEM 22.7% HOU 38.1% +15.4%
FTrt	13 36.9 12 37.6	MEM 46.8 HOU 48.1 +1.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 55.4% 33 51.5%	MEM 67.7% +5.9% HOU 61.8%
STL %	4 11.2% 2 11.6%	MEM 12.5% +3.0% HOU 9.5%
BLK %	4 9.4% 24 7.6%	MEM 15.7% +8.1% HOU 7.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 51.8% 30 49.4%	MEM 47.5% HOU 55.9% +8.4%
Rim FG%	11 59.9% 25 56.1%	MEM 56.0% +12.2% HOU 43.8%
Mid FG%	17 39.1% 35 27.4%	MEM 31.7% +0.1% HOU 31.6%
3P %	20 33.8% 15 34.6%	MEM 30.8% HOU 46.7% +15.9%
FT %	24 71.5% 32 67.8%	MEM 75.7% HOU 79.5% +3.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 34.1% 7 37.7%	MEM 31.6% HOU 39.5% +7.9%
Mid Att. %	29 45.4% 2 26.8%	MEM 51.9% HOU 23.5% −28.4%
3P Att. %	30 20.4% 3 35.4%	MEM 16.5% HOU 37.0% +20.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Game Totals	MEM	HOU
Possessions	104	105
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	94	113
Rebounds	36	50
Assists	21	21
Steals	13	10
Blocks	8	5
Turnovers (Team)	21 (1)	28 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	16 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (3)	34 (3)
Field Goals	31-79	34-81
At-the-Rim FG	14-25	14-32
Midrange FG	13-41	6-19
2-Point FG	27-66	20-51
3-Point FG	4-13	14-30
Free Throws	28-37	31-39
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg