Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, October 10, 2014

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Nuggets			89	92.7	96	104.3
		Suns			97	99.0	98	90.8

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+18

-19

PHX

+16

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.92 45.9%

PHX

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 28	22.9	14	78%	6	0	1	0	2	2	1	5	6-6	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	15.7	7	44%	0	4	0	0	3	1	0	0	1-4	25%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 27	14.2	5	63%	2	0	0	1	0	3	0	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	14.1	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-1	0%	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	11.4	2	17%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%

Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	25.1	8	57%	12	1	1	1	1	2	4	8	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	24.0	8	44%	1	1	1	1	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-4	50%
Marcus Williams G · 6'7" 207 · 28	19.1	7	50%	8	1	0	0	3	4	2	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 31	18.8	4	29%	2	2	1	0	0	2	0	2	1-3	33%	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 27	18.6	5	42%	9	3	2	1	3	2	3	6	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 23	14.4	6	38%	3	5	1	0	2	0	1	2	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 26	14.3	17	77%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	5-7	71%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Jerrelle Benimon · 6'8" 245 · 23	10.3	4	67%	2	0	0	0	2	4	1	1	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 30	9.1	2	25%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Quincy Miller F · 6'9" 210 · 22	8.0	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	46%	52	19	8	4	19	0	14	38	16-31	52%	26-57	46%	7-25	28%

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Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 28	22.9	14	78%	6	0	1	0	2	2	1	5	6-6	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	15.7	7	44%	0	4	0	0	3	1	0	0	1-4	25%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 27	14.2	5	63%	2	0	0	1	0	3	0	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	14.1	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-1	0%	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	11.4	2	17%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%

Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	25.1	8	57%	12	1	1	1	1	2	4	8	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	24.0	8	44%	1	1	1	1	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-4	50%
Marcus Williams G · 6'7" 207 · 28	19.1	7	50%	8	1	0	0	3	4	2	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 31	18.8	4	29%	2	2	1	0	0	2	0	2	1-3	33%	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 27	18.6	5	42%	9	3	2	1	3	2	3	6	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 23	14.4	6	38%	3	5	1	0	2	0	1	2	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 26	14.3	17	77%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	5-7	71%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Jerrelle Benimon · 6'8" 245 · 23	10.3	4	67%	2	0	0	0	2	4	1	1	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 30	9.1	2	25%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Quincy Miller F · 6'9" 210 · 22	8.0	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	46%	52	19	8	4	19	0	14	38	16-31	52%	26-57	46%	7-25	28%

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Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 28	20.0	12	60%	0	2	0	0	1	3	0	0	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 29	18.0	10	56%	2	0	1	0	2	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	3-8	38%
P.J. Tucker F · 6'6" 245 · 29	17.4	6	75%	10	2	2	0	2	1	0	10	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-2	100%
Eric Bledsoe G · 6'1" 205 · 25	17.4	9	50%	2	4	1	0	0	2	1	1	4-6	67%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Miles Plumlee C · 6'11" 249 · 26	16.3	4	40%	6	0	2	0	1	4	2	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 26	22.8	8	44%	4	6	0	1	1	0	1	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Marcus Morris Sr. F · 6'9" 235 · 25	19.2	5	31%	5	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Earl Barron F-C · 7'0" 250 · 33	19.1	6	60%	6	0	0	0	1	3	1	5	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 25	16.3	12	60%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	4-4	100%	1-5	20%	2-3	67%
Archie Goodwin G · 6'5" 205 · 20	14.3	2	25%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
T.J. Warren F · 6'8" 215 · 21	12.7	10	63%	6	0	0	0	1	0	3	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Shavlik Randolph F · 6'10" 236 · 31	12.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 29	10.6	11	69%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Zoran Dragic G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25	8.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Tyler Ennis G · 6'3" 194 · 20	7.8	2	33%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jamil Wilson · 6'7" 230 · 24	7.3	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alex Len C · 7'0" 250 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	49%	47	16	7	2	15	0	12	35	19-26	73%	21-53	40%	12-31	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	PHX
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	PHX

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.92 45.9%

PHX

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

58%

PHX

50%

Midrange

DEN

35%

PHX

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

10.5

28%

42%

PHX

18.0

39%

58%

Free Throws

DEN

52%

PHX

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari	17	77%	8.5 / 11
T. Mozgov	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. Nurkić	8	57%	4.0 / 7
G. Harris	8	44%	4.0 / 9
T. Lawson	7	44%	3.5 / 8
M. Williams	7	50%	3.5 / 7
E. Green	6	38%	3.0 / 8
W. Chandler	5	63%	2.5 / 4
A. Gee	5	42%	2.5 / 6
R. Foye	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Benimon	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Arthur	2	17%	1.0 / 6
N. Robinson	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Afflalo	0	-	0.0 / 4
Q. Miller	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Dragic	12	60%	6.0 / 10
M. Morris	12	60%	6.0 / 10
G. Green	11	69%	5.5 / 8
A. Tolliver	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. Warren	10	63%	5.0 / 8
E. Bledsoe	9	50%	4.5 / 9
I. Thomas	8	44%	4.0 / 9
P. Tucker	6	75%	3.0 / 4
E. Barron	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Morris	5	31%	2.5 / 8
M. Plumlee	4	40%	2.0 / 5
A. Goodwin	2	25%	1.0 / 4
T. Ennis	2	33%	1.0 / 3
S. Randolph	0	-	0.0 / 2
Z. Dragic	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 100.0 10 103.2	DEN 92.7 PHX 99.0 +6.3
Pace	12 97.5 1 100.2	DEN 104.3 +13.4 PHX 90.8
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.2 28 14.0	DEN 13.8 −2.0 PHX 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 47.5% 7 51.0%	DEN 44.5% PHX 46.4% +1.9%
TO %	18 18.1% 21 18.4%	DEN 16.6% PHX 13.6% −3.0%
ORB %	3 28.5% 30 20.1%	DEN 28.6% +4.6% PHX 24.0%
FTrt	8 38.3 21 34.8	DEN 37.8 +6.8 PHX 31.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 56.2% 34 51.0%	DEN 57.6% +9.1% PHX 48.5%
STL %	24 8.0% 5 10.9%	DEN 8.3% +1.2% PHX 7.1%
BLK %	23 7.7% 25 7.0%	DEN 7.5% +4.0% PHX 3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 50.6% 4 54.5%	DEN 45.9% PHX 49.0% +3.1%
Rim FG%	23 56.6% 4 62.5%	DEN 57.7% +7.7% PHX 50.0%
Mid FG%	22 38.3% 20 38.5%	DEN 35.5% +5.9% PHX 29.6%
3P %	23 32.8% 21 33.5%	DEN 28.0% PHX 38.7% +10.7%
FT %	29 68.7% 12 75.4%	DEN 51.6% PHX 73.1% +21.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 37.6% 12 36.4%	DEN 31.7% +0.8% PHX 31.0%
Mid Att. %	25 41.1% 6 31.3%	DEN 37.8% PHX 32.1% −5.7%
3P Att. %	28 21.3% 8 32.3%	DEN 30.5% PHX 36.9% +6.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	PHX
Possessions	96	98
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.9
Points	89	97
Rebounds	52	47
Assists	19	16
Steals	8	7
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (0)	35 (2)
Field Goals	33-82	33-84
At-the-Rim FG	15-26	13-26
Midrange FG	11-31	8-27
2-Point FG	26-57	21-53
3-Point FG	7-25	12-31
Free Throws	16-31	19-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg