Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, October 11, 2014

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Spurs			96	98.0	98	102.6
		Fenerbahce Ulker			90	93.8	96	91.9

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

-19

FBU

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.10 55.2%

FBU

1.03 51.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 32	36.1	22	65%	7	7	1	0	1	0	0	7	8-11	73%	7-11	64%	0-1	0%
Tim Duncan C · 6'11" 250 · 38	35.3	23	77%	7	1	0	0	5	3	3	4	5-5	100%	9-13	69%	0-0	-
Marco Belinelli G · 6'5" 210 · 29	27.8	2	14%	2	1	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Kyle Anderson F · 6'8" 230 · 21	26.8	9	64%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Austin Daye F · 6'11" 220 · 26	21.7	4	22%	2	0	3	0	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-4	0%

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 37	29.2	12	60%	8	4	0	0	4	2	1	7	7-8	88%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32	26.3	6	60%	5	3	1	0	3	2	0	5	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 23	15.8	5	50%	2	3	2	0	1	1	0	2	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
JaMychal Green F · 6'9" 227 · 24	8.1	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 28	7.2	0	0%	2	0	1	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27	5.5	6	75%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35	0.3	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Bryce Cotton G · 6'1" 165 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	55%	39	21	8	0	19	0	6	33	30-37	81%	30-54	56%	2-13	15%

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San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 32	36.1	22	65%	7	7	1	0	1	0	0	7	8-11	73%	7-11	64%	0-1	0%
Tim Duncan C · 6'11" 250 · 38	35.3	23	77%	7	1	0	0	5	3	3	4	5-5	100%	9-13	69%	0-0	-
Marco Belinelli G · 6'5" 210 · 29	27.8	2	14%	2	1	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Kyle Anderson F · 6'8" 230 · 21	26.8	9	64%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Austin Daye F · 6'11" 220 · 26	21.7	4	22%	2	0	3	0	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-4	0%

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 37	29.2	12	60%	8	4	0	0	4	2	1	7	7-8	88%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32	26.3	6	60%	5	3	1	0	3	2	0	5	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 23	15.8	5	50%	2	3	2	0	1	1	0	2	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
JaMychal Green F · 6'9" 227 · 24	8.1	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 28	7.2	0	0%	2	0	1	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27	5.5	6	75%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35	0.3	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Bryce Cotton G · 6'1" 165 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	55%	39	21	8	0	19	0	6	33	30-37	81%	30-54	56%	2-13	15%

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Istanbul Fenerbahce Ulker

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	0	90	52%	37	24	6	3	19	0	7	30	10-11	91%	31-58	53%	6-23	26%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	FBU
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	FBU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.10 55.2%

FBU

1.03 51.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

74%

FBU

88%

Midrange

SAS

30%

FBU

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

3.0

15%

23%

FBU

9.0

26%

39%

Free Throws

SAS

81%

FBU

91%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	23	77%	11.5 / 15
T. Parker	22	65%	11.0 / 17
M. Ginobili	12	60%	6.0 / 10
K. Anderson	9	64%	4.5 / 7
B. Diaw	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Ayres	6	75%	3.0 / 4
C. Joseph	5	50%	2.5 / 5
A. Daye	4	22%	2.0 / 9
J. Green	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Bonner	3	150%	1.5 / 1
M. Belinelli	2	14%	1.0 / 7
A. Baynes	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 100.4 31 93.8	SAS 98.0 +4.2 FBU 93.8
Pace	18 96.3 19 96.0	SAS 102.6 +10.8 FBU 91.9
Avg. Poss. Time	12 15.1 0 15.7	SAS 14.0 −1.6 FBU 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 50.6% 14 49.4%	SAS 49.3% FBU 49.4% +0.1%
TO %	34 21.3% 31 19.8%	SAS 18.6% FBU 18.1% −0.5%
ORB %	27 20.5% 34 17.5%	SAS 16.7% FBU 17.5% +0.8%
FTrt	2 41.9 35 13.6	SAS 55.2 +41.6 FBU 13.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 67.5% 10 64.9%	SAS 65.6% +0.7% FBU 64.9%
STL %	27 7.6% 34 6.1%	SAS 8.2% +1.9% FBU 6.3%
BLK %	31 5.9% 32 5.6%	SAS 0.0% FBU 5.6% +5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.86 and 2.86.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 55.6% 18 51.7%	SAS 55.2% +3.5% FBU 51.7%
Rim FG%	7 60.8% 1 87.5%	SAS 74.2% FBU 87.5% +13.3%
Mid FG%	1 45.7% 12 40.5%	SAS 30.4% FBU 40.5% +10.1%
3P %	30 30.1% 34 26.1%	SAS 15.4% FBU 26.1% +10.7%
FT %	5 81.2% 1 90.9%	SAS 81.1% FBU 90.9% +9.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 33.7% 35 19.8%	SAS 46.3% +26.5% FBU 19.8%
Mid Att. %	17 36.2% 34 51.9%	SAS 34.3% −17.5% FBU 51.9%
3P Att. %	13 30.1% 18 28.4%	SAS 19.4% FBU 28.4% +9.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -4.5 and 4.5.

Game Totals	SAS	FBU
Possessions	98	96
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	96	90
Rebounds	39	37
Assists	21	24
Steals	8	6
Blocks	0	3
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (0)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	30 (2)
Field Goals	32-67	37-81
At-the-Rim FG	23-31	14-16
Midrange FG	7-23	17-42
2-Point FG	30-54	31-58
3-Point FG	2-13	6-23
Free Throws	30-37	10-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg