Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, October 13, 2014

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Nuggets			90	94.7	95	104.7
		Bulls			110	118.3	93	85.1

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+12

-16

CHI

+15

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.98 48.9%

CHI

1.10 55.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 28	27.8	10	50%	8	0	0	2	1	3	3	5	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	23.9	19	73%	4	0	0	1	0	2	0	4	5-5	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	23.8	2	20%	3	7	1	0	4	3	1	2	0-4	0%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	21.2	10	63%	0	2	0	1	2	3	0	0	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 26	15.3	6	30%	2	2	2	0	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	1-4	25%

Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	20.4	0	0%	2	2	0	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 27	18.1	8	57%	4	1	0	0	1	0	3	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	14.9	4	50%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 31	14.3	2	25%	2	3	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	14.1	15	83%	3	1	0	0	1	6	1	2	1-1	100%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 30	11.0	5	63%	2	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Marcus Williams G · 6'7" 207 · 28	9.3	2	25%	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Quincy Miller F · 6'9" 210 · 22	9.0	7	58%	3	0	0	1	0	3	1	2	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 27	6.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 23	5.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jerrelle Benimon · 6'8" 245 · 23	5.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
JJ Hickson #7 · C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	49%	37	21	3	6	16	0	10	27	17-24	71%	32-63	51%	3-16	19%

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Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 28	27.8	10	50%	8	0	0	2	1	3	3	5	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	23.9	19	73%	4	0	0	1	0	2	0	4	5-5	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	23.8	2	20%	3	7	1	0	4	3	1	2	0-4	0%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	21.2	10	63%	0	2	0	1	2	3	0	0	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 26	15.3	6	30%	2	2	2	0	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	1-4	25%

Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	20.4	0	0%	2	2	0	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 27	18.1	8	57%	4	1	0	0	1	0	3	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	14.9	4	50%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 31	14.3	2	25%	2	3	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	14.1	15	83%	3	1	0	0	1	6	1	2	1-1	100%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 30	11.0	5	63%	2	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Marcus Williams G · 6'7" 207 · 28	9.3	2	25%	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Quincy Miller F · 6'9" 210 · 22	9.0	7	58%	3	0	0	1	0	3	1	2	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 27	6.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 23	5.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jerrelle Benimon · 6'8" 245 · 23	5.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
JJ Hickson #7 · C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	49%	37	21	3	6	16	0	10	27	17-24	71%	32-63	51%	3-16	19%

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Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pau Gasol F · 7'0" 250 · 34	24.1	9	38%	4	1	0	4	1	0	1	3	3-4	75%	3-10	30%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III G · 6'6" 230 · 25	21.9	21	95%	6	2	2	1	2	1	2	4	7-7	100%	7-8	88%	0-0	-
Joakim Noah C · 6'11" 230 · 30	20.6	5	63%	6	4	1	0	2	5	2	4	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Derrick Rose G · 6'3" 190 · 26	20.6	15	50%	5	5	0	0	1	2	1	4	6-6	100%	3-7	43%	1-5	20%
Mike Dunleavy F · 6'9" 230 · 34	18.7	3	75%	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%

Kirk Hinrich G · 6'4" 190 · 34	26.4	6	38%	4	2	0	1	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Taj Gibson F · 6'9" 232 · 29	26.3	15	68%	4	0	1	0	2	3	1	3	5-6	83%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott F · 6'7" 225 · 23	26.1	16	80%	5	2	0	0	1	2	0	5	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	3-4	75%
Nikola Mirotic F · 6'10" 238 · 24	22.9	12	50%	4	0	4	1	0	4	2	2	1-3	33%	4-6	67%	1-5	20%
Aaron Brooks G · 6'0" 161 · 30	22.8	6	33%	2	3	1	0	1	2	2	0	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-3	0%
Tony Snell G · 6'7" 221 · 23	5.3	2	50%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Cameron Bairstow F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24	2.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ben Hansbrough G · 6'3" 203 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Solomon Jones F · 6'10" 235 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kim English #24 · G · 6'6" 200 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	55%	45	20	10	7	11	0	12	33	32-38	84%	30-60	50%	6-19	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.98 48.9%

CHI

1.10 55.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

63%

CHI

51%

Midrange

DEN

39%

CHI

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

4.5

19%

28%

CHI

9.0

32%

47%

Free Throws

DEN

71%

CHI

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Faried	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. Nurkić	15	83%	7.5 / 9
T. Mozgov	10	50%	5.0 / 10
A. Afflalo	10	63%	5.0 / 8
W. Chandler	8	57%	4.0 / 7
Q. Miller	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. Gallinari	6	30%	3.0 / 10
N. Robinson	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Arthur	4	50%	2.0 / 4
T. Lawson	2	20%	1.0 / 5
R. Foye	2	25%	1.0 / 4
M. Williams	2	25%	1.0 / 4
G. Harris	0	-	0.0 / 2
E. Green	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	21	95%	10.5 / 11
D. McDermott	16	80%	8.0 / 10
D. Rose	15	50%	7.5 / 15
T. Gibson	15	68%	7.5 / 11
N. Mirotic	12	50%	6.0 / 12
P. Gasol	9	38%	4.5 / 12
K. Hinrich	6	38%	3.0 / 8
A. Brooks	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. Noah	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Dunleavy	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Snell	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 100.0 11 103.1	DEN 94.7 CHI 118.3 +23.5
Pace	12 97.5 30 94.3	DEN 104.7 +19.5 CHI 85.1
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.2 10 15.2	DEN 13.8 −3.2 CHI 16.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 47.5% 25 47.1%	DEN 46.2% CHI 49.4% +3.2%
TO %	18 18.1% 13 17.0%	DEN 16.0% CHI 11.1% −4.9%
ORB %	3 28.5% 13 26.1%	DEN 23.3% CHI 30.8% +7.5%
FTrt	8 38.3 10 38.0	DEN 30.4 CHI 48.1 +17.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 56.2% 20 60.7%	DEN 60.0% +4.4% CHI 55.6%
STL %	24 8.0% 26 7.7%	DEN 3.2% CHI 10.8% +7.6%
BLK %	23 7.7% 3 9.7%	DEN 10.0% CHI 11.1% +1.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 50.6% 19 51.6%	DEN 48.9% CHI 55.0% +6.1%
Rim FG%	23 56.6% 30 54.3%	DEN 62.5% +11.1% CHI 51.4%
Mid FG%	22 38.3% 26 37.7%	DEN 38.7% CHI 48.0% +9.3%
3P %	23 32.8% 19 33.9%	DEN 18.8% CHI 31.6% +12.8%
FT %	29 68.7% 8 78.4%	DEN 70.8% CHI 84.2% +13.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 37.6% 25 33.1%	DEN 40.5% CHI 44.3% +3.8%
Mid Att. %	25 41.1% 19 37.2%	DEN 39.2% CHI 31.6% −7.6%
3P Att. %	28 21.3% 15 29.8%	DEN 20.3% CHI 24.1% +3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	CHI
Possessions	95	93
Possession Minutes	21.8	26.2
Points	90	110
Rebounds	37	45
Assists	21	20
Steals	3	10
Blocks	6	7
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (3)	33 (1)
Field Goals	35-79	36-79
At-the-Rim FG	20-32	18-35
Midrange FG	12-31	12-25
2-Point FG	32-63	30-60
3-Point FG	3-16	6-19
Free Throws	17-24	32-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg