Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, October 4, 2016

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Kings			84	84.0	100	96.3
		Lakers			103	102.0	101	105.1

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+11

-18

LAL

+14

-20

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.88 44.2%

LAL

1.07 53.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 31	18.3	14	78%	5	0	1	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 30	16.0	8	67%	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
DeMarcus Cousins F · 6'11" 270 · 26	15.3	11	69%	6	4	0	1	3	1	1	5	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 28	14.2	2	25%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Darren Collison G · 6'2" 185 · 29	12.1	2	50%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Garrett Temple G-F · 6'5" 195 · 30	23.6	8	36%	2	0	1	0	3	2	1	1	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 29	22.1	4	40%	3	2	0	0	3	3	0	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Willie Cauley-Stein C · 7'0" 240 · 23	18.8	4	50%	4	3	1	0	2	3	1	3	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Georgios Papagiannis C · 7'1" 240 · 19	15.9	3	30%	2	1	0	0	1	3	1	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Omri Casspi F · 6'9" 225 · 28	15.5	8	40%	3	1	2	0	1	0	0	3	3-5	60%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Ben McLemore G · 6'5" 195 · 24	15.1	7	35%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 31	14.9	4	40%	1	1	0	0	0	5	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Skal Labissière F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21	14.9	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Malachi Richardson G · 6'6" 205 · 21	12.0	5	50%	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Lamar Patterson G-F · 6'5" 225 · 25	11.2	4	50%	2	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Cousins G · 6'4" 191 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Farmar G · 6'2" 180 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Matt Barnes F · 6'7" 226 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	44%	38	16	9	3	18	0	7	31	23-31	74%	23-59	39%	5-19	26%

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Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 31	18.3	14	78%	5	0	1	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 30	16.0	8	67%	4	3	2	1	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
DeMarcus Cousins F · 6'11" 270 · 26	15.3	11	69%	6	4	0	1	3	1	1	5	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 28	14.2	2	25%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Darren Collison G · 6'2" 185 · 29	12.1	2	50%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Garrett Temple G-F · 6'5" 195 · 30	23.6	8	36%	2	0	1	0	3	2	1	1	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 29	22.1	4	40%	3	2	0	0	3	3	0	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Willie Cauley-Stein C · 7'0" 240 · 23	18.8	4	50%	4	3	1	0	2	3	1	3	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Georgios Papagiannis C · 7'1" 240 · 19	15.9	3	30%	2	1	0	0	1	3	1	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Omri Casspi F · 6'9" 225 · 28	15.5	8	40%	3	1	2	0	1	0	0	3	3-5	60%	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Ben McLemore G · 6'5" 195 · 24	15.1	7	35%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 31	14.9	4	40%	1	1	0	0	0	5	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Skal Labissière F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21	14.9	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Malachi Richardson G · 6'6" 205 · 21	12.0	5	50%	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Lamar Patterson G-F · 6'5" 225 · 25	11.2	4	50%	2	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Isaiah Cousins G · 6'4" 191 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Farmar G · 6'2" 180 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Matt Barnes F · 6'7" 226 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	44%	38	16	9	3	18	0	7	31	23-31	74%	23-59	39%	5-19	26%

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Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
D'Angelo Russell G · 6'3" 193 · 21	24.7	4	25%	2	3	3	0	5	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 30	21.5	6	60%	9	2	0	0	1	1	3	6	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 30	20.8	15	63%	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	11-12	92%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Julius Randle F · 6'9" 250 · 22	18.9	6	50%	7	0	0	0	4	5	1	6	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 31	16.3	8	50%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%

Brandon Ingram F · 6'8" 190 · 19	26.7	2	14%	2	1	1	2	1	2	0	2	2-4	50%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Larry Nance Jr. F-C · 6'6" 245 · 24	24.0	9	50%	4	2	2	3	0	3	2	2	2-6	33%	2-5	40%	1-1	100%
Jordan Clarkson G · 6'5" 194 · 24	20.1	12	55%	6	1	1	0	1	2	0	6	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Tarik Black F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25	16.2	15	94%	5	1	1	1	2	4	2	3	5-8	63%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 35	10.9	5	83%	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Marcelo Huertas G · 6'3" 200 · 33	7.4	0	0%	0	2	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Thomas Robinson F · 6'10" 237 · 26	7.4	8	100%	7	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	2-4	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Anthony Brown F · 6'7" 224 · 24	7.0	10	125%	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-2	100%
Ivica Zubac C · 7'0" 240 · 20	5.1	0	0%	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Travis Wear F · 6'10" 225 · 26	5.1	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Yi Jianlian F · 7'0" 250 · 29	2.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Metta World Peace F · 6'7" 260 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Nick Young G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	235	103	54%	52	19	10	7	20	0	12	40	27-43	63%	26-48	54%	8-26	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.88 44.2%

LAL

1.07 53.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

46%

LAL

67%

Midrange

SAC

33%

LAL

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

7.5

26%

39%

LAL

12.0

31%

46%

Free Throws

SAC

74%

LAL

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Afflalo	14	78%	7.0 / 9
D. Cousins	11	69%	5.5 / 8
R. Gay	8	67%	4.0 / 6
G. Temple	8	36%	4.0 / 11
O. Casspi	8	40%	4.0 / 10
B. McLemore	7	35%	3.5 / 10
M. Richardson	5	50%	2.5 / 5
T. Lawson	4	40%	2.0 / 5
W. Cauley-Stein	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Tolliver	4	40%	2.0 / 5
L. Patterson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
G. Papagiannis	3	30%	1.5 / 5
K. Koufos	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Collison	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Labissière	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Williams	15	63%	7.5 / 12
T. Black	15	94%	7.5 / 8
J. Clarkson	12	55%	6.0 / 11
A. Brown	10	125%	5.0 / 4
L. Nance	9	50%	4.5 / 9
L. Deng	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. Robinson	8	100%	4.0 / 4
T. Mozgov	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Randle	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Calderon	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Russell	4	25%	2.0 / 8
T. Wear	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Ingram	2	14%	1.0 / 7
M. Huertas	0	-	0.0 / 1
I. Zubac	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Yi	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 106.6 18 101.9	SAC 84.0 LAL 102.0 +18.0
Pace	12 100.9 7 102.7	SAC 96.3 LAL 105.1 +8.8
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.1 24 13.9	SAC 15.0 LAL 13.7 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 56.4% 13 50.4%	SAC 39.1% LAL 51.4% +12.3%
TO %	32 20.5% 11 15.9%	SAC 17.9% LAL 17.7% −0.2%
ORB %	26 20.9% 24 21.1%	SAC 14.9% LAL 27.9% +13.0%
FTrt	15 32.2 12 32.6	SAC 39.7 LAL 58.1 +18.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 63.1% 21 57.7%	SAC 57.1% +1.2% LAL 55.9%
STL %	2 12.3% 13 9.6%	SAC 9.0% LAL 9.9% +0.9%
BLK %	18 8.1% 27 6.1%	SAC 6.3% LAL 11.9% +5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 58.9% 19 51.8%	SAC 44.2% LAL 53.6% +9.4%
Rim FG%	2 68.0% 10 60.2%	SAC 46.2% LAL 66.7% +20.5%
Mid FG%	13 39.2% 12 39.3%	SAC 33.3% LAL 38.1% +4.8%
3P %	4 42.9% 16 35.7%	SAC 26.3% LAL 30.8% +4.5%
FT %	5 78.7% 34 66.4%	SAC 74.2% +11.4% LAL 62.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 36.3% 30 29.7%	SAC 33.3% LAL 36.5% +3.2%
Mid Att. %	24 36.7% 20 36.4%	SAC 42.3% LAL 28.4% −13.9%
3P Att. %	24 27.0% 10 33.9%	SAC 24.4% LAL 35.1% +10.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Game Totals	SAC	LAL
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	84	103
Rebounds	38	52
Assists	16	19
Steals	9	10
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	18 (2)	20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (4)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	40 (1)
Field Goals	28-78	34-74
At-the-Rim FG	12-26	18-27
Midrange FG	11-33	8-21
2-Point FG	23-59	26-48
3-Point FG	5-19	8-26
Free Throws	23-31	27-43
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg