Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Nuggets			101	95.3	106	100.4
		Warriors			104	99.0	105	111.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	27.3	11	69%	5	1	1	0	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-1	100%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 28	27.1	18	90%	6	1	2	1	4	2	2	4	7-8	88%	4-7	57%	1-1	100%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	26.4	8	36%	1	10	1	0	2	0	0	1	5-6	83%	0-5	0%	1-3	33%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 27	25.8	18	69%	3	1	4	0	1	2	1	2	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	3-6	50%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	23.6	11	46%	7	1	1	0	2	0	3	4	1-1	100%	5-12	42%	0-0	-

Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 23	21.6	12	50%	2	1	2	1	3	3	0	2	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	0-3	0%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	20.9	5	50%	8	1	1	3	6	5	2	6	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	20.7	10	50%	3	1	0	0	2	4	1	2	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 27	17.1	2	33%	6	1	0	0	4	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	16.4	6	75%	6	0	2	0	1	5	3	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Quincy Miller F · 6'9" 210 · 22	8.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Marcus Williams G · 6'7" 207 · 28	5.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jerrelle Benimon · 6'8" 245 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	55%	50	18	14	5	29	0	15	35	22-30	73%	29-61	48%	7-18	39%

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Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	27.3	11	69%	5	1	1	0	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-1	100%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 28	27.1	18	90%	6	1	2	1	4	2	2	4	7-8	88%	4-7	57%	1-1	100%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	26.4	8	36%	1	10	1	0	2	0	0	1	5-6	83%	0-5	0%	1-3	33%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 27	25.8	18	69%	3	1	4	0	1	2	1	2	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	3-6	50%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	23.6	11	46%	7	1	1	0	2	0	3	4	1-1	100%	5-12	42%	0-0	-

Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 23	21.6	12	50%	2	1	2	1	3	3	0	2	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	0-3	0%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	20.9	5	50%	8	1	1	3	6	5	2	6	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 20	20.7	10	50%	3	1	0	0	2	4	1	2	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 27	17.1	2	33%	6	1	0	0	4	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	16.4	6	75%	6	0	2	0	1	5	3	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Quincy Miller F · 6'9" 210 · 22	8.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Marcus Williams G · 6'7" 207 · 28	5.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jerrelle Benimon · 6'8" 245 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	55%	50	18	14	5	29	0	15	35	22-30	73%	29-61	48%	7-18	39%

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Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes F · 6'7" 225 · 22	35.2	5	31%	5	1	2	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Draymond Green F · 6'6" 230 · 25	25.7	9	64%	4	1	0	0	3	2	0	4	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Klay Thompson G · 6'5" 220 · 25	17.4	18	82%	4	5	1	2	3	1	0	4	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	3-4	75%
Stephen Curry G · 6'2" 185 · 27	17.4	13	72%	1	4	1	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-3	100%
Ognjen Kuzmic C · 7'0" 260 · 24	16.7	10	83%	4	1	0	0	0	5	2	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-

Andre Iguodala G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31	24.8	4	29%	6	4	2	1	4	1	0	6	2-6	33%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Marreese Speights F-C · 6'10" 255 · 27	21.4	6	33%	5	1	1	0	1	4	2	3	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
James Michael McAdoo · 6'9" 230 · 22	20.3	20	77%	7	0	2	0	1	1	4	3	6-7	86%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Nemanja Nedovic G · 6'3" 192 · 23	18.6	9	56%	2	1	3	0	4	2	1	1	3-5	60%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Leandro Barbosa G · 6'3" 194 · 32	10.4	5	50%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Justin Holiday G · 6'6" 185 · 26	8.5	2	25%	0	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Brandon Rush G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29	6.5	0	0%	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jason Kapono F · 6'8" 215 · 34	5.1	3	150%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Festus Ezeli C · 6'11" 265 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Shaun Livingston G · 6'7" 192 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andrew Bogut C · 7'0" 260 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	228	104	55%	40	24	14	6	24	0	9	31	16-24	67%	32-61	52%	8-20	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	GSW

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.10 54.9%

GSW

1.11 55.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

13

28

46%

GSW

22

35

63%

Midrange

DEN

16

33

48%

GSW

10

26

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

7

10.5

18

39%

58%

GSW

8

12.0

20

40%

60%

Free Throws

DEN

22

30

73%

GSW

16

24

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Mozgov	18	90%	9.0 / 10
W. Chandler	18	69%	9.0 / 13
E. Green	12	50%	6.0 / 12
A. Afflalo	11	69%	5.5 / 8
K. Faried	11	46%	5.5 / 12
G. Harris	10	50%	5.0 / 10
T. Lawson	8	36%	4.0 / 11
D. Arthur	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Nurkić	5	50%	2.5 / 5
A. Gee	2	33%	1.0 / 3
Q. Miller	0	-	0.0 / 2
M. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. McAdoo	20	77%	10.0 / 13
K. Thompson	18	82%	9.0 / 11
S. Curry	13	72%	6.5 / 9
O. Kuzmic	10	83%	5.0 / 6
D. Green	9	64%	4.5 / 7
N. Nedovic	9	56%	4.5 / 8
M. Speights	6	33%	3.0 / 9
H. Barnes	5	31%	2.5 / 8
L. Barbosa	5	50%	2.5 / 5
A. Iguodala	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Kapono	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Holiday	2	25%	1.0 / 4
B. Rush	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 100.0 2 111.0	DEN 95.3 GSW 99.0 +3.8
Pace	12 97.5 3 100.1	DEN 100.4 GSW 111.2 +10.8
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.2 29 13.9	DEN 14.3 GSW 13.0 −1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 47.5% 1 57.6%	DEN 50.0% GSW 54.3% +4.3%
TO %	18 18.1% 25 19.3%	DEN 23.9% GSW 20.8% −3.1%
ORB %	3 28.5% 24 21.5%	DEN 32.6% +12.1% GSW 20.5%
FTrt	8 38.3 11 37.8	DEN 38.0 +8.4 GSW 29.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 56.2% 4 70.5%	DEN 50.0% GSW 60.0% +10.0%
STL %	24 8.0% 12 9.5%	DEN 13.2% GSW 13.3% +0.1%
BLK %	23 7.7% 11 8.9%	DEN 8.2% GSW 9.8% +1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.15 and 3.15.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 50.6% 1 60.0%	DEN 54.9% GSW 55.3% +0.4%
Rim FG%	23 56.6% 2 70.6%	DEN 46.4% GSW 62.9% +16.5%
Mid FG%	22 38.3% 3 43.3%	DEN 48.5% +10.0% GSW 38.5%
3P %	23 32.8% 2 39.3%	DEN 38.9% GSW 40.0% +1.1%
FT %	29 68.7% 20 72.3%	DEN 73.3% +6.6% GSW 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 37.6% 19 33.9%	DEN 35.4% GSW 43.2% +7.8%
Mid Att. %	25 41.1% 10 33.8%	DEN 41.8% GSW 32.1% −9.7%
3P Att. %	28 21.3% 9 32.3%	DEN 22.8% GSW 24.7% +1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.04 and 3.04.

Game Totals	DEN	GSW
Possessions	106	105
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.7
Points	101	104
Rebounds	50	40
Assists	18	24
Steals	14	14
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	29 (0)	24 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (0)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (0)	31 (2)
Field Goals	36-79	40-81
At-the-Rim FG	13-28	22-35
Midrange FG	16-33	10-26
2-Point FG	29-61	32-61
3-Point FG	7-18	8-20
Free Throws	22-30	16-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg