Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Heat			106	114.0	93	94.2
		Wizards			95	97.9	97	95.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	23.4	12	75%	2	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-5	40%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	23.0	20	71%	13	0	0	3	1	2	0	13	2-5	40%	9-12	75%	0-0	-
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 30	21.6	9	64%	3	5	2	1	3	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 27	20.2	14	117%	4	1	1	0	2	4	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-5	80%
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 24	17.3	6	43%	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%

Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 25	23.1	7	39%	3	2	1	0	2	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	21.6	12	60%	1	8	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-1	0%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Briante Weber G · 6'2" 165 · 24	21.3	4	40%	3	5	2	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	19.3	6	60%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	18.4	7	58%	7	1	1	0	1	2	1	6	1-3	33%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	16.2	6	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Rodney McGruder G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25	5.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 26	5.7	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Okaro White F · 6'8" 215 · 24	3.1	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Keith Benson F-C · 6'11" 230 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	61%	46	27	8	4	15	0	5	41	9-15	60%	32-55	58%	11-23	48%

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Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	23.4	12	75%	2	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-5	40%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	23.0	20	71%	13	0	0	3	1	2	0	13	2-5	40%	9-12	75%	0-0	-
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 30	21.6	9	64%	3	5	2	1	3	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 27	20.2	14	117%	4	1	1	0	2	4	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-5	80%
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 24	17.3	6	43%	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%

Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 25	23.1	7	39%	3	2	1	0	2	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	21.6	12	60%	1	8	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-1	0%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Briante Weber G · 6'2" 165 · 24	21.3	4	40%	3	5	2	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	19.3	6	60%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	18.4	7	58%	7	1	1	0	1	2	1	6	1-3	33%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	16.2	6	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Rodney McGruder G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25	5.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 26	5.7	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Okaro White F · 6'8" 215 · 24	3.1	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Keith Benson F-C · 6'11" 230 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	61%	46	27	8	4	15	0	5	41	9-15	60%	32-55	58%	11-23	48%

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Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	29.4	14	50%	2	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	1-5	20%
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 27	27.1	11	61%	4	3	0	0	1	3	2	2	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	2-3	67%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	19.9	10	42%	6	1	0	0	2	1	3	3	0-1	0%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 23	16.9	5	42%	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-1	100%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 23	15.7	12	60%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	1-1	100%

Tomas Satoransky G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	31.4	8	50%	5	6	1	0	2	0	0	5	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21	25.2	16	62%	4	1	3	0	0	2	1	3	4-7	57%	3-8	38%	2-2	100%
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 27	22.0	8	40%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Sheldon Mac G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	14.6	3	50%	4	0	1	0	0	1	0	4	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Johnny O'Bryant III F-C · 6'9" 257 · 23	11.1	5	63%	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jarell Eddie G-F · 6'7" 218 · 25	10.8	3	30%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31	9.8	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	3.1	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Danuel House Jr. F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23	3.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Casper Ware · 5'10" 175 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	48%	40	21	7	0	10	0	10	30	17-23	74%	27-70	39%	8-19	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.22 60.9%

WAS

0.95 47.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

22

36

61%

WAS

14

24

58%

Midrange

MIA

10

19

53%

WAS

13

46

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

11

16.5

23

48%

72%

WAS

8

12.0

19

42%

63%

Free Throws

MIA

9

15

60%

WAS

17

23

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside	20	71%	10.0 / 14
L. Babbitt	14	117%	7.0 / 6
J. Winslow	12	75%	6.0 / 8
D. Waiters	12	60%	6.0 / 10
G. Dragic	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Williams	7	39%	3.5 / 9
J. Johnson	7	58%	3.5 / 6
T. Johnson	6	43%	3.0 / 7
U. Haslem	6	60%	3.0 / 5
W. Ellington	6	100%	3.0 / 3
B. Weber	4	40%	2.0 / 5
O. White	3	50%	1.5 / 3
W. Reed	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Oubre	16	62%	8.0 / 13
T. Burke	14	50%	7.0 / 14
B. Beal	12	60%	6.0 / 10
M. Morris	11	61%	5.5 / 9
M. Gortat	10	42%	5.0 / 12
T. Satoransky	8	50%	4.0 / 8
A. Nicholson	8	40%	4.0 / 10
O. Porter Jr.	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. O'Bryant III	5	63%	2.5 / 4
S. Mac	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Eddie	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 3
D. House	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 105.4 10 105.1	MIA 114.0 +16.0 WAS 97.9
Pace	19 99.2 28 98.0	MIA 94.2 WAS 95.8 +1.6
Avg. Poss. Time	5 14.9 12 14.6	MIA 15.3 WAS 15.0 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 53.4% 15 50.2%	MIA 62.2% +18.4% WAS 43.8%
TO %	9 15.3% 3 14.0%	MIA 15.9% WAS 9.2% −6.7%
ORB %	29 19.5% 15 23.6%	MIA 14.3% WAS 19.6% +5.3%
FTrt	23 29.1 28 25.9	MIA 19.2 WAS 25.8 +6.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 56.5% 22 57.5%	MIA 62.8% +2.8% WAS 60.0%
STL %	19 8.6% 3 11.9%	MIA 8.6% +1.4% WAS 7.2%
BLK %	4 10.3% 29 5.5%	MIA 5.7% +5.7% WAS 0.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 54.4% 20 51.8%	MIA 60.9% +13.4% WAS 47.5%
Rim FG%	4 66.2% 5 62.9%	MIA 61.1% +2.8% WAS 58.3%
Mid FG%	20 37.3% 10 39.7%	MIA 52.6% +24.3% WAS 28.3%
3P %	12 36.8% 23 32.1%	MIA 47.8% +5.7% WAS 42.1%
FT %	35 66.3% 31 71.0%	MIA 60.0% WAS 73.9% +13.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 34.8% 16 35.4%	MIA 46.2% +19.2% WAS 27.0%
Mid Att. %	10 31.5% 32 38.2%	MIA 24.4% −27.3% WAS 51.7%
3P Att. %	11 33.6% 29 26.4%	MIA 29.5% +8.1% WAS 21.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.

Game Totals	MIA	WAS
Possessions	93	97
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	106	95
Rebounds	46	40
Assists	27	21
Steals	8	7
Blocks	4	0
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (0)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (3)	30 (3)
Field Goals	43-78	35-89
At-the-Rim FG	22-36	14-24
Midrange FG	10-19	13-46
2-Point FG	32-55	27-70
3-Point FG	11-23	8-19
Free Throws	9-15	17-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg