Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, October 6, 2016

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Wizards			125	109.6	114	96.5
		76ers			119	104.4	114	92.3

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

101

+19

-13

120

PHI

+15

-22

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.02 51.2%

PHI

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 23	27.6	8	50%	6	1	0	0	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	25.3	17	61%	6	2	1	0	1	2	4	2	1-1	100%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 23	23.4	9	35%	1	2	2	0	1	0	1	0	2-3	67%	2-9	22%	1-3	33%
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 27	21.9	12	43%	2	4	1	0	2	3	0	2	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-3	0%
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	20.6	7	70%	3	1	1	0	2	1	0	3	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%

Tomas Satoransky G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	39.9	10	45%	6	6	2	0	1	5	1	5	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-1	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21	32.5	24	75%	2	3	2	1	3	3	0	2	6-8	75%	6-9	67%	2-3	67%
Sheldon Mac G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	32.1	20	63%	3	4	1	0	2	3	1	2	8-11	73%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	20.7	5	63%	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Danuel House Jr. F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23	17.3	5	36%	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31	16.8	4	33%	7	3	0	0	0	1	2	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Ian Mahinmi C · 6'11" 262 · 30	12.0	4	67%	2	2	2	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jarell Eddie G-F · 6'7" 218 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Johnny O'Bryant III F-C · 6'9" 257 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Casper Ware · 5'10" 175 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 26	\| DND - Knee Surgery
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29	\| DND - Sprained Right Thumb
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	125	51%	45	30	13	1	13	0	13	32	22-30	73%	44-82	54%	5-20	25%

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Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 23	27.6	8	50%	6	1	0	0	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	25.3	17	61%	6	2	1	0	1	2	4	2	1-1	100%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 23	23.4	9	35%	1	2	2	0	1	0	1	0	2-3	67%	2-9	22%	1-3	33%
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 27	21.9	12	43%	2	4	1	0	2	3	0	2	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-3	0%
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	20.6	7	70%	3	1	1	0	2	1	0	3	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%

Tomas Satoransky G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	39.9	10	45%	6	6	2	0	1	5	1	5	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-1	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21	32.5	24	75%	2	3	2	1	3	3	0	2	6-8	75%	6-9	67%	2-3	67%
Sheldon Mac G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	32.1	20	63%	3	4	1	0	2	3	1	2	8-11	73%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	20.7	5	63%	4	2	0	0	0	2	2	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Danuel House Jr. F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23	17.3	5	36%	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31	16.8	4	33%	7	3	0	0	0	1	2	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Ian Mahinmi C · 6'11" 262 · 30	12.0	4	67%	2	2	2	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jarell Eddie G-F · 6'7" 218 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Johnny O'Bryant III F-C · 6'9" 257 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Casper Ware · 5'10" 175 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 26	\| DND - Knee Surgery
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29	\| DND - Sprained Right Thumb
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	125	51%	45	30	13	1	13	0	13	32	22-30	73%	44-82	54%	5-20	25%

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Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
T.J. McConnell G · 6'1" 190 · 25	34.7	12	50%	1	7	2	0	5	2	0	1	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Robert Covington F · 6'9" 225 · 26	24.7	9	64%	3	2	1	0	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Dario Šarić F · 6'10" 225 · 22	18.2	14	88%	4	0	1	0	2	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-3	67%
Gerald Henderson G · 6'5" 215 · 29	12.3	3	38%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Joel Embiid C · 7'0" 270 · 23	12.3	5	36%	3	0	0	1	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-

Richaun Holmes F · 6'9" 235 · 23	37.6	20	67%	12	2	2	2	2	1	6	6	4-4	100%	8-13	62%	0-1	0%
Hollis Thompson F · 6'8" 206 · 26	29.3	15	68%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	3-8	38%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot G-F · 6'6" 200 · 21	28.8	7	39%	4	0	0	0	2	6	2	2	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Jerami Grant F · 6'7" 213 · 23	27.6	17	77%	4	5	0	1	1	2	1	3	2-4	50%	6-8	75%	1-1	100%
Shawn Long F · 6'9" 255 · 24	20.7	6	43%	3	0	0	0	2	4	2	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Sergio Rodriguez G · 6'3" 176 · 30	18.8	4	50%	4	5	0	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
James Webb III F · 6'9" 202 · 23	15.2	4	40%	2	0	0	2	1	5	1	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Brandon Paul G · 6'4" 200 · 25	9.8	3	38%	2	2	1	0	1	2	0	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jahlil Okafor C · 6'11" 260 · 21	\| DND - Right Knee Soreness
Ben Simmons G-F · 6'10" 230 · 20	\| NWT - Acute Fracture, right foot
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 38	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Nik Stauskas G · 6'6" 205 · 23	\| DND - Left Hamstring Strain
Cat Barber G · 6'1" 173 · 22	\| DND - Right Hand/Wrist Injury
Nerlens Noel C · 6'11" 220 · 22	\| DND - Left Groin Strain
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 28	\| DND - Left Wrist Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	119	55%	45	25	7	6	22	0	12	33	18-23	78%	37-66	56%	9-28	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	PHI

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.02 51.2%

PHI

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

67%

PHI

67%

Midrange

WAS

42%

PHI

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

7.5

25%

38%

PHI

13.5

32%

48%

Free Throws

WAS

73%

PHI

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Oubre	24	75%	12.0 / 16
S. Mac	20	63%	10.0 / 16
M. Gortat	17	61%	8.5 / 14
M. Morris	12	43%	6.0 / 14
T. Satoransky	10	45%	5.0 / 11
B. Beal	9	35%	4.5 / 13
O. Porter Jr.	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. Burke	7	70%	3.5 / 5
D. Ochefu	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. House	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Smith	4	33%	2.0 / 6
I. Mahinmi	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Holmes	20	67%	10.0 / 15
J. Grant	17	77%	8.5 / 11
H. Thompson	15	68%	7.5 / 11
D. Šarić	14	88%	7.0 / 8
T. McConnell	12	50%	6.0 / 12
R. Covington	9	64%	4.5 / 7
T. Luwawu-Cabarrot	7	39%	3.5 / 9
S. Long	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Embiid	5	36%	2.5 / 7
S. Rodriguez	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Webb III	4	40%	2.0 / 5
G. Henderson	3	38%	1.5 / 4
B. Paul	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 105.1 31 93.9	WAS 109.6 +5.3 PHI 104.4
Pace	28 98.0 16 99.9	WAS 96.5 +4.1 PHI 92.3
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.6 8 14.7	WAS 14.9 −0.7 PHI 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 50.2% 33 44.7%	WAS 50.5% PHI 53.7% +3.2%
TO %	3 14.0% 29 19.2%	WAS 10.8% −7.9% PHI 18.7%
ORB %	15 23.6% 20 22.3%	WAS 28.3% +1.0% PHI 27.3%
FTrt	28 25.9 7 35.1	WAS 29.4 +4.9 PHI 24.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 57.5% 25 56.7%	WAS 61.2% +6.9% PHI 54.3%
STL %	3 11.9% 25 7.9%	WAS 11.4% +5.3% PHI 6.1%
BLK %	29 5.5% 8 9.2%	WAS 1.5% PHI 7.3% +5.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 51.8% 29 49.8%	WAS 51.2% PHI 55.1% +3.9%
Rim FG%	5 62.9% 28 55.0%	WAS 66.7% PHI 66.7%
Mid FG%	10 39.7% 11 39.7%	WAS 41.9% PHI 47.2% +5.3%
3P %	23 32.1% 33 26.3%	WAS 25.0% PHI 32.1% +7.1%
FT %	31 71.0% 3 79.2%	WAS 73.3% PHI 78.3% +5.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 35.4% 23 33.2%	WAS 38.2% +6.3% PHI 31.9%
Mid Att. %	32 38.2% 18 34.5%	WAS 42.2% PHI 38.3% −3.9%
3P Att. %	29 26.4% 14 32.3%	WAS 19.6% PHI 29.8% +10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	PHI
Possessions	114	114
Possession Minutes	28.4	29.6
Points	125	119
Rebounds	45	45
Assists	30	25
Steals	13	7
Blocks	1	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	22 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (6)	12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	33 (6)
Field Goals	49-102	46-94
At-the-Rim FG	26-39	20-30
Midrange FG	18-43	17-36
2-Point FG	44-82	37-66
3-Point FG	5-20	9-28
Free Throws	22-30	18-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg