Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Hawks			109	106.9	102	97.0
		Heat			103	101.0	102	108.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 30	25.4	23	68%	5	2	1	1	1	3	2	3	5-6	83%	9-12	75%	0-2	0%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 34	24.3	17	77%	3	3	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	5-10	50%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 26	23.0	10	50%	3	5	1	0	0	3	0	3	4-6	67%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 28	22.8	10	71%	6	2	1	0	2	2	1	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 28	11.1	2	33%	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 24	18.5	4	40%	4	3	0	0	3	3	0	4	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Thabo Sefolosha F · 6'7" 220 · 30	17.9	8	67%	5	4	0	2	0	1	1	4	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 24	16.8	3	38%	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 26	15.3	10	71%	3	1	0	0	2	1	0	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 21	14.5	6	43%	1	1	0	0	3	1	0	1	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Mike Muscala F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23	11.7	2	100%	5	2	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32	11.4	9	75%	3	0	1	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 36	10.8	0	0%	5	2	0	3	2	2	2	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Adreian Payne · 6'10" 237 · 24	10.3	5	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Kent Bazemore G · 6'5" 201 · 25	6.2	0	0%	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Dexter Pittman C · 6'11" 285 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarell Eddie G-F · 6'7" 218 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	59%	45	27	5	7	21	0	9	36	18-24	75%	26-46	57%	13-34	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 30	25.4	23	68%	5	2	1	1	1	3	2	3	5-6	83%	9-12	75%	0-2	0%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 34	24.3	17	77%	3	3	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	5-10	50%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 26	23.0	10	50%	3	5	1	0	0	3	0	3	4-6	67%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 28	22.8	10	71%	6	2	1	0	2	2	1	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 28	11.1	2	33%	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 24	18.5	4	40%	4	3	0	0	3	3	0	4	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Thabo Sefolosha F · 6'7" 220 · 30	17.9	8	67%	5	4	0	2	0	1	1	4	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 24	16.8	3	38%	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 26	15.3	10	71%	3	1	0	0	2	1	0	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 21	14.5	6	43%	1	1	0	0	3	1	0	1	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Mike Muscala F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23	11.7	2	100%	5	2	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32	11.4	9	75%	3	0	1	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 36	10.8	0	0%	5	2	0	3	2	2	2	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Adreian Payne · 6'10" 237 · 24	10.3	5	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Kent Bazemore G · 6'5" 201 · 25	6.2	0	0%	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Dexter Pittman C · 6'11" 285 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarell Eddie G-F · 6'7" 218 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	59%	45	27	5	7	21	0	9	36	18-24	75%	26-46	57%	13-34	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 31	30.4	22	73%	9	2	0	1	2	2	0	9	9-12	75%	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 33	29.9	16	50%	5	5	2	0	4	3	1	4	6-9	67%	2-9	22%	2-3	67%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 26	23.8	9	64%	2	4	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 29	20.8	2	17%	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Danny Granger F · 6'9" 222 · 31	19.3	11	79%	2	1	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-6	50%

Shawne Williams F · 6'10" 230 · 29	29.9	5	31%	8	1	1	2	1	5	2	6	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Shannon Brown G · 6'3" 215 · 29	25.0	10	45%	4	0	2	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 23	24.2	12	60%	3	4	1	0	1	4	2	1	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	1-1	100%
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 24	19.2	10	50%	3	0	5	0	3	0	1	2	2-2	100%	1-7	14%	2-2	100%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36	17.6	6	60%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Justin Hamilton C · 7'0" 255 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Khem Birch C · 6'9" 220 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andre Dawkins G · 6'5" 219 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	53%	39	20	14	3	16	0	8	31	20-29	69%	25-57	44%	11-25	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.18 59.2%

MIA

1.05 52.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

16

27

59%

MIA

16

35

46%

Midrange

ATL

10

19

53%

MIA

9

22

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

13

19.5

34

38%

57%

MIA

11

16.5

25

44%

66%

Free Throws

ATL

18

24

75%

MIA

20

29

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Millsap	23	68%	11.5 / 17
K. Korver	17	77%	8.5 / 11
J. Teague	10	50%	5.0 / 10
D. Carroll	10	71%	5.0 / 7
M. Scott	10	71%	5.0 / 7
P. Antic	9	75%	4.5 / 6
T. Sefolosha	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Schröder	6	43%	3.0 / 7
A. Payne	5	50%	2.5 / 5
S. Mack	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Jenkins	3	38%	1.5 / 4
A. Horford	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Muscala	2	100%	1.0 / 1
K. Bazemore	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Bosh	22	73%	11.0 / 15
D. Wade	16	50%	8.0 / 16
S. Napier	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Granger	11	79%	5.5 / 7
S. Brown	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Ennis III	10	50%	5.0 / 10
N. Cole	9	64%	4.5 / 7
C. Andersen	6	60%	3.0 / 5
S. Williams	5	31%	2.5 / 8
L. Deng	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 102.6 5 105.6	ATL 106.9 +5.9 MIA 101.0
Pace	13 97.2 28 94.7	ATL 97.0 MIA 108.9 +11.9
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.6 2 15.6	ATL 14.9 MIA 13.2 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 50.5% 3 51.8%	ATL 56.9% +6.3% MIA 50.6%
TO %	11 16.8% 4 15.5%	ATL 18.8% MIA 14.4% −4.4%
ORB %	29 20.3% 25 21.3%	ATL 22.5% +4.3% MIA 18.2%
FTrt	18 35.6 6 38.8	ATL 30.0 MIA 35.4 +5.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 72.1% 29 54.8%	ATL 69.2% +13.6% MIA 55.6%
STL %	32 6.9% 3 11.6%	ATL 4.9% MIA 13.7% +8.8%
BLK %	14 8.3% 5 9.4%	ATL 12.3% +5.8% MIA 6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 53.6% 6 54.5%	ATL 59.2% +6.6% MIA 52.6%
Rim FG%	32 54.0% 9 60.1%	ATL 59.3% +13.6% MIA 45.7%
Mid FG%	4 42.5% 2 43.9%	ATL 52.6% +11.7% MIA 40.9%
3P %	9 36.3% 13 35.4%	ATL 38.2% MIA 44.0% +5.8%
FT %	15 75.1% 14 75.2%	ATL 75.0% +6.0% MIA 69.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 35.7% 26 31.7%	ATL 33.8% MIA 42.7% +8.9%
Mid Att. %	7 31.4% 21 38.0%	ATL 23.8% −3.1% MIA 26.8%
3P Att. %	7 32.9% 11 30.3%	ATL 42.5% +12.0% MIA 30.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MIA
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.5
Points	109	103
Rebounds	45	39
Assists	27	20
Steals	5	14
Blocks	7	3
Turnovers (Team)	21 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (2)	31 (1)
Field Goals	39-80	36-82
At-the-Rim FG	16-27	16-35
Midrange FG	10-19	9-22
2-Point FG	26-46	25-57
3-Point FG	13-34	11-25
Free Throws	18-24	20-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg