Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Rockets			90	96.8	93	96.8
		Magic			89	94.7	94	90.4

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+19

-12

100

ORL

+13

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.90 45.0%

ORL

0.97 48.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kostas Papanikolaou F · 6'8" 235 · 24	30.6	5	31%	1	5	1	1	2	4	1	0	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Terrence Jones F · 6'9" 252 · 23	27.6	9	41%	8	2	2	4	2	1	4	4	0-0	-	3-9	33%	1-2	50%
Patrick Beverley G · 6'1" 185 · 26	18.5	9	64%	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 25	17.8	9	50%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Tarik Black C · 6'9" 250 · 23	15.3	10	71%	8	0	0	0	1	5	3	5	2-4	50%	4-5	80%	0-0	-

Troy Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 23	34.1	14	47%	5	1	1	0	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-13	31%
Donatas Motiejunas F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24	23.4	0	0%	4	1	0	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-6	0%	0-5	0%
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 26	17.5	4	40%	4	2	0	0	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Joey Dorsey · 6'8" 268 · 31	14.8	4	67%	4	0	0	3	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Nick Johnson G · 6'3" 202 · 22	14.7	9	50%	5	1	1	0	1	1	1	4	5-7	71%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Canaan G · 6'0" 200 · 23	13.7	14	70%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Jeff Adrien · 6'7" 245 · 29	12.0	3	75%	7	0	0	0	0	3	0	7	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Clint Capela C · 6'10" 256 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Trevor Ariza F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Powell F · 6'9" 240 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Robert Covington F · 6'9" 225 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	45%	47	18	7	8	12	0	13	34	19-27	70%	22-51	43%	9-34	26%

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Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kostas Papanikolaou F · 6'8" 235 · 24	30.6	5	31%	1	5	1	1	2	4	1	0	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Terrence Jones F · 6'9" 252 · 23	27.6	9	41%	8	2	2	4	2	1	4	4	0-0	-	3-9	33%	1-2	50%
Patrick Beverley G · 6'1" 185 · 26	18.5	9	64%	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 25	17.8	9	50%	1	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Tarik Black C · 6'9" 250 · 23	15.3	10	71%	8	0	0	0	1	5	3	5	2-4	50%	4-5	80%	0-0	-

Troy Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 23	34.1	14	47%	5	1	1	0	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-13	31%
Donatas Motiejunas F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24	23.4	0	0%	4	1	0	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-6	0%	0-5	0%
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 26	17.5	4	40%	4	2	0	0	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Joey Dorsey · 6'8" 268 · 31	14.8	4	67%	4	0	0	3	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Nick Johnson G · 6'3" 202 · 22	14.7	9	50%	5	1	1	0	1	1	1	4	5-7	71%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Canaan G · 6'0" 200 · 23	13.7	14	70%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Jeff Adrien · 6'7" 245 · 29	12.0	3	75%	7	0	0	0	0	3	0	7	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Clint Capela C · 6'10" 256 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Trevor Ariza F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Powell F · 6'9" 240 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Robert Covington F · 6'9" 225 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	45%	47	18	7	8	12	0	13	34	19-27	70%	22-51	43%	9-34	26%

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Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luke Ridnour G · 6'2" 175 · 34	22.2	4	67%	4	2	0	1	2	2	2	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Tobias Harris F · 6'8" 226 · 22	21.8	4	22%	3	1	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Maurice Harkless G · 6'9" 220 · 21	21.8	11	61%	3	0	1	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	2-2	100%
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 24	18.1	12	86%	6	0	1	2	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Kyle O'Quinn F · 6'10" 250 · 25	17.1	4	22%	5	3	1	2	2	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-1	0%

Dewayne Dedmon C · 7'0" 245 · 25	27.4	4	67%	9	1	0	3	1	3	0	9	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Evan Fournier G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22	22.1	6	50%	3	3	0	0	3	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 25	20.9	10	42%	5	1	0	1	1	4	1	4	2-4	50%	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Elfrid Payton G · 6'4" 185 · 21	19.8	7	70%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	5-5	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Aaron Gordon F · 6'8" 235 · 19	14.1	7	58%	4	1	0	1	0	1	1	3	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Ben Gordon G · 6'3" 205 · 32	14.1	11	92%	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Willie Green G · 6'3" 205 · 33	12.0	7	35%	2	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-3	33%
Devyn Marble F · 6'6" 200 · 22	8.7	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Victor Oladipo G · 6'4" 210 · 22	\| DND - Sprained Right MCL
Channing Frye F · 6'11" 255 · 31	\| DND - Sprained Left MCL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	48%	47	18	3	10	15	0	10	37	15-20	75%	31-65	48%	4-15	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.90 45.0%

ORL

0.97 48.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

59%

ORL

56%

Midrange

HOU

23%

ORL

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

13.5

26%

40%

ORL

6.0

27%

40%

Free Throws

HOU

70%

ORL

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Daniels	14	47%	7.0 / 15
I. Canaan	14	70%	7.0 / 10
T. Black	10	71%	5.0 / 7
T. Jones	9	41%	4.5 / 11
P. Beverley	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Harden	9	50%	4.5 / 9
N. Johnson	9	50%	4.5 / 9
K. Papanikolaou	5	31%	2.5 / 8
I. Smith	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Dorsey	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Adrien	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Motiejunas	0	-	0.0 / 11

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Vučević	12	86%	6.0 / 7
M. Harkless	11	61%	5.5 / 9
B. Gordon	11	92%	5.5 / 6
A. Nicholson	10	42%	5.0 / 12
E. Payton	7	70%	3.5 / 5
A. Gordon	7	58%	3.5 / 6
W. Green	7	35%	3.5 / 10
E. Fournier	6	50%	3.0 / 6
L. Ridnour	4	67%	2.0 / 3
T. Harris	4	22%	2.0 / 9
K. O'Quinn	4	22%	2.0 / 9
D. Dedmon	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Marble	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 100.3 24 98.1	HOU 96.8 +2.1 ORL 94.7
Pace	16 97.1 17 97.1	HOU 96.8 +6.4 ORL 90.4
Avg. Poss. Time	25 14.3 20 14.5	HOU 14.9 −1.1 ORL 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 46.9% 17 48.9%	HOU 41.8% ORL 46.3% +4.5%
TO %	17 18.0% 22 18.7%	HOU 11.8% −4.3% ORL 16.1%
ORB %	2 28.6% 12 26.5%	HOU 26.0% +3.3% ORL 22.7%
FTrt	12 37.6 32 26.2	HOU 31.8 +6.8 ORL 25.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	33 51.5% 25 56.5%	HOU 58.1% +6.7% ORL 51.4%
STL %	2 11.6% 20 8.6%	HOU 7.5% +4.3% ORL 3.2%
BLK %	24 7.6% 1 10.4%	HOU 12.3% ORL 19.6% +7.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 49.4% 26 50.3%	HOU 45.0% ORL 48.4% +3.4%
Rim FG%	25 56.1% 27 56.0%	HOU 58.6% +3.0% ORL 55.6%
Mid FG%	35 27.4% 8 42.0%	HOU 22.7% ORL 42.1% +19.4%
3P %	15 34.6% 24 32.5%	HOU 26.5% ORL 26.7% +0.2%
FT %	32 67.8% 34 67.4%	HOU 70.4% ORL 75.0% +4.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 37.7% 4 40.1%	HOU 34.1% +0.4% ORL 33.8%
Mid Att. %	2 26.8% 24 41.0%	HOU 25.9% −21.6% ORL 47.5%
3P Att. %	3 35.4% 32 18.9%	HOU 40.0% +21.3% ORL 18.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Game Totals	HOU	ORL
Possessions	93	94
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	90	89
Rebounds	47	47
Assists	18	18
Steals	7	3
Blocks	8	10
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (6)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	37 (3)
Field Goals	31-85	35-80
At-the-Rim FG	17-29	15-27
Midrange FG	5-22	16-38
2-Point FG	22-51	31-65
3-Point FG	9-34	4-15
Free Throws	19-27	15-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg